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Key Characteristics
The course was re-developed in 2005 and their is not enough data to form any strong opinion. The limited data there is suggests an even spread of winners but due to the watering policy at Ascot any biases might be from meeting to meeting rather than over time.
The course was re-developed in 2005 and their is not that much data to form any strong opinion. The limited data there is suggests an even spread of winners but due to the watering policy at Ascot any biases might be from meeting to meeting rather than over time.
The 7 furlongs at Ascot is straight but there is not really enough data for any proper analysis, although the limited data available does suggest that being drawn high is very slightly preferred. Also it is interesting that a lot of runners have won from middle stalls in the big field races at Ascot.
It is a widely held belief that high numbers are favoured in big fields, however the stats simply don't back this up. Overall their is very little bias, particularly in the smaller fields when the horses tend to form one group down the middle of the course. However it does appear that in bigger fields when typically the horses will split into two or more groups that it is actually low numbers which are favoured over Ascots straight mile.
They very rarely use the round mile at Ascot, and when they do the field sizes are quite small and therefore it would suggest that their is no draw bias on the Ascot round mile. However their is a view that being drawn low is a disadvantage as it results in horses being boxed in on the rail even in small fields.
In terms of the individual distances, if we look at were Ascot ranks against other turf courses which have races over equivalent distances. Ascot is ranked at the bottom or near the bottom for Front Runners for every distance
5 Furlongs - 20th out of 31 courses
6 Furlongs - 29th out of 29 courses
7 Furlongs - 23rd out of 23 courses
8 Furlongs - 24th out of 25 courses
10 Furlongs - 25th out of 26 courses
12 Furlongs - 14th out of 16 courses
2.35 Kazimiera N/R
Nearly Caught 3-10
Tabbarak 4-20
"[Ben B] I have asked and unfortunately we are not yet aware of this. They did however say that Ascot is on tomorrow therefore the likelihood is that it will be tomorrow however we are not 100% sure."
Spreadsheets will be posted imminently.
Cheers,
G
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