You need to be logged in to your Sky Poker account above to post discussions and comments.
You might need to refresh your page afterwards.
Sky Poker forums will be temporarily unavailable from 11pm Wednesday July 25th.
Sky Poker Forums is upgrading its look! Stay tuned for the big reveal!
tough spot in satellite?
PlayerActionCardsAmountPotBalanceBodie66Small blind 1175.001175.000.00liamboi11Big blind 4000.005175.0011210.00 Your hole cards99 SHIRLEY457Fold poker69All-in 12780.0017955.000.00biiiigbuxFold BAAAAACCCAFold liamboi11Fold poker69Unmatched bet 8780.009175.008780.00Bodie66ShowK7 poker69Show10A Flop 932 Turn 9 River K Bodie66WinTwo Pairs, Kings and 9s3525.00 3525.00poker69WinPair of 9s5650.00 14430.00
in the long run is this the fight fold obvisiously I smacked this time if a call but i`m thinking is the fold correct long term ?
Comments
How far from the bubble?
What are the other chip stacks?
what you going to do with 2.5 bb once the bubble goes just for the money, forget the money go for the seat
you going to find yourself in worse equity spots with 2.5bb
It would be nice if you could give exact stacks, since the difference between 10k and 15k is 50% and more than a full big blind when the average stack is between 3BB and 4BB. Also, what's the value of the seat? Is it alot more than the £19?
To be honest, none of that really matters, lol. It's a straightforward fold. The only question you need to ask is "Am I more likely to make the money by folding than by calling?". Let's assume that there are as many overpairs as underpairs in the shover's range (which there roughly are) and that the other hands are all overcards (which they won't necessarily be but never mind) then the chances of you cashing by calling are roughly 50/50.
If you fold, the chances of you cashing are greater than 50/50 as you'll be similarly stacked to many of the other players and only one of them needs to go out before you. You're also more than 50/50 to make the seats. So folding is correct.
Don't worry too much about your stack size as long as you're not the shortest stack. You may or may not need to win the blinds before the bubble bursts (if the shorty wins this hand) but you're much more likely to win the seat by being the shover with two random cards than you are by calling with 99. Just make sure you shove into people that understand that they can fold.
Could you put the exact stack sizes in the post and the worth of the seat as this can be solved using bubble factor theory with icm considerations though you do need to have an assessment of poker69's pushing range. Mind you the answer may change from call to fold if the pushing range is varied. I'm just doing some study of it at the moment but it's a complicated business at times.
Deffo a greater chance of cashing if you fold but don't think so getting a seat, but I can't be asked to do the math
everyone is on 3-4 bb with the blinds going through the other players - everyone apart from you is pretty equal
no one has any fold equity
suppose you could fold and hope two clash before it comes round to you, if no one clashes then it comes to you in the sb and now you have 2bb (
fold or call it's pretty marginal
for me I just wouldn't care and love seeing nines
suppose the biggest factor is how long is left on the clock for this blind level, if the next orbit the blinds go up then it beocmes the easiest fold in the world
how far do we push it and still fold, 10's,J's,Q's - suppose we going to be saying only call with AA