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----Highs Lows & Scoopio's---- whats the approach to an 800/1600 blind level
Good stuff, Chris, it's been great to see you play so well this week, and more importantly, seem to enjoy it so much. That's the whole key to poker - enjoying it. The forum suggests many just don't get that.
I'll be along later this afternoon for a session - got to watch the F1 GP first, then have a quick nap, after that, I'm booked for a full session.
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Well done Chris, keep up the good work.
What a superb thread title, Chris. WP.
I thought the hand that Chris posted was really very interesting, as were the various replies. I remember the hand vividly, more than any other hand I've played in the last 3 or 4 days, & I play some 30 to 35 games per night, but not for the reasons you might think. More on that later.
As it happens, I think both Chris & myself played the hand correctly. Remember, when we are short stacked, & the blinds are big, the parameters & ranges change significantly.
The dynamic was quite odd - one player had half the chips, the other 3 of us - Ger (who wisely got out of the way) Chris & I had the other 6,000 chips between us.
Blinds were 300-600, & within 1 minute of going 400-800.
I had 1,815 chips I think , & was in the blinds the next 2 hands. So I'm ALMOST forced to jam here, & my range can be, literally, anything. I happened to have a nice balanced hand, A-Q-7-4. It's VERY unlikely I can turn up with a hand this strong in this spot. It's a complete no-brainer for me to shove here, & I'm loving life.
Chris had 1,395 behind, plus his 300 in the SB. He had A-K-Q-3 with a suit. Again, a complete & utter no-brainer. He MUST get it in here.
As it happens, we both lost, but that's irrelevant. What we must try to do is the best thing in any specific situation. Just because we win or lose does not make it right or wrong. If we do the right thing in the right spots every time we'll be just fine in the long run, & losing this one does not change that. Over the course (in my case) of 30 games per night, or around 200 games per week, I'll make this play every single time if it arises, & I'll be +ev. Ditto Chris.
I think Chris & I BOTH did exactly the right thing.
All IMO of course.
Now, the reason I so vividly remember this hand.
(Note these are my personal observations, 100% not a criticism of anyone, but it's always good to talk, & all of us PLO8-ers are trying to improve collectively).
If we play enough of these, especially against the same sub-group of experienced PLO8 players, we can pretty well forecast what will happen in any given spot. We KNOW who will do what with what.
My hand (imo) played itself.
When Chris got it in behind me, before I even saw his hand, I knew I was in trouble - he MUST have a similar, probably better, balanced hand. So I now knew I was in a bit of trouble, & I was almost certainly on the wrong end of a 60-40 flip. No prob, it happens, & I might get lucky.
What happened next made my eyeballs pop out - the Big Stack came along. This really really shocked me. And I'm thinking, "sheesh, he must have good aces, but even so, I'd fold in his spot".
In fact, he had the very odd K-10-2-3. And he must KNOW that at least 2 of the Aces are out.
At this point, most would argue "he had the odds". And they would be perfectly & 100% correct - he did. But that completely misses the point.
Let's look at the upside & downside of his play.
What upside does he have? Very little, imo. He folds, & I bust Chris or Chris busts me. Either way, game over. oioi. That's it - fold to victory.
But what if Chris takes the low, & I take the high? Suddenly I have 2,700, Chris has the same, & Brian has around 4,000.
How much has Brian's chance of winning this improved or reduced now? He was a "lock" before this hand, now he's back in the mix, & it's anyone's game. His chances of winning are substantially reduced. And there was no upside, as he was near guaranteed the win already.
I also try very hard NEVER to double up a competent player un-necessarily. And both Chris & I are "competent". Give us a 2xUp at your peril.
What I'm saying is that I just see a lot more downside than upside here. When we have half the chips 4 handed, if we ever lose from here we should shoot ourselves. We are locked, we don't need to do anything. We just let the shorties fight amongst themselves, whilst we anticipate our guaranteed win & concentrate on other games. It's NOT an MTT, it's a DYM. 1st, 2nd & 3rd all get the same. Why expose ourselves to the risk of losing a game we have locked?
We all play the game our own way, & that's great. Me, I'm never getting involved here in a month of wet Sundays. I'm actually folding bad aces, too. I don't need to do anything, or expose my lovely stack to any risk.
I'd be interested in what others think about this - not to diss Brian, not at all - but just to learn from each other.
Word of warning though - you can't expect that win rate to hold up long term - if you can, then you are a phenom.
If you can maintain a 60% win rate (at level stakes) you'll win plenty of dough.
Good luck mate.
Actually, I would have broken land speed records in calling!
Then, I would have looked at my hand!
!
ps. !!!
Hand History #1062606936 (19:27 28/07/2016)