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Call or fold?
Absolutely no reads on villain, though obv from his limp utg he is most likely a fish. It was a snap shove fwiw.
| Player | Action | Cards | Amount | Pot | Balance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soulcrush | Small blind | £0.50 | £0.50 | £309.89 | |
| yb | Big blind | £1.00 | £1.50 | £97.50 | |
| Your hole cards |
| ||||
| spdbrkr | Call | £1.00 | £2.50 | £111.84 | |
| hurst05 | Fold | ||||
| jacksfool | Fold | ||||
| STANTH | Fold | ||||
| Soulcrush | Fold | ||||
| yb | Check | ||||
| Flop | |||||
| |||||
| yb | Bet | £2.50 | £5.00 | £95.00 | |
| spdbrkr | Call | £2.50 | £7.50 | £109.34 | |
| Turn | |||||
| |||||
| yb | Bet | £6.00 | £13.50 | £89.00 | |
| spdbrkr | Call | £6.00 | £19.50 | £103.34 | |
| River | |||||
| |||||
| yb | Bet | £15.00 | £34.50 | £74.00 | |
| spdbrkr | All-in | £103.34 | £137.84 | £0.00 | |
Comments
No reads its a sigh fold innit
although id be tempted!
I folded fwiw. Lolraise I like the idea of overbetting the flop, something I should probably do more in unraised pots.
you get a big pot
Plus I was multi-tabling at the time and deleting the name is an effort.
because winning a big pot /> winning a small pot?
if we overbet the flop for lets say 4bb then we pot turn and river the final pot will be (2.5+8)*9 94.5bbs
by betting 1.5bbs more on the flop we can increase the potential final pot size by 27bbs
btw we have 9high if villain folds at any point in the hand its not a bad thing
2) have fun hitting draws and finding out theres only 5bbs in the pot. (we wont go into the whole exploitable thing)
3) wat.
/thread?
it is
whenever we flop an OESFD then its fairly standard to assume all of our outs are clean.
with the amount of equity an OESFD has, then we are a favourite against most hands.
By betting a larger amount on the flop we can maximise winnings for when we do hit (as obv size of value bets on future streets are normally in proportion to pot size).
To prove that its +EV I'll assume his equity is exactly 50% against me and he never folds to the flop bet, and for sake of argument I bet £5.
My EV = (2.5 + 5)*0.5 - 5*0.5 = 1.25
This is a positive value hence the overbet is +EV. In reality he will fold to the flop bet sometimes and my equity is better than 50% if he continues so its even more +EV.
but you tilt me so I'm going to stop now.
Edit - just reread the thread. I didnt realise lol_raise suggested overbetting the flop. Thought people were saying you bet too big on flop.
Pretty hard to build a big pot in a limped pot anyway. Overbetting flop defo isnt -EV, but I think you played it best, because as beaneh said, overbetting pushes out so many weaker hands. That might call and fold on turn.