** JACKPOT SYNDICATE ** OFFICIAL THREAD ** 387 SHARES FINALISED FOR AUGUST 1ST 2017 ONWARDS ** AUGUS

unknown_username

yep i thought they was going to blow out on that leg

unknown_username

on herman and spinners ball lets hope for a good outcome here.

jack of diamonds looks a threat

StayOrGo

Need Herman, Spinners Ball and the SP fav beat in the last for it to rollover.

The good news is that Herman was my nap. so can't possibly win can it? :=)

Statistically they have 55% of the betting market covered.

Come on the RAGS!

StayOrGo

Spinner's Ball won, so the Jackpot was part won for 50p.

Leaving us with another dilemma as the rollover is now only £10K.

I will have a think about this late tomorrow morning, but anyone who wants to, feel free to add your comments/thoughts.

Roger, please could you prep the card anyway when the meeting is known, as it will be a late decision. Would be great if it could be tonight, but clearly we'd need to know the meeting first.

Cheers,

G

unknown_username

very unlucky as outsider of lot got beat by a nostril. only a half share won tho

unknown_username

hmmmmmmm if its ayr i think go for it, it does look doable.  tbh ive not looked at other meetings yet but i trust your judgement mate.

bearace

It,s  Leicester  ..

wynne1938

Tuesday's Jackpot

Races 1-6 from Leicester
First Race - 18:00

unknown_username

not that im questioning it but where you find that out?

unknown_username

at first glance there is no banker. looks like a massive perm aswell. 

StayOrGo

Hmm, Leicester, not great.

The trouble with all these evening meetings, is that it gives them more options to pick the most difficult card.

In light of their not being a suitable banker at Leicester and some big fields, I think we will probably pass.

However, with it being an evening meeting, we can take a look at the market tomorrow.

Don't worry about the spreadsheet for now Roger.

I will provide an update around noon.

As always, people are welcome to post their thoughts as to whether we should attempt it or not.

Cheers,

G

wynne1938

In Response to Re: ** JACKPOT SYNDICATE - OFFICIAL THREAD ** ALL PAYMENTS HAVE BEEN RECEIVED. TY. SHARE DEALINGS ARE NOW FROZEN UNTIL 26TH MAY 2017:

not that im questioning it but where you find that out?
Posted by MICKYBLUE

Tote pool live information,twitter

bearace

It,s a no from me  -  hope for another roll over.

StayOrGo

In Response to Re: ** JACKPOT SYNDICATE - OFFICIAL THREAD ** ALL PAYMENTS HAVE BEEN RECEIVED. TY. SHARE DEALINGS ARE NOW FROZEN UNTIL 26TH MAY 2017:

In Response to Re: ** JACKPOT SYNDICATE - OFFICIAL THREAD ** ALL PAYMENTS HAVE BEEN RECEIVED. TY. SHARE DEALINGS ARE NOW FROZEN UNTIL 26TH MAY 2017 : Tote pool live information,twitter
Posted by wynne1938

Hi Wynne, could you post the link as it doesn't come through on my twitter feed.

Cheers,

G

unknown_username

a big no from me aswell

there a 6 horse race where 4 have all got plus going for them. 

lets hope for a few rollovers and a doable card thursday friday.

unknown_username

In Response to Re: ** JACKPOT SYNDICATE - OFFICIAL THREAD ** ALL PAYMENTS HAVE BEEN RECEIVED. TY. SHARE DEALINGS ARE NOW FROZEN UNTIL 26TH MAY 2017:

In Response to Re: ** JACKPOT SYNDICATE - OFFICIAL THREAD ** ALL PAYMENTS HAVE BEEN RECEIVED. TY. SHARE DEALINGS ARE NOW FROZEN UNTIL 26TH MAY 2017 : Hi Wynne, could you post the link as it doesn't come through on my twitter feed. Cheers, G
Posted by StayOrGo

ditto not on my feed either 

StayOrGo

Well one things for sure, rollover at Leicester or not, the Jackpot will be at Chester on Wednesday which has a very tough card that we would not attempt.

Incidentally Chester's 5f races has one of the most well known draw bias's in the country, favouring low drawn runners, it also suits runners that race prominently.

Regarding Leicester, it generally favours low drawn runners over 6f, 7f and a mile, the last two furlongs are uphill, so takes some getting.

Cheers,

G

StayOrGo

In Response to Re: ** JACKPOT SYNDICATE - OFFICIAL THREAD ** ALL PAYMENTS HAVE BEEN RECEIVED. TY. SHARE DEALINGS ARE NOW FROZEN UNTIL 26TH MAY 2017:

a big no from me aswell there a 6 horse race where 4 have all got plus going for them.  lets hope for a few rollovers and a doable card thursday friday.
Posted by MICKYBLUE

OK, it's a NO then, Roger can stand down.

Cheers,

G

wynne1938

In Response to Re: ** JACKPOT SYNDICATE - OFFICIAL THREAD ** ALL PAYMENTS HAVE BEEN RECEIVED. TY. SHARE DEALINGS ARE NOW FROZEN UNTIL 26TH MAY 2017:

In Response to Re: ** JACKPOT SYNDICATE - OFFICIAL THREAD ** ALL PAYMENTS HAVE BEEN RECEIVED. TY. SHARE DEALINGS ARE NOW FROZEN UNTIL 26TH MAY 2017 : Hi Wynne, could you post the link as it doesn't come through on my twitter feed. Cheers, G
Posted by StayOrGo

I went to totrpool live information,then clicked on home then at the top they have a twitter link.

StayOrGo

In Response to Re: ** JACKPOT SYNDICATE - OFFICIAL THREAD ** ALL PAYMENTS HAVE BEEN RECEIVED. TY. SHARE DEALINGS ARE NOW FROZEN UNTIL 26TH MAY 2017:

In Response to Re: ** JACKPOT SYNDICATE - OFFICIAL THREAD ** ALL PAYMENTS HAVE BEEN RECEIVED. TY. SHARE DEALINGS ARE NOW FROZEN UNTIL 26TH MAY 2017 : I went to totrpool live information,then clicked on home then at the top they have a twitter link.
Posted by wynne1938

Oh yeh, that's good to know, thx Wynne.

StayOrGo

The opening post has been updated to reflect our NO-GO decision for Leicester on 09/05/17.

It was a marginal decision for me, but I have respected the opinions of those who have posted on this thread. Wednesday's card at Chester (10/05/17) will be too tough, so we will take a look again on Wednesday night re Thursday. 11/05/17

Cheers,

G

StayOrGo

Good decision to skip it guys, it's a rollover already.

Couple of outsiders winning legs 1 and 2 has knocked out all Jackpot contenders.

Cheers,

G

StayOrGo

Opening Post updated with the NO-GO decision for Chester tomorrow, tough card.

mkgunner

rollover to thursday

StayOrGo

Card looks reasonable with the exception of a banker. It looks like we'd have to go with Dalik in the 5th leg. It is even money atm. I would rather our banker was odds on. What do you think guys. GO or NO-GO? On phone atm. Will be back home at 6pm.

bearace

Thursdays card certainly looks easier than Wednesdays.Having said that the handicaps look tricky especially the 4.35 which would be the last leg  -  I am not sure how many selections in this race you would need in the perm to be confident of getting the winner.My inclination is to give it a miss but if you fancy it Graham go  for it   -  as I said before I have total confidence in your judgement!

StayOrGo

In Response to Re: ** JACKPOT SYNDICATE - OFFICIAL THREAD ** IT'S A NO-GO FOR CHESTER 10/05/17 ** SHARE DEALINGS ARE NOW FROZEN UNTIL 26TH MAY 2017:

Thursdays card certainly looks easier than Wednesdays.Having said that the handicaps look tricky especially the 4.35 which would be the last leg  -  I am not sure how many selections in this race you would need in the perm to be confident of getting the winner.My inclination is to give it a miss but if you fancy it Graham go  for it   -  as I said before I have total confidence in your judgement!
Posted by bearace

Hi Bearace, in a way, I think it is good to have a couple of open races as it means that, if won, there is a reasonable chance that not too many units would be left.

The type of perm I would think about doing is as follows:

1.50: 2 selections
2.25: 3 selections
3.00: 4 selections
3.35: 3 selections
4.05: 1 selection (Dahik)
4.35: 6 selections

This type of perm would cost £216 so we could go a bit wider even, if we made it 5 selections in the 3.00pm and 7 selections in the 4.35 the perm cost goes up to £315.

So for me, the question surrounds the "banker". Is Even money too big, ideally it would be odds-on. Even if we were to add another selection to this leg, not only would it double the perm cost, it would also be tricky as to which other one to pick, as there are a whole host of contenders.

Are we happy to go with Dahik?


My thoughts are that we should go for it if there is support for Dahik and it either stays at evens or goes odds/on before the off of the first race.

It means it will be a late decision again. I will decide at about 1.20pm.

Is everyone OK with that?

Cheers,

G 

StayOrGo

If anyone has a strong objection or concern over our "banker" please post here.

Roger, please could you prep the spreadsheet in anticipation of a GO decision. (If you could let me know that you have seen this, that would be great)

Cheers,

G

StayOrGo

Apologies for it being a last minute decision for tomorrow. I will decide by 1.20PM.

Our attempt statistically depends upon whether "Dahik" goes odds-on or not before the off of the first race.

As you know our strategy needs a banker and effectively an Even money shot covers about 45% of the betting market with a 10/11 shot 50%.

I would be happy to go for it (from a statistician's perspective) if we cover 50% of the market, 45% at a push.

So, as I stated earlier, if Dalik drifts out to odds against, then we will ABORT, EVENS or shorter and we go for it.

Unless anyone posts any objections, whatever the best odds available on Dahik are at 1.20pm will determine if we go for it or not.

EVENS OR LESS = YES
ODDS AGAINST = NO

Cheers,

G

zadoc

In Response to Re: ** JACKPOT SYNDICATE - OFFICIAL THREAD ** IT'S A NO-GO FOR CHESTER 10/05/17 ** SHARE DEALINGS ARE NOW FROZEN UNTIL 26TH MAY 2017:

If anyone has a strong objection or concern over our "banker" please post here. Roger, please could you prep the spreadsheet in anticipation of a GO decision. (If you could let me know that you have seen this, that would be great) Cheers, G
Posted by StayOrGo

 

  Hi G,

  OK I'M ON IT.

  DO WE KNOW  IT'S CHESTER OR EDUCATED GUESS?

  R