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Snooker World Championship

ff55hhff55hh
edited May 2014 in Betting Chat
Just been looking at the draw / form.

O'Sullivan not value for me. Basically getting 4/6 the field plus the chance he has a meltdown.

'The Rice Man' Ding Junhui might as well have a bye to the quarters.
This is my back-to-lay LOCK BET.

£8 @ 8.6 (BETFAIR)

Course & Distance winner John Higgins has a tougher draw in prospect (Bingham, Selby/Carter) but also has back-to-lay potential.

£2.50 @ 22 (BETFAIR)

Hopefully these trades will finance my individual frame betting over the course of the tourney. Inevitably they will backfire, leaving me no option but to chase my losses on greyhound racing.
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Comments

  • MP33MP33
    edited April 2014
    +1 

    World Championship 2014 - Winner

    Placed (matched)Order by Matched Date

    Back (Bet For)OddsStakeProfit
    Ding Junhui8.6£5.00
    £38.00
     
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  • imallin24imallin24
    edited April 2014
    i think o sullivan wil win but no value at those odds 

    im going for selby and robertson he always plays well at the worlds
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  • DOHHHHHHHDOHHHHHHH
    edited April 2014
    In Response to Re: Snooker World Championship:
    i think o sullivan wil win but no value at those odds  im going for selby and robertson he always plays well at the worlds
    Posted by imallin24
    Ronnie would be 16/1 if Milkins was in the field, lucky break for the rocket.
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  • DOHHHHHHHDOHHHHHHH
    edited April 2014

    On a serious note I've taken the advice re Ding and backed him outright. 

    Like the look of over 1.5 centuries @ 11/10 in the Carter game that starts tonight, looks like it should go over 16 frames at least, and the guy who writes the blog below thinks this Chinese player is a darkhorse. 


    On a less serious note, he mentions a 'foul in frame' market, which is around evens evertime apparently, that could get addictive as a way of livening up the snoozeathon. #Gambooooool.
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  • DOHHHHHHHDOHHHHHHH
    edited April 2014

    Foul 5th shot of frame 1! haha winnerrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr
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  • ff55hhff55hh
    edited April 2014
    Crayford / Newcatsle trap challenge 

    Trap 5 - 4/1 (365) 1pt

    *****Edit - FFS
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  • DOHHHHHHHDOHHHHHHH
    edited April 2014
    In Response to Re: Snooker World Championship:
    Crayford / Newcatsle trap challenge  Trap 5 - 4/1 (365) 1pt
    Posted by ff55hh
    Is it on TV anywhere, I read about some greyhound coverage on 1 of the obscure sky channels?
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  • ff55hhff55hh
    edited April 2014
    In Response to Re: Snooker World Championship:
    Foul 5th shot of frame 1! haha winnerrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr
    Posted by DOHHHHHHH
     LOL

    What firm  is that with, can't see it on the exchanges
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  • ff55hhff55hh
    edited April 2014
    In Response to Re: Snooker World Championship:
    In Response to Re: Snooker World Championship : Is it on TV anywhere, I read about some greyhound coverage on 1 of the obscure sky channels?
    Posted by DOHHHHHHH

    Its on channel 212 in the evenings (weds-sunday)
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  • splashiessplashies
    edited April 2014
    No bets for me, but I'll be supporting Kyren Wilson from my local snooker club. He beat Dott to get here and will fancy his chances against Ricky Walden. Go on lad!
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  • splashiessplashies
    edited April 2014
    ps loving your work ff55hh, a great addition to Punters Corner.
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  • ff55hhff55hh
    edited April 2014
    cheers splashies.

    Update on the trap challenge.

    Trap 5 won only 1 race of the 24.

    Insult added to injury as I place layed the winning T5.

    Another good quote from the show tonight,

    "I'd rather have a short priced winner than a big priced loser"

    LOL


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  • DOHHHHHHHDOHHHHHHH
    edited April 2014

    I had a few quid on the trap 5 thing and watched 5/6 races. They all seemed to run bad in more ways than 1! Bumped all over the place. Would be interested in having another go at that though if you feel theres value to be had. 

    Bit weird seeing Neil Foulds on the panel.

    Snooker tip from the commentator too, take Michael White to beat Selby on the handicap, makes alot of sense, Selby usually starts slow and grinds out wins. Will be on that. 

    The 'foul in x frame' bet was with bet365. I couldn't see it after frame 1 though. 


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  • ff55hhff55hh
    edited April 2014
    I don't normally do trap challenge. Whilst I was preparing my bets around 6.30 I noticed an anomaly that I picked lots of T5s as fast starters. I'm not betting on them to win BTW.

    Funny that neil Foulds was on there, he's a better hounds commentator than snooker. Sean Boyce of 861 fame presents there too.

    Looks like you got the layers running scared on the 'fouls in frames' markets!!!!
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  • ff55hhff55hh
    edited April 2014
    I'm on that Michael White Handicap.

    2.5 pts, 10/11 Victor chandler.

    Just noticed its starting @ 10am, /Hope he doesn't get blown away before I wake up.


    LOL @ William Hills handicap market!!!!!!!!!!!
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  • goldnballzgoldnballz
    edited April 2014
    I got ronnie at 3/1 a few months back.

    His head is in a much better place these days. Still wouldn't put anyone off the 5/4. He's by far the best player in the world. Easy monies.
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  • DOHHHHHHHDOHHHHHHH
    edited April 2014
    In Response to Re: Snooker World Championship:
    I got ronnie at 3/1 a few months back. His head is in a much better place these days. Still wouldn't put anyone off the 5/4. He's by far the best player in the world. Easy monies.
    Posted by goldnballz
    Sighhhhh I agree.

    Flirting with having my biggest ever single bet on him to take it down.

    The edge is huge, the variance is low.......

    He played on needing a snooker when 8-2 up v the no hoper in round 1. He must have his head screwed on, he wudn't normally do that.

    It's going on.

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  • DOHHHHHHHDOHHHHHHH
    edited April 2014
    It's on.

    We're in mega deep.

    8x the biggest single bet ive ever placed.

    G'wan Ronnie!................ ????
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  • goldnballzgoldnballz
    edited April 2014
    :0

    Good luck dohhhhhh!
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  • ff55hhff55hh
    edited April 2014
    Good to see Ding + Higgins playing to the best of their ability.

    Misery compounded by having an eyelash stuck in my eye.

    In financial and physical pain watching this FFS.

    PS - good luck dohhhh + goldenballz. Wish I thought of that.
    O'sullivan matched for £1k between 5.6 - 5.8 on betfair. Looking good now.
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  • ff55hhff55hh
    edited April 2014
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  • DOHHHHHHHDOHHHHHHH
    edited April 2014
    hmmmmmmm.

    Morning after the night before!

    I was on life tilt last night, my laptop refused to turn on, it was just dead. Only had it 5 months.

    So mentally I'd forked out £350-400 for a new one already. I wanted Ronnie to pay for it for me.

    Got someone to have a look at it today and apparently it's just a problem with the battery, power isn't going through it.

    So only going to cost £25 to fix.

    Stuck with £400 on Ronnie now lol.

    At least he doesn't play again for a few days, got some time to work out what to do.

    Still like the bet, and would be comfortable with around £100ish on. 400 is abit steep now that the tilt has disappeared though, any ideas? Joe Perry next up....Is it best of 25 next too? hmmm
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  • ff55hhff55hh
    edited April 2014
    Few things in your favour here for the trade.

    Hes been backed in to odds on today.

    Ding will be  a big drifter even if he wins so that'll push him in.

    If he beats Murphy his price will collapse after the Robertson / Trump game.

    He only has to play 1 of robertson/trump/selby.


    *****************************

    Expecting more humiliation on the White +3.5 so may have a saver on Selby 10-6
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  • ff55hhff55hh
    edited April 2014
    McManus potting everything, I didn't realise it was 1995.

    Michael Wasley has never won a 1st round ranking game and he's looking better than Ding!!!!!!!

    :'(((((((((((((
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  • ff55hhff55hh
    edited April 2014
    Selby v M White - Correct Score

    Placed (matched)Order by Matched Date

    Back (Bet For)OddsStakeProfit
    Selby 10 - 68£4.00
    £28.00
    Hopefully get out of this in front.

    Any score except 10-5 slavages a nightmare day
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  • ff55hhff55hh
    edited April 2014
    If he loses 10-5 I'll be waiting for him when he gets home
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  • DOHHHHHHHDOHHHHHHH
    edited April 2014

    I don't think I've seen a frame won in 1 visit all weekend whilst watching live.

    Can only get better!

    Mon Mr White.

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  • ff55hhff55hh
    edited April 2014
    In Response to Re: Snooker World Championship:
    I don't think I've seen a frame won in 1 visit all weekend whilst watching live. Can only get better! Mon Mr White.
    Posted by DOHHHHHHH

    +£5 any other scoreline

    +£22 10-6

    Feel dirty supporting an englishman here
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  • DOHHHHHHHDOHHHHHHH
    edited April 2014
    Don't think I can justify saying well played, so will go with thanks White!

    If you can do me a big favour and somehow win the match playing this bad it'd be much appreciated also.
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  • DOHHHHHHHDOHHHHHHH
    edited April 2014


    The 7 quid I have on Ding feels insignificant with the Ronnie stuff going on, I dnt mind sacrificing it, lets get rid of him!!

    C'mon Wasleyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy

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