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Graham's Pratice Placepot Perms
Drawbias.com suggests a high draw bias over the straight course at Newcastle A/W. Particularly the shorter distances.
I looked at the last 5 meetings and the results seem to back this up, and I would even suggest there is a high draw bias in the longer races. Although the shorter the race, the more the bias.
It looks like the high draw (which I think is the stands side) is the place to be be.
I will take this into consideration with my A, B, C selections.
I think if we can combine a perm strategy with a known and reasonably consistent bias, we could benefit.
We'll see anyway.
Just thought I would put that out there.
Cheers,
G
I looked at the last 5 meetings and the results seem to back this up, and I would even suggest there is a high draw bias in the longer races. Although the shorter the race, the more the bias.
It looks like the high draw (which I think is the stands side) is the place to be be.
I will take this into consideration with my A, B, C selections.
I think if we can combine a perm strategy with a known and reasonably consistent bias, we could benefit.
We'll see anyway.
Just thought I would put that out there.
Cheers,
G
Comments
P&L VIRTUAL TABLE BELOW:
Most days I won't have time to study any form, so they will be purely statistics based most of the time.
I will keep two running profit and loss totals. One for "Virtual" and one for "Real"
On average I will stake around 100 "virtual pounds" per meeting. On some occasions, I may actually place the bets, if I do this I will keep a separate tally on "real" ones as well as the virtual.
GL to my fellow Placepot comrades. :=)
Cheers,
G
Rather than class races as NON_COMPETITIVE, COMPETITIVE AND VERY COMPETITIVE, I have given them a "COMPETITIVE RATING" between 1 and 10, where 1 would be a real odds on shot and no strength in depth and 10 would be EXTREMELY competitive, like perhaps the LINCOLN, HUNT CUP or GRAND NATIONAL as examples.
Cheers,
G
So this will count as £64.80 in the "real" P&L chart and £97.20 in the "virtual" P&L chart.
Cheers,
G
Big Les my fancy in 2.30
well done at least I got some place money
I didn't have any of the first three in LEG 6 in my selections, so by default, must have bust all.
I will do an equity calculator spreadsheet for your Newbury Placepot, just so you can see what is a good result and what is bad.
Let me know if it's of use. I will explain how to calculate it later if you are interested. You may even be able to set a template up to calculate it with formulas.
Cheers,
G
Running Totals after one Placepot Multi-Perm attempt on 29/06/17:
Virtual Loss: -£97.20
Actual Loss: -£64.80
Chester of course has one of the most well known and consistent draw biases in the county, with nearly all distances favouring low drawn runners.
Cheers,
G
Not sure if it will be the Jackpot meeting or not. If it is, I may use peoples NAP selections.
Cheers,
G
We shall see. :=)
FYI, Jackpot is 29% and SCOOP6 30%.
Cheers,
G
So real stakes = £54.00 (540 * 10p lines), virtual stakes = £97.20
GL all!
G
After LEG2:
Ironically the PERM with the best equity is PERM 6: :=(
G
G
Good exercise with the equity calculator though.
Think I just about managed to get the above post out before the result came through.
My bets haven't been settled yet, but I expect them to be as detailed above. (Best not to talk about PERM 6) :=(
G