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Realistically as you should already know, there is no definitive answer to this, and the replies you get are all going to be subjective. How he plays preflop could be entirely dependment on his opinion of you, if he thinks you're a complete rock, then he might think he can get you off a very large amount of flops with ATC.
EDIT: Also, once a ton of other people call, he might think he's getting the implied odds to call thinking if he hits 2pr or trips, he can win a very big pot and if he doesn't, he loses 3BBs
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There are a few possible reasons for calling with junk hands oop.
Firstly to get lucky and hit the miracle flop and then try to get paid. This is a losing play in the long run always has been and always will be. You might win a few hands like this but it will be more than offset by the amount you pay to see these flops and when you only get a small pice and end up paying off.The thing is with these types of hands you are looking to hit flops which have odds of about 100 to 1 to make them profitable and then the implied odds are never enough to justify it.
Secondly with connecting type cards(though these are a bit wide for my liking) you can take a look at a flop and try to pick up a draw which you can bet out with and either push your opponent off or hit and get paid off. But for this i would be looking for 1 gappers at best because in this case an 87x flop is unlikely.
Thirdly. This relies on knowing the raising and betting tendencies of the original raiser.This means you can basically call with ATC to any raise with the intention of outplaying and or bullying them off the pot on later streets.
So as i have said if the reason is one then it is just a losing play over time because it will not come in enough over time to make any money.If two then it is still suspect play provided you dont end up chasing really bad draws(like gutshots).If the reason is three though then this can be a very good play providing that firstly you have good reads and secondly you are not against a station who can never be bluffed.
You also have to take in account reverse implied odds, because the flops 96 hit also hits better drawing holdings that have also called
take care when driving !
What makes this hand really bad is, it's one thing calling pre flop but it's another thing not getting oppo's stack
by not getting oppo's stack in effect makes this a bad call pre flop
If your going to call with these types of hands to get "lucky" then when you do, you have to play for oppo stack.
If you don't - it's a losing play over the long term
Why?
Because your not making up for the times you miss.
play is -EV
IMO
Welcome Thoich btw, you shouldnt feel that you hae to justify your play to anyone! Its Your money, you can play what cards you want innit, in any position.
Talon is spot on as usual nice post Colin
FWIW, Wayne you played the hand spot on imo.
Alhough going by the way you play it wayne u have no idea where u are, in that case just take the fold.
Can you say playing AK is a profitable hand if you're playing against a guy who you KNOW folds literally EVERYTHING except AA, no it's not. So there's no definitive answer, it depends entirely on the opponent.
I agree with people that a criticisim of Tioch is just that he didnt get Wayne's full stack here. Implied odds don't mean anything unless you get the chips when your hand comes along.
- whether you call or raise
- opponents ranges
- stacksizes
- pot odds
- implied odds
-reverse implied odds
- can I win pot by bluffing when I miss
and prob other things I have forgotten
96o is not a strong hand, generally its prob not a good idea to call raises or limp with it
Also, dont call someone a donk and leave their name in.
In this particular hand I think you played your hand well.
Thioch prob should fold pre imo, but it depends how often he can stack you or others when he flops 2p+ and whether he can get it in profitably with draws on the flop. There will also sometimes be rio issues when he hits. Once he hits he should either lead or c/r flop, when it checks thru he should bet turn and river at least 3/4 pot.
Others have criticised thioch for not getting your stack, but dont see how he could have got it, he could have bet more obv on turn and river. However if he doesnt generally win more than this when he hits then his implied odd are not big enough for him to make the call
I dont like the call by oppo
I dont like players calling others donks
I dont like leaving their name in if we do
Other than these points i have no opinion
as the answer asked was if the play was 'profitable long term' not whether the 96 hand has the correct odds to call then no it is not profitable long term.
knowing wayne had AJ means he prob did have the correct odds based on equity this time but still would not have had the correct odds if wayne had AA (a realistic part of the range for someone opening utg)
it is not profitable long term but looks like (im not great at math) he had the correct odds based on his equity this time.
versus 4 other random hands - no pairs - vill has got 10%
so at best 10% - at worst 2%
I suppose it's just impossible to range the other four hands