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What do we do on the river call /fold
Jonno02Small blind £0.10£0.10£133.86matrixxsBig blind £0.20£0.30£31.90 Your hole cardsAA IDONKCALLURaise £0.60£0.90£23.17badtaste01Fold katieboobsCall £0.60£1.50£16.48DonttelmumFold Jonno02Fold matrixxsFold Flop QK2 IDONKCALLUBet £1.00£2.50£22.17katieboobsCall £1.00£3.50£15.48Turn 2 IDONKCALLUBet £2.20£5.70£19.97katieboobsRaise £6.15£11.85£9.33IDONKCALLUCall £3.95£15.80£16.02River 7 IDONKCALLUCheck katieboobsBet £7.90£23.70£1.43
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Comments
The turn raise is a little strange and scarey but there have to be plenty of times when they will be doing this with KQ. The only hands that I think are realistic that could beat us on this board are going to be sets or quads and for them to have a set we have to think they don't 3-bet pre-flop with QQ or KK. QQ is possible but not terribly likely, while I would think KK is extremely unlikely.
If there are only two hands that beat us and one of those is unlikely, then we can't fold this river.
Besides that, after calling the raise on the turn, I'd hate folding to a half-pot bet on the river. Just looking at the hand I'd think KQ and 22 are the most likely holdings and there are more combinations of KQ than 22. We only need to be right 1/4 times anyway for the call to be profitable.
When we check this river we have to be doing so with the thought of allowing our opponent to take another shot at bluffing us, or overvalue a King. Call the river.
You're about to tell us they had quad 2's, aren't you?
I think the villian has KQ. Call and make notes. Or fold to the turn raise if we already have notes to say the the villian is a bit nitty