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Cheltenham - Mad Previews
SUPREME NOVICE
110 Getmeoutofhere
104 Dunguib
102 Manyriverstocross
96 Puyol
95 Rite Of Passage
93 Menorah
92 Salden Licht
90 Pepe Simo
89 Peddlers Cross
88 Flat Out
87 Oscar Wiskey
83 Bellvano
83 General Miller
78 Dan Breen
75 Ghizao
72 Loosen My Load
68 Blackstairmountain
65 Notus De La Tour
64 Morning Supreme
BETTING
Dunguib (4/5) , Get Me Out Of Here (8) , Blackstairmountain (12) , Menorah (12) , Oscar Whisky (12) , Rite Of Passage (14) , Bellvano (20) , Flat Out (25) , Peddlers Cross (25) , Dan Breen (33) , General Miller (33) , Loosen My Load (33) , Morning Supreme (33) , Pepe Simo (33) , Ghizao (40) , Manyriverstocross (40) , Notus De La Tour (50) , Puyol (50) , Salden Licht (50)
VERDICT
The Irish superstar Dunguib is expected to get the show underway in scintillating fashion, not having to be extended in Ireland during the season yet putting up some impressive times but at 4/5 he is worth opposing especially with Jonjo O’Neill’s unbeaten Get Me Out Of Here who should not be taken lightly after his exploits at Newbury and has seriously worked his way into the equation although if the ground became too testing he would be up against it.
Tom Segal’s Blackstairmountain being supported into freakishly short odds with no serious evidence to suggest he can land this, Rite of Passage looks like going for the Neptune and Puyol who will go for the County Hurdle which leaves us with Manyriverstocross who is a staggering 40-1 with most firms, Alan King fancies this horse a lot who has strong experience on the flat and has transferred over to hurdles very well picking up a Group 2 Noivce. Running here will mean taking on Get Me Out Of Here again which Alan King may refuse that task and understudy theres nothing to suggest he should over turn the form although there looks like a few dropping out of the race and he ran well behind him at Newbury, Cheltenham does spring a surprise and he’s more than capable of running into the places or hopefully captialisng on errors to win which would be profitable at 40-1.
BETS
Manyriverstocross 40-1 EW
Getmeoutofhere 8-1 EW
110 Getmeoutofhere
104 Dunguib
102 Manyriverstocross
96 Puyol
95 Rite Of Passage
93 Menorah
92 Salden Licht
90 Pepe Simo
89 Peddlers Cross
88 Flat Out
87 Oscar Wiskey
83 Bellvano
83 General Miller
78 Dan Breen
75 Ghizao
72 Loosen My Load
68 Blackstairmountain
65 Notus De La Tour
64 Morning Supreme
BETTING
Dunguib (4/5) , Get Me Out Of Here (8) , Blackstairmountain (12) , Menorah (12) , Oscar Whisky (12) , Rite Of Passage (14) , Bellvano (20) , Flat Out (25) , Peddlers Cross (25) , Dan Breen (33) , General Miller (33) , Loosen My Load (33) , Morning Supreme (33) , Pepe Simo (33) , Ghizao (40) , Manyriverstocross (40) , Notus De La Tour (50) , Puyol (50) , Salden Licht (50)
VERDICT
The Irish superstar Dunguib is expected to get the show underway in scintillating fashion, not having to be extended in Ireland during the season yet putting up some impressive times but at 4/5 he is worth opposing especially with Jonjo O’Neill’s unbeaten Get Me Out Of Here who should not be taken lightly after his exploits at Newbury and has seriously worked his way into the equation although if the ground became too testing he would be up against it.
Tom Segal’s Blackstairmountain being supported into freakishly short odds with no serious evidence to suggest he can land this, Rite of Passage looks like going for the Neptune and Puyol who will go for the County Hurdle which leaves us with Manyriverstocross who is a staggering 40-1 with most firms, Alan King fancies this horse a lot who has strong experience on the flat and has transferred over to hurdles very well picking up a Group 2 Noivce. Running here will mean taking on Get Me Out Of Here again which Alan King may refuse that task and understudy theres nothing to suggest he should over turn the form although there looks like a few dropping out of the race and he ran well behind him at Newbury, Cheltenham does spring a surprise and he’s more than capable of running into the places or hopefully captialisng on errors to win which would be profitable at 40-1.
BETS
Manyriverstocross 40-1 EW
Getmeoutofhere 8-1 EW
Comments
think dunguib can only loose this race as its head and shoulders ahead of the rest but has occasionaly tried to demolish a few hurdles and at the pace the will be going at cheltenham that would put me of at odds on.
get me out of here is value if you can get him at 8s but only seems to be avaliable at 6s at best but with the amount of irish money and betting shop double and trebbles which willgo on dunguib you might get your 8s on the day
for me a couple of 25/1 shots are worth an eachway poke general miller and pedlers cross
nice post keep em cuming m8
Yea this Dunguib is a complete different class, ive been backing it ante post for a while now..Lets hope it gets the majority of the country off to a good start at cheltenham..People r saying the bookies will try and lay this so it mite go off 11/10 on the day..if it does that is a cracking bet..
And that peddlers cross runs in the neptune novice hurdle its around 8/1 looks another good e/w bet..
I think the irish will have at least 4 winners on the first day...them being Dunguib, Go Native, Captain Cee Bee & Garde Champetre...roll on next tuesday
113 Somersby
107 Captain Cee Bee
103 Tataniano
102 Shakervilz
101 Riverside Theatre
100 Osana
96 Sizing Europe
95 Kempes
92 Long Run
91 French Opera
91 Woolcombe Folly
91 Nicanor
90 The Nightingale
88 Bedlam Boy
87 Mad Max
87 Quiscover Fontaine
86 Sports Line
85 Uimhiraceathar
63 Bergo
BETTING
Captain Cee Bee (10/3) , Somersby (11/2) , Sizing Europe (13/2) , Long Run (10) , Riverside Theatre (10) , Sports Line (10) , Tataniano (16) , Osana (20) , Bergo (33) , French Opera (33) , Shakervilz (33) , The Nightingale (33) , Woolcombe Folly (33) , Kangaroo Court (40) , Mad Max (40) , Bedlam Boy (50) , Kempes (50) , Nicanor (50) , Quiscover Fontaine (50) , Uimhiraceathair (50)
VERDICT
The stand out selection in this race would be Captain Cee Bee who was a winner of the Supreme Novice Hurdle in 2008, he broke a blood vessel in 2008 and came back off a 608 day layoff to win a decent handicap but hasn’t really been put to the sword although he’s subsequently fell despite going so easily which makes you want to ask a few questions, will he be up for a scintillating end to end gallop, will he want to finish up the hill? We know the abilities there but his mental fitness will be put to the test after recent experiences.
There is however an emergence of a talented Novice Chaser who put up an impressive performance at Sandown running 1.82 seconds faster than Twist Magic who was primed for the Tingle Creek in top condition and he is Somersby, the sky really is the limit in the chasing world for Somersby who is a real big and fine looking chaser who has the potential to win a Gold Cup one day and on evidence to date he’ll take some stopping in the Arkle. Those who liked to think outside the box at bigger prices you’ll have to be interested in the pair Tataniano and Shakervilz.
Tataniano has definite potential but people are very quick to write of his chances when comparing him to last year’s Tatenen, but prior to the emergence of Somersby he was very much in the forefront of my mind with an Ante Post bet still on his head given his fine run at Cheltenham running 2.11 seconds slower than the Connaught Chase carrying an extra 6lb than the winner Well Chief with Master Minded in behind, I am convinced he has a lot of potential although he relishes good ground or better and with that in mind he’ll be avoided if the ground turns out too testing.
The other horse on the equation has to be the Willie Mullins trained Shakervilz, now I have let this one slip my mind especially as there hasn’t been too much talk surrounding his chances and the betting shows that but when working through the ratings I think you really have to take consideration of his chances, the race at Leopardstown when earning his figure of 102 was run on good ground despite every form book mentioning heavy and he beat a well backed horse that day called Sorceror who subsequently finished 6l behind Captain Cee Bee on his return but Shakervilz has come out and beat Sorceror again by 15l in the Group 2 Novice at Navan which leaves us in the a precarious position although he may not be up to winning an Arkle the trainer stated this is his most likely route and he’s definitely a nice horse to keep on the right side off.
BETS
Somersby Win @ 11-2
Tataniano EW @ 16-1
Shakervilz EW @ 33-1
Just putting together the final ratings for the Triumph Hurdle at the moment but won't start writing up untill the Arsenal game is over. Thanks for everyones kind comments.
89 Shot From The Hip
89 Frawley
88 Al Ferof
88 Drumbaloo
78 Day Of A Lifetime
70 Bishopsfurze
70 Hidden Universe
70 Dunraven Storm
70 Shannon Spirit
69 Tavern Times
67 Fishoutofwater
67 Forty FootTom
67 On His Own
66 Jetson
64 Elegant Concorde
59 Up Ou That
56 Mizzurka
43 Cue Card
BETTING
Elegant Concorde (6) , Hidden Universe (8) , Day Of A Lifetime (9) , Al Ferof (10) , Drumbaloo (10) , Shot From The Hip (10) , Tavern Times (12) , Up Ou That (14) , Bishopsfurze (16) , Dare Me (25) , Dont Turn Bach (25) , Dunraven Storm (25) , Forty Foot Tom (25) , Frawley (25) , Lios A Choill (25) , Made In Time (25) , Megastar (25) , Old Mcdonald (25) , Royal Swain (25) , Shannon Spirit (25)
VERDICT
The Champion Bumper is always a tricky race to assess especially from a speed perspective as the ground in Ireland is dead and horses are taken care off when racing, not being thrashed around at a ridiculous pace but they all still have to run a time on the clock which can still give us important information as to who has the biggest potential. The Dermot Weld pair Elegant Concorde and Hidden Universe are both well touted in the market with the trainer unsure of who would run the best race probally the same position were in and I would rather a more confident and bold statement from such a well regarded trainer.
The winner looks most likely to come from the Eddie O’Grady stable in Shot From The Hip, this horse was an impressive winner at Leopardstown a few weekends back and has catapulted himself towards the top of the pecking order above Al Ferof and Drumbaloo who are both beneficiaries of Group wins yet you always have to take caution with such a big performance on the clock as you don’t want Shot From The Hip leaving a Cheltenham performance at Leopardstown although he done it with ease without having to be extended suggesting he has genuine class and with even more to come then he is going to be an extremely hard horses to beat on the day.
The race wouldn’t be right without a Willie Mullins runner going close considering his contingent of runners and I think his best hope would lie with Day Of A Lifetime who is open to any amount of improvement with a very promising run on debut but his price looks to be on the short side for me and Cheltenham after all is about trying to find value which is why you shouldn’t overlook John Kiely’s Frawley, even though he looks to be held by Elegant Concorde the 5yo gelding has experience on his side which is a massive plus in this type of race and has come out to record a solid time at Leopardstown last time out with the second coming out and hacking up of late, let’s not forget Frawley was 8l behind Quantitativeeasing on debut in a 24 runner field a Punchestown and that horse is a 137 rated hurdler now, it is also interesting to see Frawley has been kept to bumpers he looks a good shout at 25-1
BETS
Shot From The Hip EW @ 10-1
Frawley EW @ 25-1
I dont think it has any chance..The favourite in the race Rite Of Passage will take alot of beating, but if u want a good e/w bet in the race then Peddlers Cross 8/1 looks the 1 to be on..
Tuesday
Supreme Novice..Dunguib 4/5 (only 1 selection needed here, this horse is a cert imo)
Arkle...Captain Cee Bee 3/1 (nap) - Sports Line 8/1 e/w
Will Hill Chase...The Package 11/2 - The Tother One 14/1 e/w
Champion Hurdle...Go Native 7/2 - Khyber Kim 8/1 e/w
Cross Country...Garde Champetre 9/4
Mares Hurdle...Voler la Vedette 13/8
Wednesday
Neptune Novice Hurdle...Rite Of Passage 10/3 - Peddlers Cross 8/1 e/w
RSA Chase...Long Run 2/1 - Diamond Harry 7/1 e/w
Champion Chase...Master Minded 5/6 (nap) ( If this horse jumps round it should win)
Coral Cup...Quantitativeasing 7/1 - Sir Harry Ormesher 16/1 e/w
Fred Winter...Sanctuaire 7/1 e/w
Champion Bumper...Drumbaloo 8/1 - Up Ou That 14/1 e/w
Thursday
Jewson...Hey Big Spender 10/1 e/w
Pertemps Final...Alfie Sherrin 7/2 - Fredo 14/1 e/w
Ryanair Chase...Tranquil Sea 4/1 (nap) - Jack The Giant 33/1 e/w
World Hurdle...Big Bucks 8/13 ( beaten its main rivals b4 no reason y it shouldn't again)
Bryne Handicap...Sunnyhillboy 8/1 e/w
Friday
Triumph Hurdle...Secant Star 9/1 e/w (nap)
Vincent O'Brein Hurdle...Qaspal 5/1- Tito Bustillo 8/1 e/w
Albert Bartlett...Tell Masini 9/2
Gold Cup...Kauto Star 4/6 (10 lengths +)
Foxhunter Chase...Baby Run 5/1
Martin Pipe Hurdle...Ashkazar 7/1 e/w
Grand Annual Chase...Tataniano 7/1 e/w
My best bet of the week although its odds on is Dunguib, This horse is an absolute machineeeee...It won the champion bumper at cheltenham last year by 10 lengths...All the experts reckon that this horse cant jump, But i still think it can hit every hurdle and still win...Just listen to the roar when this horse turns in for home crusing..
If the all the bankers of the festival (Dunguib, Master Minded, Big Bucks & Kauto Star) all win...Its said that its goina cost the bookies 50million in payout..Every year 1 of the so called bankers lose but i really think this could be the year when they all steam in..In a Acca i think it pays around 9/1..Good luck with your cheltenham bets people..
EDIT (and MADHORSE)
For what its worth heres my tips for tomorrow and what ive had on them, please note all tips i post on here loose so dont back them.
13.30 - Get me out of here £5.00 win @ 5/1
14.05 - Sizing Europe £5.00 win @ 5/1
14.40 - Kicks for free £2.50ew @ 25/1
15.20 - Kyber Kim £5.00 win @ 8/1
16.00 - Garde Champetre £40.00 win @ 9/4
16.40 - Voler la vadette £40.00 win @ 7/4
Banking on one of the last 2 to win to get my money back, should be a godo days racing, good luck to all who having a bet,
Good luck everyone.
here's my 1st chelt bet win only dtw
backed these as a patent
gl all !!!
Hope you didnt put to much on this one m8
MADE UP FOR GENERAL MILLER FALLING AT FIRST IN THE FIRST AND DUNGUIB KILLING ALL MY ACCYS FOR THE WEEK