Quite a few close calls tomorrow but as usual it's 3 different bets for me this Saturday.
Main Acca:
Coventry to beat Scunthorpe (H) @ 4/5
Sheff Utd to beat Plymouth (H) @ 4/7
Millwall to beat Hartlepool (H) @ 1/2
Chesterfield to beat Aldershot (H) @ 4/5
Queen of the South to beat Airdrie (A) @ EVENS
The 5 way on this is currently paying a little over 14/1.
GENERAL FORM - Coventry are unbeaten in their last 6 at home including an impressive victory against Forest a couple of weeks ago. Scunthorpe have lost 3 of their last 6 away from Glanford Park whilst drawing 2. They conceded 5 at Leicester last time out & could've conceded a lot more than that.
Sheffield Utd are unbeaten in their last 8 at Bramall Lane, winning 6 of them. In that time they've only conceded 1 goal. Plymouth have lost 4 of their last 6 on the road.
Millwall have one of the best home records in League 1 having only lost there once all season (surprisingly against Wycombe back in November). Hartlepool have only won 3 from 15 away from home all season & have lost their last 7 conceding 17 goals in the process.
Chesterfield have won their last 6 games home & away & also have the best overall home record in the league having only lost 3 from their 16 homes this season. Whilst Aldershot have a decent home record themselves too, it's their away form that's letting them down this year. They've only won 4 of their 15 aways this season & have lost 4 of their last 5 on the road.
Airdrie are, quite simply, rubbish this season. They've won ONE game all season which came at home to Ayr way back in October. Incidentally, Ayr currently sit one place above Airdrie in the league, but 2nd bottom ain't anything to write home about! Queen of the South have the 2nd best away record in the division having won 5 of the 11 on the road this season.
Long Shot:
Birmingham to beat Wigan (H) @ 10/11
Burnley to beat Portsmouth (H) @ EVENS
Newcastle to beat Watford (A) @ 10/11
Swindon to beat Leyton Orient (A) @ 11/8
Norwich to beat Oldham (A) @ 5/6
Rochdale to beat Macclesfield (A) @ 4/5
These 6 currently return 56/1 so well worth a quid.
I'll be honest, most of these selections have been done on gut feeling & "general" form (if such a thing exists?). Brum have been a little shaky of late but Wigan are not great travellers (don't forget they've shipped 5 at Old Trafford, 9 at White Hart Lane & even Pompey knocked 4 past them at Fratton Park). Burnley have been strong at home all season having only lost 2 whilst poor Pompey are all over the place. Watford have been decent at home of late but I really fancy Newcastle for this one. Swindon are gonna trip me up sooner or later (they're unbeaten in 11 home & away) but Orient are just one of those teams that have a tendency to forget to turn up sometimes. Norwich will look to take advantage of Leeds tricky trip to Huddersfield to get a bit more daylight between them but a trip to Oldham ain't gonna be easy. It'll be close but I fancy Norwich to nick it. Likewise Rochdale, they know they need to put the midweek defeat to Bradford behind them quickly to keep on track & get out of the bottom tier for the first time in 100 plus years or so (OK, it's not quite that long but I think it's about 60 odd they've been there). They've got the best away record in the division & Macclesfield haven't been the strongest at home this season but it'll be close.
Under/Over market:
I've gone for these 5 all to have over 2.5 goals:
Leicester/Forest @ 5/4
Preston/Cardiff @ 10/11
West Brom/Derby @ 8/11
Huddersfield/Leeds @ 10/11
Leyton Orient/Swindon @ 4/5
These 5 currently pay just over 24/1. At this point I expect most of them to finish 0-0 now!
Good luck to all having a bet this weekend.
Jay
p.s. sorry if my betting posts are a little long for some, I just like to explain my choices.
Comments
It's obviously gonna take some cojones to back against Man U(especially with the form that Rooney is taking into the game) but i think 7/2 is well worth a dabble.
I trust you have already placed your single on Watford ;<)
EDIT:stoke9/2 on sky
Expect the Toon to rack up double figures ;-)
Keep my fingers crossed for you m8. Do you want me to stick a bet on Arsenal to help out? ;-)
The southend/charlton game has already come in and has i had a £25 single bet on it i'm £20 up and all these bets are already covered.
6 x 5-folds at £1 a line
Its a correct score treble and there are 27 different perms. Have covered them at 10p a line so only £2.70 outlay and if it comes in its a nice return.
On a personal note may i just say that the mighty WATFORD will put the geordies to the sword.
Be lucky
achill
P.S you may have noticed that i haven't included that prediction in any of my bets.
Watford are missing their best player through suspension. Still wouldn`t back Newcastle with Quagmires money though.
In the super six i've gone for 1-1 and i'll be well happy if we get the draw.
There's normally loads of bets posted by now but so far only me, stokefc and silentbob have posted are guaranteed to win selections.
Have you all become demoralised from constantly donating to the bookies 3rd holiday home?
Rise up brother and sister betters, kiss your lucky mascot, put on your lucky y-fronts and post your selections here and lets give the bookie a damn good thrashing.
and I like that wee correct score treble perm-bet that Achill posted.
Bet of the day in the mirror, is 11/10 with Hills that Wayne Bridge DOESNT shake hands with John Terry this afternoon...
I'd have thought that was obvious after turning the world cup down because of him, hes more likely to chin him? Cant find any such bet on skybet.....
EDIT - 540/1 btw
My word, Cheryl is one high maintenance lady, had to fork out for a candlelit dinner at the local truckers cafe the other night, i could do with another win, she's bleeding me dry. So here goes, acca numero uno:
Birmingham
Burnley
Ipswich
Reading
Brentford
Carlisle
Millwall
Not going in depth with my choices this week, Cheryl's clicking her fingers, wants me to get her pipe and slippers.
The acca pays 66/1
Good luck everyone, we will bash the bookies this weekend. ;-)
this is my accum gd luck every1 lets be lucky
Bolton v Wolves
Leicester v Forest
Watford v Newcastle
Barnet v Bury
Morecambe v Port Vale
Pays 389/1! Mo Money Mo Problems
B I G
P O
P P A
No info, for the, D E A
Federal agents mad cause i'm flagrant
Tap my cell, and the phone in the basement
My team supreme, stay clean
Triple beam lyrical dream, i be that
I'll stop there, you get the picture :-)
How about this for an extremely long shot. 5p pays 250k! will never happen but why not!
Aston Villa
Coventry
Doncaster
Swansea
West Brom
Norwich
Chesterfield
Rochdale
Northampton
Motherwell
Pays 772/1!
Ave it!!!!
11/2
Birmingham win
Coventry win
Middlesbro win
Bradford win
Northampton win
Chesterfield ffs
Rotherham win
Dundee Utd win
and the game between Burnley/Pompey to have over 2.5 goals. win
Anyway heres ma picks,
Middlesboro
Milwall
Norwich
Dagenham
Bradford
Alloa
£10 acca pays £216 so heres hoping.
good luck every1 with their bets lets hope the bookies r crying in the morn