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30nl thoughts on the thin river overbet here?

edited October 2012 in The Poker Clinic

BB is a tight reg.

sb is a loose/spewy/randomly agro semi reg.

utg is a loose/passivey/randomly spewy/stationy semi reg-ish

PlayerActionCardsAmountPotBalance
sbSmall blind  £0.15 £0.15 £18.22
tight regBig blind  £0.30 £0.45 £29.02
 Your hole cards
  • Q
  • Q
   
utgCall  £0.30 £0.75 £24.76
DOHHHHHHH Raise  £1.20 £1.95 £64.73
Donttelmum Fold     
SJspanky1 Fold     
sbCall  £1.05 £3.00 £17.17
tight regCall  £0.90 £3.90 £28.12
utgCall  £0.90 £4.80 £23.86
Flop
  
  • K
  • 9
  • 2
   
sbCheck     
tight reg Check     
utgCheck     
DOHHHHHHH Check     
Turn
  
  • 10
   
sbCheck     
tight regCheck     
utgCheck     
DOHHHHHHH Check     
River
  
  • K
   
sbCheck     
tight regCheck     
utgCheck     
DOHHHHHHH Bet  £6.00 £10.80 £58.73
 

Comments

  • edited October 2012
    delete names in blinds

    I prefer less
  • edited October 2012
    it'd be better if you had air
  • edited October 2012

    I thought if either the bb or utg player had Tx they'd call me .............

    Maybe if I was going to overvbet I should have made it bigger. £8+

    Not a brag or owt btw, just got 3 folds nvm :(
  • edited October 2012
    If they are spewy enough there is a chance a 10 will call but not very often imo i think i would go for thinner value around £2.80 and expect to get paid by atleast 1 oppo with half a hand
  • edited October 2012
    but were never blufing because we would always cbet the flop with nothing?
  • edited October 2012

    4 way? I'm not cbetting with nothing there v often.

    I'm also cbetting all value hands on the flop against 3 players.

    I'm much more likely to give up on the flop than I am to check behind with a value hand. 

    I think that they should think I never have a King here and therefore a ten should be good. Maybe even 9x/88/77/66/55 or any pair, because I shudn't bet a 10 like this either.

    I thought it made sense. is it that bad?
  • edited October 2012
    I like £3.35.
  • edited October 2012
    It just looks like you're trying to recoup lost value. It doesn't matter whether you dont usually have a hand here. In general people will see this as going for max value rather than a bluff. This time they would obviously be right.

    You're overthinking how much time a reg(esp 30nl) is going to spend analysing a overbet when they have a marginal hand in a small pot. They will just fold and move on.
  • ybyb
    edited October 2012
    In Response to Re: 30nl thoughts on the thin river overbet here?:
    but were never blufing because we would always cbet the flop with nothing?
    Posted by LOL_RAISE
    meh i wouldn't think the average 30nl player is going to be hand reading much at all tbh
  • edited October 2012
    In Response to Re: 30nl thoughts on the thin river overbet here?:
    It just looks like you're trying to recoup lost value. It doesn't matter whether you dont usually have a hand here. In general people will see this as going for max value rather than a bluff. This time they would obviously be right. You're overthinking how much time a reg(esp 30nl) is going to spend analysing a overbet when they have a marginal hand in a small pot. They will just fold and move on.
    Posted by offshoot
    Do you think I should bet the turn then?

    Looking back it's probably a better option as 1 of them would probably have put some money in by then with top pair.

    I tried overbetting the turn here, I felt I had the best hand again and there's loads worse that can call. (was gonna post this seperately but thought better of it)

    I think if I'm going to overbet it's not big enough again?

    River is a fold? I bet alot smaller otr as I'm now looking for value from 1p hands. Maybe c/c is a better option after overbetting turn?

    I should bet £2 ott and c/c river I think...........
    PlayerActionCardsAmountPotBalance
    FROGGITT Small blind  £0.15 £0.15 £17.17
    DOHHHHHHH Big blind  £0.30 £0.45 £40.09
     Your hole cards
    • 2
    • K
       
    PT78 Call  £0.30 £0.75 £29.48
    algybarks Fold     
    noodles272 Fold     
    FROGGITT Call  £0.15 £0.90 £17.02
    DOHHHHHHH Check     
    Flop
      
    • 10
    • 3
    • K
       
    FROGGITT Check     
    DOHHHHHHH Check     
    PT78 Check     
    Turn
      
    • 9
       
    FROGGITT Check     
    DOHHHHHHH Bet  £1.20 £2.10 £38.89
    PT78 Call  £1.20 £3.30 £28.28
    FROGGITT Fold     
    River
      
    • K
       
    DOHHHHHHH Bet  £1.65 £4.95 £37.24
    PT78 Raise  £8.25 £13.20 £20.03
    DOHHHHHHH
  • edited October 2012

    Probably the worst sizing you could go with. Basically shouting out that you have a house or a king. I actually wouldn't mind it if you had a house, hoping one of them is trapping with a king. 

    Personally I bet like £1.80 hoping to get called by a 10 or worse.
  • edited October 2012
    In Response to Re: 30nl thoughts on the thin river overbet here?:
    Probably the worst sizing you could go with. Basically shouting out that you have a house or a king. I actually wouldn't mind it if you had a house, hoping one of them is trapping with a king.  Personally I bet like £1.80 hoping to get called by a 10 or worse.
    Posted by lolufold7
    I don't think he's ever gonna be the PFR and then not c-bet if he flops a set or TP, so that just leaves TT basically, and that's not likely imo
  • edited October 2012
    In Response to Re: 30nl thoughts on the thin river overbet here?:
    In Response to Re: 30nl thoughts on the thin river overbet here? : I don't think he's ever gonna be the PFR and then not c-bet if he flops a set or TP, so that just leaves TT basically, and that's not likely imo
    Posted by Lambert180
    TBH it is irrelevant that he reps little. People at this level aren't going to thing through the hand and be like, 'well he doesn't rep much and I have a ten so I call'. Like offshoot said, they will think he bets big, he must have a good hand, I fold my 10. Maybe he doesn't slow play sets, but with my 10 here I snap fold as it doesn't make sense to overbet with a bluff in this spot. 

    Honestly, against these opponents just value bet small and fold to a raise. 
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