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Jordz16 Football betting 2015-16

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  • edited August 2015
    He was on Loan at Braintree town 2 years ago, and thats my home town club and they were raving about good he was back then, and this year when i decided to look in to backing Gillingham there were just pages on pages of Gillingham supporters talking about how good he was becoming in a short space of time. plus he banged in a load of goals pre season, From what I have seen so far hes very much like a League 1 Frank Lampard.

    Ive had a small bet on him playing for England in the next 3 years at 100/1... which is very unlikely but Lambert and Lallana managed it so definitely not impossible.
  • edited August 2015
    League Cup Round Two tonight. The profitable line in the first two rounds is to back the outsiders. Probably not as many shocks in Round Two as Round One where eleven sides lost to teams from a lower division.

    Last year there were eight wins for teams against higher division sides (Doncaster won at Watford, Sheff Utd won at West Ham, Shrewsbury won at Leicester, Sheff Wed won at Burnley, MK Dons beat Man Utd, Orient won at Villa, Bradford beat Leeds and Burton beat QPR) & a similar number tonight wouldn't be a major upset. Certainly backing anyone odds on in the first two rounds is terrible value, particularly in accumulators.

    Probably the best thing to do is back teams individually although backing in doubles and/or trebles might appeal as well.

    Here are some of the decent odds available:

    Notts County 8/1
    Gillingham 7/2
    Burton 7/2
    Bury 9/2
    Shrewsbury 8/1
    Doncaster 5/2
    Hartlepool 9/1
    Rochdale 7/1
    Luton 11/2
    Northampton 9/1
    Portsmouth 9/4
    Carlisle 9/1
    Rotherham 9/2
    Oxford 7/2
    Exeter 7/1
    York 12/1
    Walsall 2/1
    Barnet 10/1
    Port Vale 9/1

    Take your pick which ones that you go for. Under dogs appear to do equally well at home and away at this stage so we shouldn't be put off by apparently difficult away trips. I look for a reason for the favourite to trip up - poor league form, resting players, underestimating opponents and prefer underdogs in form but often teams with poor form pull off cup shocks at this stage.

    I have gone for a combination of singles, doubles and trebles tonight and hopefully a couple of results will be enough to get a small profit. if we lose, we don't lose much.
  • edited August 2015
    What i will be doing is waiting til the line ups are announced, Il find 3/4 teams who have rested very few players and seem to be going for it and il back them in a small acca, and then the teams who have left some of their bigger names out i will be backing against them in singles. fingers crossed for a profitable night
  • edited August 2015
    In Response to Re: Jordz16 Football betting 2015-16:
    What i will be doing is waiting til the line ups are announced, Il find 3/4 teams who have rested very few players and seem to be going for it and il back them in a small acca, and then the teams who have left some of their bigger names out i will be backing against them in singles. fingers crossed for a profitable night
    Posted by jordz16
    Usually the first two rounds of the LC are pretty profitable.

    Resting players can be a method of selection but is not foolproof. In the last round, three of the five higher ranked teams that made the fewest changes went out, one drew over 90 minutes with only one being a winning bet. Often fringe players perform well as they try to prove themselves.

    Most likely, the teams that rested players in R1 will rest players again and teams that played a full strength team will probably do so again.
  • edited August 2015
    Bradley Dack is only on the bench for Gillingham tonight which is very annoying as 4/1 for anytime goalscorer was going to be my biggest bet of the night.. 
  • edited August 2015
    Made a small loss.

    Had Carlisle in a single at 9/1 and a double on Preston & Walsall.

    Had a good run for my money with Notts County, Burton, Exeter, Shrewsbury, Doncaster, Luton, Portsmouth & Port Vale.


  • edited August 2015
    This week Ill be checking the starting line ups before I place my first goalscorer patent, but assuming they are in the starting XI's my picks for this week are:

    RUDY GESTEDE: Aston Villa v Sunderland. Home against a dire Sunderland team it's little wonder he's only 7/2.

    CHRISITIAN BENTEKE: Liverpool v West Ham. Again at home against a team that leaks goals, he's an 100/30 shot.

    SERGIO AGUERO: Man City v Watford. One of world's best strikers v Premier newcomers? An 11/4 selection.

    A 25p patent pays £34.58 am tempted to do more, but if it comes up I'll be happy with that. :)

  • edited August 2015
    Best of luck mate, they all look pretty likely even if the prices are a bit too skinny in my eyes...
  • edited August 2015
    Crystal Palace 10/1. Yes they are away to Chelsea who generally dont lose at home, but things arent quite right there at the minute, Cahill and Zouma are an untested partnership and even though its unlikely i do think a shock is possible, plus Palace are dangerous from set pieces and counter attacks which give them a chance in any game.

    Leicester 5/2. away at Bournemouth who had a great win last week but did there best to chuck it away, they are very similar in styles of play I just think Leicester have a stronger spine which hopefully will prevail in this well balanced match

    QPR & Fulham   both 19/10 and both away to teams who have been poor so far, neither of these teams is playing great so far but they do have far more talent in their squads

    Charlton, 4/1 even though they are away to Wolves who i strongly backed pre season they have been very impressive so far while Wolves have disappointed me so i feel i would be a fool to ignore such a big price

    Gillingham 11/5 Probably getting boring reading that I have back the Gills but again its a great price, and they are away to Peterborough who i havent been impressed with at all.. and again I will be backing bradley dack to score first at 9/1 and anytime at 10/3

  • edited August 2015
    ok you've convinced me.

    Bradley Dack £5 to score anytime @ 3.5

    Other bets for today

    Bournemouth/Leicester over 2.5, Gillingham and Walsall win. £10 treble pays £100.36p.

    Had a cover bet on Dunfermline over 2.5 £30 @ 1.5

    Bookies have cottoned on to the amount of goals in Dunfermline matches, properly won't get 1.5 soon.

    Had a £25 double come in last night for £79 (Bolton under 2.5, Falkirk over 2.5) so its a bit of a free bet today.

    Be lucky.
  • edited August 2015
    Free £10 bet with laddies.

    man city, liverpool win

    bournemouth over 2.5, stoke and villa under 2.5

    pays £47

    be lucky
  • edited August 2015
    Liverpool at 1.33  HILARIOUS.


    West ham won at arsenal, liverpool could only draw 0-0 at arsenal, against a far worse arsenal team than west ham faced. No wonder 98% of people just p iss away money at the bookies. Hardly anyone has a clue what they are doing.

    Same people probably still backing derby @ 1.66 after 2 wins in 16 championship games.
  • edited August 2015
    In Response to Re: Jordz16 Football betting 2015-16:
    Crystal Palace 10/1. Yes they are away to Chelsea who generally dont lose at home, but things arent quite right there at the minute, Cahill and Zouma are an untested partnership and even though its unlikely i do think a shock is possible, plus Palace are dangerous from set pieces and counter attacks which give them a chance in any game. Leicester 5/2. away at Bournemouth who had a great win last week but did there best to chuck it away, they are very similar in styles of play I just think Leicester have a stronger spine which hopefully will prevail in this well balanced match QPR & Fulham   both 19/10 and both away to teams who have been poor so far, neither of these teams is playing great so far but they do have far more talent in their squads Charlton, 4/1 even though they are away to Wolves who i strongly backed pre season they have been very impressive so far while Wolves have disappointed me so i feel i would be a fool to ignore such a big price Gillingham 11/5 Probably getting boring reading that I have back the Gills but again its a great price, and they are away to Peterborough who i havent been impressed with at all.. and again I will be backing bradley dack to score first at 9/1 and anytime at 10/3
    Posted by jordz16

    Nice result with Palace!


  • edited August 2015
    Avsoloute awesome results for me today, especially with my antepost bets too... and being a West Ham fan things dont really get too much better hey!
  • edited August 2015
    In Response to Re: Jordz16 Football betting 2015-16:
    Liverpool at 1.33  HILARIOUS. West ham won at arsenal, liverpool could only draw 0-0 at arsenal, against a far worse arsenal team than west ham faced. No wonder 98% of people just p iss away money at the bookies. Hardly anyone has a clue what they are doing. Same people probably still backing derby @ 1.66 after 2 wins in 16 championship games.
    Posted by allin4stax
    Can't find a post on any of the threads in this section where you have backed West Ham for an away win.

    Just another punter who can talk a great game once he knows the results??
  • edited September 2015
    Having a a couple more long shot punts for the season in the Champions League top scorer market

    Jonas 100/1
    Torres 125/1

    £5 each way on both

    They both have Astanas in their group who are by far the worst team in the Champions League this year so lots of chances for them players to bag a few goals early on, also i really dont rate Galatasaray so would fancy both their teams to qualify comfortably/
  • edited September 2015
    Just updated my original post with my picks for the Champions League and Europa League (Real Madrid and Schalke)
  • edited October 2015
    Going to try and update my pre-season bets each month, heres how they are looking at the minute

    Luton 12/1        £20 EW  (now 14/1)
    Gillingham 40/1  £15 EW  (now 10/1)
    Wolves  20/1     £20 EW  (now 33/1)
    Chelsea 7/4       £30 (name your price!)

    Reading top 6  5/1  £20  (now 2/3)
    Middlesborough top 6  6/4   £100  (now 1/10)

    Everton, Reading, Gillingham, Wycombe all top half   16/1   £20  (now 1/1 best bet so far)
    Swansea, Huddersfield, Chesterfield, Yeovil all bottom half finish   10/1  £25  (now 9/2)

    Kodjia championship top scorer,  50/1    £15 EW  (now 16/1)

    Hearts w/o Celtic   6/1   £50  (now 6/1)
    Osman Sow scottish top scorer  28/1    £10 EW  (now 33/1)

    Scott Sinclair top Villa scorer 25/1   £20  (now 7/2
    Hazard top Chelsea scorer   5/1    £20  (now 5/1)
    Lens top Sunderland scorer  9/1   £20  (now 5/2)

    Lukaku, Rooney, Kane, Deeney, Sakho all t/s for their clubs, 10/1    £15  (now 12/1)

    Yaya toure top scorer 100/1   £5 EW (now 100/1)

    Braintree town top 5 finish 12/1 £10  (now 4/1)

    Real Mardrid to win Champions League  11/2  £25 (now 5/1)

    Schalke to win the Europa League  25/1  £25 (now 20/1)


    Out of all my bets  11 have shortened in odds, 5 have drifted in odds, 3 have remained the same, so overall I have to be extremely happy with how they are looking.
  • edited November 2015
    this months betting update

    Luton 12/1        £20 EW  (now 40/1)
    Gillingham 40/1  £15 EW  (now 6/1)
    Wolves  20/1     £20 EW  (now 150/1)
    Chelsea 7/4       £30 (name your price!)

    Reading top 6  5/1  £20  (now 8/11)
    Middlesborough top 6  6/4   £100  (now 1/10)

    Everton, Reading, Gillingham, Wycombe all top half   16/1   £20  (now 4/6 best bet so far)
    Swansea, Huddersfield, Chesterfield, Yeovil all bottom half finish   10/1  £25  (now 2/1)

    Kodjia championship top scorer,  50/1    £15 EW  (now 18/1)

    Hearts w/o Celtic   6/1   £50  (now 6/4)
    Osman Sow scottish top scorer  28/1    £10 EW  (now 16/1)

    Scott Sinclair top Villa scorer 25/1   £20  (now 7/2)
    Hazard top Chelsea scorer   5/1    £20  (now 5/1)
    Lens top Sunderland scorer  9/1   £20  (now 5/1)

    Lukaku, Rooney, Kane, Deeney, Sakho all t/s for their clubs, 10/1    £15  (now 18/1)

    Yaya toure top scorer 100/1   £5 EW (now 66/1)

    Braintree town top 5 finish 12/1 £10  (now 4/1)

    Real Mardrid to win Champions League  11/2  £25 (now 9/2)

    Schalke to win the Europa League  25/1  £25 (now 25/1)
  • edited December 2015
    this months betting update

    Luton 12/1        £20 EW  (now 200/1)
    Gillingham 40/1  £15 EW  (now 10/1)
    Wolves  20/1     £20 EW  (now 250/1)
    Chelsea 7/4       £30 (now 66/1)

    Reading top 6  5/1  £20  (now 9/4)
    Middlesborough top 6  6/4   £100  (now 1/33)

    Everton, Reading, Gillingham, Wycombe all top half   16/1   £20  (now 6/4 )
    Swansea, Huddersfield, Chesterfield, Yeovil all bottom half finish   10/1  £25  (now 1/3 banker?)

    Kodjia championship top scorer,  50/1    £15 EW  (now 16/1)

    Hearts w/o Celtic   6/1   £50  (now 7/2)
    Osman Sow scottish top scorer  28/1    £10 EW  (now 40/1)

    Scott Sinclair top Villa scorer 25/1   £20  (now 3/1)
    Hazard top Chelsea scorer   5/1    £20  (now 7/1)
    Lens top Sunderland scorer  9/1   £20  (now 5/1)

    Lukaku, Rooney, Kane, Deeney, Sakho all t/s for their clubs, 10/1    £15  (now 120/1)

    Yaya toure top scorer 100/1   £5 EW (now 150/1)

    Braintree town top 5 finish 12/1 £10  (now 3/1)

    Real Mardrid to win Champions League  11/2  £25 (now 5/1)

    Schalke to win the Europa League  25/1  £25 (now 33/1)

    So overall I have 11 bets that have came in, in price, and 8 that have drifted in price, Id like to think that overall I am well on course to making a profit this season.
  • edited December 2015
    Gus Hiddenk was a huge 9/2 on Sky Bet for next manager (10 games+) now 1/7 come on you cert!
  • edited December 2015
    I do love a good next manager bet, You just have to get on super early as all the value can be gone in 15mins.
  • edited May 2016
    FINAL BETTING UPDATE!

    Luton 12/1        £20 EW  (now 40/1) loss
    Gillingham 40/1  £15 EW  (now 6/1) loss
    Wolves  20/1     £20 EW  (now 150/1)loss
    Chelsea 7/4       £30 (name your price!) lols

    Reading top 6  5/1  £20  (now 8/11) loss
    Middlesborough top 6  6/4   £100  (now 1/10)  £250 win

    Everton, Reading, Gillingham, Wycombe all top half   16/1   £20  (now 4/6 best bet so far) Loss
    Swansea, Huddersfield, Chesterfield, Yeovil all bottom half finish   10/1  £25  (now 2/1) win £275

    Kodjia championship top scorer,  50/1    £15 EW  (now 18/1) place £202.50

    Hearts w/o Celtic   6/1   £50  (now 6/4) loss
    Osman Sow scottish top scorer  28/1    £10 EW  (now 16/1) loss

    Scott Sinclair top Villa scorer 25/1   £20  (now 7/2) loss
    Hazard top Chelsea scorer   5/1    £20  (now 5/1) loss
    Lens top Sunderland scorer  9/1   £20  (now 5/1) loss

    Lukaku, Rooney, Kane, Deeney, Sakho all t/s for their clubs, 10/1    £15  (now 18/1) loss

    Yaya toure top scorer 100/1   £5 EW (now 66/1) loss (cheers Hhf)

    Braintree town top 5 finish 12/1 £10  (now 4/1) win £130 but so gutted they didnt go up.

    Real Mardrid to win Champions League  11/2  £25 (now 9/2) ??????

    Schalke to win the Europa League  25/1  £25 (now 25/1) loss


    Overall it did feel like a bad season as many of my pre-season bets ended up looking hopeless early on, my only real sweat was with Gillingham but they soon faded away once Dack got injured but i still managed to make a decent profit and i still have the Champions League for an even bigger profit...

    Overall i spent £550   with £857.50 returns.

    I will be back next season to do the same.
  • edited May 2016
    In Response to Jordz16 football betting 2015-16 Summary:
    FINAL BETTING UPDATE! Luton 12/1        £20 EW  (now 40/1) loss Gillingham 40/1  £15 EW  (now 6/1) loss Wolves  20/1     £20 EW  (now 150/1)loss Chelsea 7/4       £30 (name your price!) lols Reading top 6  5/1  £20  (now 8/11) loss Middlesborough top 6  6/4   £100  (now 1/10)  £250 win Everton, Reading, Gillingham, Wycombe all top half   16/1   £20  (now 4/6 best bet so far) Loss Swansea, Huddersfield, Chesterfield, Yeovil all bottom half finish   10/1  £25  (now 2/1) win £275 Kodjia championship top scorer,  50/1    £15 EW  (now 18/1) place £202.50 Hearts w/o Celtic   6/1   £50  (now 6/4) loss Osman Sow scottish top scorer  28/1    £10 EW  (now 16/1) loss Scott Sinclair top Villa scorer 25/1   £20  (now 7/2) loss Hazard top Chelsea scorer   5/1    £20  (now 5/1) loss Lens top Sunderland scorer  9/1   £20  (now 5/1) loss Lukaku, Rooney, Kane, Deeney, Sakho all t/s for their clubs, 10/1    £15  (now 18/1) loss Yaya toure top scorer 100/1   £5 EW (now 66/1) loss (cheers Hhf) Braintree town top 5 finish 12/1 £10  (now 4/1) win £130 but so gutted they didnt go up. Real Mardrid to win Champions League  11/2  £25 (now 9/2) ?????? Schalke to win the Europa League  25/1  £25 (now 25/1) loss Overall it did feel like a bad season as many of my pre-season bets ended up looking hopeless early on, my only real sweat was with Gillingham but they soon faded away once Dack got injured but i still managed to make a decent profit and i still have the Champions League for an even bigger profit... Overall i spent £550   with £857.50 returns. I will be back next season to do the same.
    Posted by jordz16


    Well done for making a profit. 

    Champions League tip for next season...the mighty Leicester City! :))

  • edited May 2016
    Cheers mate, after this year i dont think you can write them off!
  • edited May 2016
    Viva Ronaldo!!

    A Real Madric Champions league win takes me over the £1000 mark for the pre-season bets.

    Overall i spent £550   with £1020 returns.

    Profit of £470

    Roll on next season!
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