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should i do a value bet on the river or just check?

edited February 2013 in The Poker Clinic

after doing a raise preflop this villian decides to Ch/call both the flop and turn and checks on the river.
the river caused the board to become very wet with a flush and lots of straights. as this villian has check called on the flop and turn after doing a raise preflop is it best to just check back myself on the river.

JAM888 Small blind  £0.02 £0.02 £4.59
Canary11 Big blind  £0.04 £0.06 £4.90
 Your hole cards
  • 9
  • 9
   
ullah12 Call  £0.04 £0.10 £2.92
xRaise  £0.16 £0.26 £3.62
craigcu12 Call  £0.16 £0.42 £5.96
JAM888 Fold     
Canary11 Fold     
ullah12 Fold     
Flop
  
  • 9
  • 7
  • K
   
xCheck     
craigcu12 Bet  £0.21 £0.63 £5.75
xCall  £0.21 £0.84 £3.41
Turn
  
  • J
   
xCheck     
craigcu12 Bet  £0.84 £1.68 £4.91
xCall  £0.84 £2.52 £2.57
River
  
  • 8
   
xCheck     
craigcu12

Comments

  • edited February 2013
    Value bet here defo and fold to a raise
  • edited February 2013
    In Response to should i do a value bet on the river or just check?:
    after doing a raise preflop this villian decides to Ch/call both the flop and turn and checks on the river. the river caused the board to become very wet with a flush and lots of straights. as this villian has check called on the flop and turn after doing a raise preflop is it best to just check back myself on the river. JAM888 Small blind   £0.02 £0.02 £4.59 Canary11 Big blind   £0.04 £0.06 £4.90   Your hole cards 9 9       ullah12 Call   £0.04 £0.10 £2.92 x Raise   £0.16 £0.26 £3.62 craigcu12 Call   £0.16 £0.42 £5.96 JAM888 Fold         Canary11 Fold         ullah12 Fold         Flop     9 7 K       x Check         craigcu12 Bet   £0.21 £0.63 £5.75 x Call   £0.21 £0.84 £3.41 Turn     J       x Check         craigcu12 Bet   £0.84 £1.68 £4.91 x Call   £0.84 £2.52 £2.57 River     8       x Check         craigcu12
    Posted by craigcu12
    value bet
  • edited February 2013
    In Response to Re: should i do a value bet on the river or just check?:
    Value bet here defo and fold to a raise
    Posted by bearlyther
    What sort of value bet would work in this situation though?  If v-betting half the pot, then if the villain jams you are calling approx £1.30 to win £6.35 - nearly 5/1 on your money... surely, especially at NL4, you have to call and just let out a loud sigh when you see the flush/straight?

    Genuine question - I know my river play is my biggest weakness and am trying to learn something here myself!

    FWIW I think I'd always check in this spot and hope my hand holds up... not sure what worse hands would (or rather, should) call me, but accept that at the lower limits, one pair or two pair hands could well call a value bet.
  • edited February 2013
    I'd check behind as well personally.

    He could easily have a 10 and not bet out because the river brings flush possibilities. His range could also easily be nut flush and just wants to c/r shove you on the river.

    You probably are ahead but v/bet risk reward I think it's a check. On a board like that he shouldn't be calling a 3 barrelled bet with just a king... then again it is an unknown at 4nl and he might have 3 high.
  • edited February 2013
    I think it would be a very thin spot to v-bet, to much out there straights/flushes that went ahead of you but also don`t think opponent will call with just a pair on this board now.

    so imo just check behind take note on what they are calling you down with.
  • edited February 2013
    at 4nl people will definately call with 1 2 pair hands its definately a value bet when he checks to us and obv folding to a check raise.
  • edited February 2013
    thanks for the advice on what to do on the river
    i did decide to do a bet but i'm thinking it might have been too big TBH and i probably should have did a bet of around 50p considering how wet the board is.
    as for the villian himself well i guess he's just another calling station who must want the nuts if he does a raise.
    xCheck     
    craigcu12 Bet  £1.26 £3.78 £3.65
    xCall  £1.26 £5.04 £1.31
    craigcu12 Show
    • 9
    • 9
       
    xShow
    • J
    • J
       
    xWin Three Jacks £4.66  £5.97
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