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This is nothing that hasn't been said before...........
Online poker is 100% fixed
It is pointless showing you the Hands as we have all had them but I've just walked into Monsters 6 times in a row and no one can convince me that it is not fixed and that's just a run of bad luck, nobody can be that unlucky JJ into KK, 666 into AAA on the flop, KK into AA and then lets not forget the ones you are well out in front and get SHAFTED on the turn or the river or better still Runner Runner.
In the last 3 weeks I've deposited around £550 on online poker and only played 5p-10p and a couple of times 10p-20p, that's well within the varients of a good Bankroll for that level, I play pretty tight and some would say very tight, playing between 15% - 20% of hands, with my hands if it's possible I bet 4 or 5 times big blind, if I catch on the flop I bet at least pot sized bets when I don't I bet slightly less, When I believe I'm in fron I bet big, get called get shafted by what some say miracle cards, I could handle Miracle cards but miracles are supposed to be a rare occurance.
I'm giving up online poker now as I believe it is fixed to the point of Stealing our hard earned cash and £550 is a fair chunk of cash to GIVE away because most of the time you don't even get any game time, 3 hands this morning first hand of each table I have JJ, KK & AA all cracked I can handle the JJ being cracked but the others getting cracked as often as they do by numpties that can't find the fold button and catch that miracle on the river is just mind boggling.
Anyone's thoughts would be appreciated
N1VEK
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Comments
Tell me if there is a leak in this, My stack is £75, on a 10p- 20p table, I have 99 on the button, there are 3 limpers before me, I raise to £1.50, 1 caller on the BB, he has £90 in his stack, 777 comes on the flop, I bet the pot which is £3.70 thinking don't go overboard he may have a bigger pocket pair, He Calls, a 9 comes down on the turn, Now I hope he has a bigger pair, I Check hopefully he's going to bet, he does £10 I re-raise to £20 he goes all in, I call a 4 comes down on the river, and he has 7 4 off suit with a 7.5 x the BB pre-flop raise and catches Quads
So to be honest this is disgusting
But again thanks for your input
N1VEK
There are a lot of considerations to take account with regard to your results:
The amount you have deposited is, to a large degree, irrelevent although that's not a sum of money that any recreational player would want to drop. The important figure is how much you've wagered in total (number of times you've turned this over) and the total number of hands you've played - if you're playing cash all of this can be pulled from the hand histories (just copy and paste the data into a spreadsheet). You can then determine the average bet per hand, the amount you're losing on hands you fold and the amount you win on the hands you contest. And then there's the effect of the rake - although it's always advertised as a %age of the pot (5% or 7.5%? can't recall), when you measure it as a %age of the PROFIT on your winning hands it's a great deal higher. From all of this you can determine your overall win/(loss) rate as a %age of the amount wagered.
With my results, I also isolate the data on those hands where I've lost 50 big blinds or more and analyse what went on. In my own case, just half a percent of hands played (33/6,766) on the cash tables account for more than the total of all of my cash losses to date (around 20 Buy-ins, 2,000 BBs). Of these, I'm content that over 3/4 are just down to bad luck/variance (call it what you will) and I would play them exactly the same way again. I remember one instance where I lost out to a 45-1 draw on the river (oppo could only draw one card to take the pot after I'd shoved with everything in front of me after the turn - it happened).
Now, having analysed my results, and my 20 Buy-Ins losses, at length have I drawn the conclusion that the site is rigged? No - I don't believe it is. The results from 6,766 doesn't prove anything.What it has done is to highlight to me the degree of variance in the game, together with the effect of the rake. As a result I don't play cash tables anymore - the variance effect on my meagre pile of pennies is too great. I now stick with the fixed fee DYMs which are fun and where a run of bad hands isn't going to be so grim £££s wise. If you buy in for £2.25, the most you can lose to a bad beat is £2.25.
I don't usually hand out advice (I'm certainly not a skilled enough poker player to do so) but I would suggest analysing your hand histories in detail. If you're not too hot with spreadsheets, find a bright young student at the local sixth form college (preferably one studying maths) who can build you a spreadsheet for a few pints. Bearing in mind what you've already lost, £20 in beer is, I would suggest, a good investment in finding out what has gone wrong.
Best wishes for Christmas and better cards in future.
One of the improvements to my game over the last twelve months or so is that when deciding whether to contest a hand or not I now consider both ways - what I stand to win if I play AND what I won't lose if I don't. It's made a big difference to my results.
I would be interested to find out if any of the regular (including baggs and seagull) players on the site have ever lost 55 buy ins or more in 3 weeks or less??
Before that I had had some downswings of 20-30 BIs when nothing was going right. I posted hands in the clinic and took advice from the likes of Irishrover and Dohhhhhh (although some times it took a while to get through!) and this included taking a break. I don't know how good I am now (probably not very) but I am better than I was!
But you must be doing some things right as you had £75 stack on nl20 table and then the guy got very lucky. Maybe if you get a BI or 2 up you stop? You might be losing value/profit if you do but at least your roll will move in the right direction. I did it for a bit until my confidence improved.
good luck
Provided, of course, if you can trust the dealer, and the players, in the live game you are playing!!!
With 500 quid bankroll, id be playing smaller live games! Thats if you can justify getting to the casino or what ever venue, Take a tip from ( IAN FRAIZER ) " Id much rather play live poker, than online poker, i love the banter and the night out, bla bla bla"
However, a couple of points I'd like to make, By no means am I a reckless player, (No fishing for me) I don't go looking for gutshots, I don't go looking for flush draws unless the pot odds are there to do so although the 4 -1 ratio certainly does not work for me and even when I price people out of doing the same they seem to always catch and I mean Always,I feel in cash games I'm simply and totally Luckless.
Since all your posts which are very much appreciated I've taken the plunge and deposited my last deposit of a total of £10 and I really mean my last deposit, I've played 2 x 5p-10p cash games and kept it really simple only playing premium hands and tried not to over bet and folded to everything I felt was going the wrong way, I'm about £4 up in the cash games but what has really made a difference is I've started playing DYM's using the same theories as before, only playing premium hands and only having a go at the blinds when they get a bit high like more than a 5th of my stack, I've played about 8 and i've cashed in 7 one without playing a hand in a £5 DYM, so maybe DYM's are my forte, who Knows, Incidentally the one I lost was, I had KK on the big blind and 1 player pushed with JJ I called he caught a J on the river, so I suppose I can't get away from bad beats totally.
I've got my LAST Deposit of £10 up to £52.18 and I'm very very happy with that, but to be honest I've not changed my game at all except maybe not overbetting which I don't really believe was a problem in the first place.
Maybe see some of you guys at the Alea in Glasgow for the SPT if I can Qualify for it...........................
Again Thank you all for trying to be both understanding and constructive
N1vek
Kevin
Think this leaves a huge void on whether it 'CAN' or 'CANNOT' be rigged doesnt it ??
Sorry - very confused.
Just want ure personal view on it
Dont matter bout the pro's really does it ??