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PRIMO 29/08/2010 - OFFICIAL SHOW THREAD

edited August 2010 in Poker Chat

Afternoon all,

Lisa-Marie and I will be with you from eight o’clock this evening with live coverage of the Primo.  If you’re playing in the tournament, good luck!

Obviously, you can ask for a specific hand to be shown by posting the ID number in this thread.  We also welcome your comments and questions.

I’m sure LM will be along later to tell you what else is happening on the show and give you some ideas for discussion points, but here’s one debate I’d like to get going…

Maths vs tournament survival

This was brought up in a thread in The Poker Clinic about a hand in Thursday’s main event.  (For reference, the thread is HERE)

And these are the key arguments presented by two of Sky Poker’s finest…

GREGHOGG:

Some players view tournament survival (i.e making a min cash) as essential to remain profitable players and therefore do not make "maths" calls that put their tournament lives at risk if they are clearly behind.

beaneh:

If you are only ever playing for the min cash then you will be a losing tournie player because all the money is up top, it's that simple.  You cant min cash every other event.

Let’s keep this debate going!  Where do you stand on the issue?  Should every decision you make in a tournament be a simple mathematical consideration?  Do you play for the win, or just aim to make the money?  Do you make laydowns in tournaments that you would never make in a cash game?

Look forward to reading your responses.

«1345

Comments

  • edited August 2010
    I have posted a few times on this issue.

    Its clear to me that you must always play for the win , because as Beaneh rightly says the cash is all up top, especially in a big field like Primo.

    Approaching the bubble usually offers the opportunity of picking up some easy chips, particularly if you can accurately identify the players on your table who are desperate to just cash.

    Going towards  the business end of a tourney, you need to accumulate as many as you can, as quite often you will hit a card dead spell, and may have to tighten up a bit.

    I always keep a close eye on the leaderboard and set myself targets, firstly top ten, where the money starts to become worthwhile. The next is to final table, and often I am happy to quietly ladder up through 9th, 8th and 7th, knowing that even if I arrive at the FT short I still have every chance of winning it.

    Tony
  • edited August 2010
    I don't think there is any conflict in the two views. Both have their place in a tournament dependent on circumstances. Both views are right as far as profitability goes. An established and profitable player's view is correct that the big money is at the top, but equally a cash can double a newcomers bankroll.

    Tight aggressive is accepted as the way to play in the early stages of a tournament but it is also a good style to adopt post bubble in some circumstances. Aggression pre bubble can bring great rewards but sometimes circumstances make it right to be passive immediately pre bubble. If you don't cash you won't win the tournament and sometimes what you do post bubble is as vital to giving yourself a chance of winning the tournament.

    Choosing to be passive at various stages of a tournament is absolutely fine as long as you can recognise the point you need to step it up a gear or two. Passive immediately post bubble is often a wise choice as a lot of players will be either relieved to have made it or panicked into making a move. Passive (tight aggressive) at this point allows things to re-settle and keeps you in the hunt. In the very late stages, laddering is a perfectly acceptable means to winning the tournament. Often your opponents will damage each other with no risk to yourself.

    A simple philosophy I have always followed is that if you don't cash you don't win. If you don't get to a H2H position you can't possibly win it. Sometimes it needs a combination of activity and passivity to achieve both goals. A look at my Sharkscope graph (currently on ''super tilt'')will show that I definitely play to win but passivity has a part in my game and hopefully in winning any tournament.

    I don't play the maths in tournaments. Decisions I make are based on my position on table/tournament and who the opponent is and their relative chipstack to mine. Always looking to progress, the hand I hold is a lesser consideration generally. (Warning this can and does lead to some spectacular crashes and cashes).
  • edited August 2010
    Great stuff so far.

    Keep it coming!

  • edited August 2010
    WOOF !  Nice post.

    Yes, I too have some spectacular crashes before and after the bubble. From chip leader to out in two hands has been known !

    But I know that crashing in the deeper stages of four out of five tourneys , and reaching the final table for a good cash in the fifth is more profitable than creeping into the money in all five.
  • edited August 2010

    When we play poker for fun only, the objective is to at least break even, and making a small profit is a bonus. Any larger wins are obviously nice, and playing generally tight in mtts to try to make a min cash does not mean that the big win wont come. But of course it is much less likely.

    Therefore, if you are prepared to make big fold's in mtts you will not lose longterm and you will never go broke beacuse the min cashes pay for the next mtts. This is the point tikay made very well in the thread.

    If, on the other hand, you don't mind not cashing because you are prepared to risk it all and make "maths" calls frequently you are relying on binking a big win to cover your costs. This will not always happen and you can soon find yourself being a losing player, allbeit a very good aggressive losing player. When the big wins do come you are laughing though, obviously.

    I like playing poker without much risk and therefore i naturally favour the first approach...

    However, i have attempted the other way of playing many times with varying degrees of success lol.

    Just play the way you are most comfortable with is my advice and as long as you are at least break even or making a small profit over time, this is all that matters imo.





  • edited August 2010
    Anyone fancy throwing their hat in the ring for the tournament survival? We're looking for an opposing view to Beaneh this evening....

    Anyone willing to take a phone call on the matter should post below!

    A
  • edited August 2010
    In Response to Re: PRIMO 29/08/2010 - OFFICIAL SHOW THREAD:
    Anyone fancy throwing their hat in the ring for the tournament survival? We're looking for an opposing view to Beaneh this evening.... Anyone willing to take a phone call on the matter should post below! A
    Posted by Sky_Ling
    Sorry Ling a phone call is not really possible for me today, but my further thoughts are above
  • edited August 2010
    i disagree with beaneh on this one, and i have my reasons behind the logic. i dont mind a phone call to explain - im free tonight.
  • edited August 2010
    In Response to Re: PRIMO 29/08/2010 - OFFICIAL SHOW THREAD:
    WOOF !  Nice post. Yes, I too have some spectacular crashes before and after the bubble. From chip leader to out in two hands has been known ! But I know that crashing in the deeper stages of four out of five tourneys , and reaching the final table for a good cash in the fifth is more profitable than creeping into the money in all five.
    Posted by penguin7
    Ty Penguin

    I don't think our views differ, I just took 200 more words to say it than you did :o)

  • edited August 2010

    Hi Lisa-Marie & James, have a great show!

    On the subject of cashing -vs- winning - James, I recently watched the final table of the EPT Monaco tournament which seemed to be a classic case of CASH rather than WIN. Chouity just stomped all over the table as the other six folded their way up the cash ladder. Unusual to see a final table where so many seemed to be hoping for the cash ladder rather than the win.

    That QQ fold by Karmazinas was rather interesting.

  • edited August 2010
    clearly when playing a tournament its play to win. If the odds are there when your behind to hit a miricle card then im taking the chance every day of the week. If i lose i still have shoving power, if i win im in better shape and can start to wriggle my way up the ladder to that 1st place prize. 

    Ive never played a tournament to cash, ive always played to win. If you play to cash, surley your better on a Cash table or DYM?

    Also i dont mind a phone call to go into more detail
  • edited August 2010
    In Response to Re: PRIMO 29/08/2010 - OFFICIAL SHOW THREAD:
    Hi Lisa-Marie & James, have a great show! On the subject of cashing -vs- winning - James, I recently watched the final table of the EPT Monaco tournament which seemed to be a classic case of CASH rather than WIN. Chouity just stomped all over the table as the other six folded their way up the cash ladder. Unusual to see a final table where so many seemed to be hoping for the cash ladder rather than the win. That QQ fold by Karmazinas was rather interesting.
    Posted by NoseyBonk

    I watched that too. Chouity was hitting everything and getting the hands. I think they were all amateurs and each rung on the ladder represented a huge amount of money. Surviving or going for the win relate to how much the money means to you as an individual. A player who has been in the final table shuffle many times and been successful will have more confidence in his/her ability to go for it and be successful.
  • edited August 2010
    In Response to Re: PRIMO 29/08/2010 - OFFICIAL SHOW THREAD:
    clearly when playing a tournament its play to win. If the odds are there when your behind to hit a miricle card then im taking the chance every day of the week. If i lose i still have shoving power, if i win im in better shape and can start to wriggle my way up the ladder to that 1st place prize.  Ive never played a tournament to cash, ive always played to win. If you play to cash, surley your better on a Cash table or DYM? Also i dont mind a phone call to go into more detail
    Posted by The_Don90
    funny you should say that, but im running better on cash and DYM rather than MTT Donkaments just now, maybe those games fit my mindset better than spending 4 hours on a MTT to min cash.
  • edited August 2010
    my tourny surviving is not going out 1st after that it`s a bonus ?
  • edited August 2010
    In Response to Re: PRIMO 29/08/2010 - OFFICIAL SHOW THREAD:
    In Response to Re: PRIMO 29/08/2010 - OFFICIAL SHOW THREAD : funny you should say that, but im running better on cash and DYM rather than MTT Donkaments just now, maybe those games fit my mindset
    better than spending 4 hours on a MTT to min cash.
    Posted by theneons

    Surely this is Beanh's point, so I'm not sure how you disagree with him.
  • edited August 2010
    I wish after reading back to go a little more onto what i said.

    Right i said above that i play to win. That is correct, although a point i think Elsadog made, to a newcommer a small cash can double a bankroll. This takes me back a little. Recently when my BR has been weak ive done DYM's and cash to build it up quicker, but tournaments on the side are the real deal for me.

    So going back to my early days playing poker, i did play to cash, however after one win, i realised winning is far more important, hense my above statements. The money is bigger, the rewards are greater, the feeling is more electric.

    However the pressure i put on myself to win everything i enter is quite tough, expessially when you do get down the the business end. Everytime i enter a tournament i enter it expecting to Final Table or win it. This puts the pressure on myself more so after ive cashed.

    However in the problem with this is then because ive put this pressure on myself i make silly little mistakes, often before the cash to so that i have something to build on afterwards.
  • edited August 2010
    I disagree with beaneh, for the simple reason, not everyone is playing with a large bankroll.
    If you are an inexperienced player, chances are you will have qualified for one of the main event competitions  via a satellite, or a satellite then a semi-final.
    Your first and main objective is to reach the cash bubble, for a substantial profit, then go for it.

    I have only played the Primo five times and cashed once, 1st August finished 12th for £127, not a bad profit on £1.50 entry, at the bubble, 52 left in, I was reasonably safe in 42nd and folded KK out of position, as the shorties were pushing all-in with any rag A, btw A came on flop, after the bubble I could play normally and managed to reach the final two tables. Even the bubble was £83 which for any player not on a large bankroll is a good ROI.
  • edited August 2010
    In Response to Re: PRIMO 29/08/2010 - OFFICIAL SHOW THREAD:
    In Response to Re: PRIMO 29/08/2010 - OFFICIAL SHOW THREAD : Surely this is Beanh's point, so I'm not sure how you disagree with him.
    Posted by elsadog
    should be an interesting phone call
  • edited August 2010
    In Response to Re: PRIMO 29/08/2010 - OFFICIAL SHOW THREAD:
    I disagree with beaneh, for the simple reason, not everyone is playing with a large bankroll. If you are an inexperienced player, chances are you will have qualified for one of the main event competitions  via a satellite, or a satellite then a semi-final. Your first and main objective is to reach the cash bubble, for a substantial profit, then go for it. I have only played the Primo five times and cashed once, 1st August finished 12th for £127, not a bad profit on £1.50 entry, at the bubble, 52 left in, I was reasonably safe in 42nd and folded KK out of position, as the shorties were pushing all-in with any rag A, btw A came on flop, after the bubble I could play normally and managed to reach the final two tables. Even the bubble was £83 which for any player not on a large bankroll is a good ROI.
    Posted by Red_King
    Right now here is something i will maybe state. I agree if you satellite in then min cash in a big tournament is a very good ROI. So these are the people i like to pick on on the cash bubble.

    Ok so shortys shove with any rag ace. OK so you fold KK. Ok. Now, onw thing here ive learnt from non-tournament play but can be adopted in tournament bubble sitations, now i dont know you posistion here im guessing UTG.

    Ok to we're UTG with KK, say we open shove, (DYM style) do these shorties then risk their lives on A9 or less. I dont think so. OK so if they do and an Ace comes out then oh well we got our money in as good favorite and we can still double up again to cash and even go onto win. If no one calls we pick up the blinds happy days.

    I fail to see the logic of folding KK OOP on the bubble of a big tournament unless we are say BB and theres and all in and at least 1 caller before us.
  • edited August 2010
    I've crashed out of Primo about 8 times in a row just before the cash. Cashing would have greatly improved my bank roll and I was probably playing too conservatively due to this. Never again am I taking this approach.

    Giddens replied to two of my posts, 1 regarding the above and one regarding ljamesl's play the other night. I'd imagine his replies were pretty much in synch with your poker ethos James as he said you should play to win always. And I'm now a believer too. If I get through the satellite, I'm playing for the £3K. £70 kinda pales in comparison.
  • edited August 2010
    Yes I can see the point of view made by Red King. But anyone who is in Primo and really needing to cash is obviously playing above their bankroll.

    When I first started playing I probably had the same mindset. If I had a good run playing sit and goes and small tournies I would treat myself to an entry into a big one, or try to satellite in. And I would be over the moon with any cash.

    And there is certainly nothing wrong with that. But I still believe that changing my strategy to playing for the win was vital in starting me off to being able to make a profit from the game.

    All you guys posting on here that they are playing to just cash are the people I will be looking for at bubble time, if I havent already crashed !

    Good luck all




  • edited August 2010


      lml / james

      interesting question  most good players look for the lower stacks near the bubble

      i bealive every player starts a tournament thinking they can win it as anybody can get lucky against any better player

      i also bealive it depends on the tourny as bounty hunters tend to be a lot loser play all the way through

      as for folding a preuim hand just to cash me personally i wouldnt id rather go in and have a chance of the double up for the higher cash

      if i lose i move on

      the primo is the one i havernt won yet so good luck me tonite

      allways enjoy primo and the show
  • edited August 2010
    In Response to Re: PRIMO 29/08/2010 - OFFICIAL SHOW THREAD:
    Yes I can see the point of view made by Red King. But anyone who is in Primo and really needing to cash is obviously playing above their bankroll. When I first started playing I probably had the same mindset. If I had a good run playing sit and goes and small tournies I would treat myself to an entry into a big one, or try to satellite in. And I would be over the moon with any cash. And there is certainly nothing wrong with that. But I still believe that changing my strategy to playing for the win was vital in starting me off to being able to make a profit from the game. All you guys posting on here that they are playing to just cash are the people I will be looking for at bubble time, if I havent already crashed ! Good luck all
    Posted by penguin7

    I fully agree with this, although im one of these people who will try and satellite in the satellite will be well within my BR. I treat it if i get in as ive won the buy in and losing doesnt matter but winning is key. OK i have a very poor sucsess rate of satellites, but then thats part of poker. I just cant grasp the set up of them and the looser opponents.
  • edited August 2010
    In Response to Re: PRIMO 29/08/2010 - OFFICIAL SHOW THREAD:
    In Response to Re: PRIMO 29/08/2010 - OFFICIAL SHOW THREAD : Right now here is something i will maybe state. I agree if you satellite in then min cash in a big tournament is a very good ROI. So these are the people i like to pick on on the cash bubble. Ok so shortys shove with any rag ace. OK so you fold KK. Ok. Now, onw thing here ive learnt from non-tournament play but can be adopted in tournament bubble sitations, now i dont know you posistion here im guessing UTG. Ok to we're UTG with KK, say we open shove, (DYM style) do these shorties then risk their lives on A9 or less. I dont think so. OK so if they do and an Ace comes out then oh well we got our money in as good favorite and we can still double up again to cash and even go onto win. If no one calls we pick up the blinds happy days. I fail to see the logic of folding KK OOP on the bubble of a big tournament unless we are say BB and theres and all in and at least 1 caller before us.
    Posted by The_Don90
    I don't see your logic Don90,
    I've got 3x chips of shorties, if they shove with A? and hit, they double-up, level with me. I'm back in trouble.
    Best to pass and wait for the bubble, then you can loosen up. BTW if I'm short, I shove with any A? at bubble.
  • edited August 2010
    In Response to Re: PRIMO 29/08/2010 - OFFICIAL SHOW THREAD:
    In Response to Re: PRIMO 29/08/2010 - OFFICIAL SHOW THREAD : Surely this is Beanh's point, so I'm not sure how you disagree with him.
    Posted by elsadog
    When i play a MTT, i make sure i have a couple of other tables running, whether its a couple of STTs or cash, not too bothered. its not as if i personally chain all my hopes that night solely on cashing in a 200 runner tourney. it depends on what you want out of a tourney. if you do, then i see everyones point in thinking the goal is to win it all. 

    my goals re: MTT's are tiered:
    goal 1 - cash.
    goal 2 - final table
    goal 3 - win.

    what i should have said elsa is it must be even more frustrating spending 3hrs 59mins to finish on the bubble trying to go for glory.
  • edited August 2010
    In Response to Re: PRIMO 29/08/2010 - OFFICIAL SHOW THREAD:
    In Response to Re: PRIMO 29/08/2010 - OFFICIAL SHOW THREAD : When i play a MTT, i make sure i have a couple of other tables running, whether its a couple of STTs or cash, not too bothered. its not as if i personally chain all my hopes that night solely on cashing in a 200 runner tourney. it depends on what you want out of a tourney. if you do, then i see everyones point in thinking the goal is to win it all.  my goals re: MTT's are tiered: goal 1 - cash. goal 2 - final table goal 3 - win. what i should have said elsa is it must be even more frustrating spending 3hrs 59mins to finish on the bubble trying to go for glory.
    Posted by theneons
    exactly, agree 100%
  • edited August 2010
    Breaking news, tonights Primo sat,
    42 runners, 8 qualify, final 9, three shorties including me,
    I'm in BB with AQ (5300 chips), blinds are 600/1200, UTG (shortie 5800 chips) min raises,
    all fold back to me, hmmmm, min raise UTG smells of mid pair, correct JJ, I shove all-in,
    flop comes 3 A Q, wooohooo two pair, turn is J for set, good night, river is blank.
    Should have just called to see flop, then shoved when I hit, but UTG may have hero called.

    Totally agree with theneons
  • edited August 2010
    In Response to Re: PRIMO 29/08/2010 - OFFICIAL SHOW THREAD:
    In Response to Re: PRIMO 29/08/2010 - OFFICIAL SHOW THREAD : I don't see your logic Don90, I've got 3x chips of shorties, if they shove with A? and hit, they double-up, level with me. I'm back in trouble. Best to pass and wait for the bubble, then you can loosen up. BTW if I'm short, I shove with any A? at bubble.
    Posted by Red_King
    Loosen up???????????

    Only one hand at this point can beat me. Im never folding unless i have an idea that one of these players has AA.

    Your effecitley saying that after the river i have a mugs end straight flush to Q but ill fold it anyways incase my opponent has AK of the same suit to be tyhe only had that can beat me.

    This is clear to me that you are playing with scared money. I agree if your short shove with any ace. If im short and i think i can get a shove through ill shovew with any two. I lost a deepie the other day, i shoved with 62os on the bubble because i thought i could get it through. I didnt and i lost. I moved on, but if i got it through i had a whole circle to find a spot to double up my stack with 1.5BB extra. 

     
  • edited August 2010
    In Response to Re: PRIMO 29/08/2010 - OFFICIAL SHOW THREAD:
    Breaking news, tonights Primo sat, 42 runners, 8 qualify, final 9, three shorties including me, I'm in BB with AQ (5300 chips), blinds are 600/1200, UTG (shortie 5800 chips) min raises, all fold back to me, hmmmm, min raise UTG smells of mid pair, correct JJ, I shove all-in, flop comes 3 A Q, wooohooo two pair, turn is J for set, good night, river is blank. Should have just called to see flop, then shoved when I hit, but UTG may have hero called. Totally agree with theneons
    Posted by Red_King
    This is completely different to you KK situation. Your in a satellite here, winning doesnt mean anything, so folding is simple. Now i disagree with your opponents call as clearly at best hes racing but still these calls can be made.

    Secondly it is different because Any pair and AK is beating me, im starting with 15th best hand. So your telling me youll fold KK but shove with AQ. Hmmm a little odd dont we think.
  • edited August 2010
    ffs

    i call AIPF with 99  vs AT, 14 left.

    quelle surprise, xxxTT. 


    FFFFFFFFUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUU
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