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I would just like to confirm your post above, getting it in with 88 is bad for your bankroll!
The road to a main event score will only start if you get in a car and start driving on it! If you only play the Turbo Tuesday every week, then it's gonna be very hard to get deep ITM runs, due to the lack of volume and the fact its the most high variance main of the week.
Start investing some of these cash profits (of which you seem to have plenty judging on your BR now!) into some main event spins. Choose the BH mains if you want to reduce variance slightly.
Nice hand earlier btw. Probably pwned me.
Its two edged, one to show a few i'm not such a nit and the other to see if my thinking was correct. Was going to show this hand regardless of result as its my thinking I want to check.
Have played J before and know them to be very aggressive and this was the third time in very few hands they had three bet me. So a standard button raise and then he three bets me again. Most of the time I would just call but I need to add some more hands in that I four bet and I would rather do it with this than say AJ as I have less chance of being dominated and have a few more ways to win the pot so I do four bet. I also want to send a message I'm not easy to push around. Is that amount enough? Its the same I would make with AA/KK for example.
I flop pretty well with a gutshot (although i'm aware it completes AK's gutshot) and a FD. Once he checks I figure I have to bet as I would always bet my AA/KK's on that board. I dont like it when he c/raises me but I cant fold now can I? I dont think I can. Got called a donk for this hand but I think I played it fine. Thoughts?
Perhaps you need to acknowledge when you've been running pretty well for an extended period, and accept that variance will give you a kick up the backside occasionally.
The (bad luck) times that KK stacks off to AA is obviously easier to remember, but for all the good play it still (in the short term) requires a bit of good luck for the table station to flop bottom pair at the same time you flop top pair and are able to get 3 streets of value / the time you 3 bet light happens to coincide with the original raiser being at the bottom of their range / the times you flop TPTK and would go broke vs a flopped set only for the board to run out 4-to-the-flush and stop the pot from getting too big etc etc
You must be getting these spots of good luck to complement the good play, else the bankroll wouldn't have ballooned as much as it has in the last few months (well played on that BTW
The numbers I crunched for my last post in the Poker Clinic put into persepective just how little we should be expecting to win - 6 tabling 10nl for 4 hours should only be expecting us to see c.£10 profit (5bb/100 hands) - that is seen as a marker of a good player, which I'm guessing you'd be ahead of since starting this thread?
On another note, stop running so good versus me!!
I know what your saying. It just seems I rarely run well, just win the hands I'm infront with a little more. I dont seem to get times when I hit everything or suck out a lot. Im not sure if thats because of my style of play, im not a big gambler. As for running good, it ebs and flows. You've had best of me a lot too.
I am currently in the midst of a downswing at the moment, cant do much right and either running into the top of peoples ranges or getting a lot of suck outs. Im not moaning, just stating a fact and I'm well aware that these things happen. I'm going to try and use experiance to ride it out. Ive not played much since w/e as obviously when these things happen your hunger for playing wanes. I can afford to do this as I am ahead of my PP's target.
Played some cash and not run well, just as above really. Tried a few MTT's tonight and not much apart from final tabling a £100 speed B/H, finishing fifth with three paid. Took two heads.
Hopefully things can improve this w/e and I can push on towards a good end to the month. I'm still up and on corse so there is that and hopefully by not getting down and coming out the other end I can look back and be glad I didnt tilt off any of my BR.
A few hands to show the type of hits I've been taking, these are a-typical of the bad side of varience I have been on the wrong end of these past few days;
PP3179
If you change your game and start open shoving T2s for 100bb, limp/call/stack off with a low straight draw, limp/call all in with KJs when playing less than 20bb, then it's fair to see you WILL get more suck-outs go in your favour, quite probably end up with more than go against you, but you DEFINITELY won't see your bankroll continue to grow!!!
Anyway, I feel your pain... I'm like 20+ NL10 BIs down for the last 10 days... let's hope that double points weekend is where the cards turn back in our favour!!
I also spent a couple of days playing nl4 alone as them tables will have very few large stack, so your more than likely shipping you stack anyway and won't need to work out which calling stations raise top pair weak kicker and which only raise the hands that are 2 pair+.
you don't actually have to withdraw your money if you don't want to, you could just go down to nl4 yourself and play some of them stakes where almost every player has got short stacks and will calls rubbish, then once you seem to be back onto winnings again you will be more confident and can return to your main stakes again.
Had a decent morning with a BI up, the afternoon say a four BI win and this evening I played for 2 1/2 hours and it was so so boring. Had hardly any hands/situations playing six tables for that long but did manage to squeeze a BI profit.
So pleased to have got through the down patch, so far, but im not taking it for granted. Just going to continue to play my game and see what happens.
452PP's added today so with +255 for yesterday thats a total of 707 so far for the w/e so well on target for 1000 and will hopefully get more. Hope to add 350-400 tomorow and also hope to play well and hopefully make a profit on the day, how ever much it is.
PP3856
An example of the hands/players I cant dodge at the moment;
Been a week of this now, baring one day, and im not sure what ive done.
Plenty of other things not going my way. Ive had to fold some big hands too like top set twice and over pairs to horrible run outs. An example below.
PP4134