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Still made a nice profit on the day thanks to my savers.
Not confident but here goes.
iiii - 2.20 Newmarket - Wannabe King 14-1- Won this last year off two pound higher and encouraging run last time in third. Trainer knows how to win this and hopeful he can repeat at good price. Not as good this year. Finished well down field.
iii- 3.20 Ascot - Merry King -10 -1 -only just noticed this is a king double. Trainer and jockey doing well and this horse looks good from bottom of handicap. Already backed from 14-1 into 10-1. 2nd and not helped by Triolene who held him in at a crucial stage. Back next time.
ii- 2.30 Down royal -Prince de Beaucherne 14-1 - Value price for this horse if has got back to form it showed earlier in its career. Close form with others who are at a lot smaller prices. Right to go for outsider, trouble is wrong one. Given very tender ride by Ruby and will improve from this.
i- 3.35 Wetherby -Long Run 11-8 -If any where near his best should win this. Nowhere but Harry Topper was very good to win as he struggled the first circuit and very impressive.
Also fancy Alasi 7-1 1.50 Wetherby 3rd at 10-1
2.10 Ascot Gus Macrea 16-1 and My Brother Sylvest 14-1 Gus finished well for 5th , Sylvest out like a light. Drumshambo looked good from long way out.
2.45 Ascot Jumps Road 20-1 Pine Creek won well, jumps road needed it- nowhere.
iiii- Standing Ovation 5-1 - 2.40 Wincanton - Improver who I have backed the last twice and is going for his fourth win in a row tomorrow. I am sure this horse is still ahead of the handicapper and is still only carrying 10st 2lb in what is a tougher race. Jockey has been on for all three wins and last time this horse drerw well clear with a higher rated individual in highland Lodge and battled well for a win. Hoping he can go in again for the stable that won this last year with The Package. Never never in doubt, and backed down to 5-2. Hope the handicapper doesnt crucify him now.
iii- Melodic Rendezvous 3-1 - 2.05 Wincanton- Top hurdler last year winning three times and improving all the time. Beat Puffin Billy by miles when they met. Missed Cheltenham Festival in order to try and win big Aintree hurdle and then had a bad scope and finished for the season. If back to full fitness this horse could have another good season and should win tomorrow even under top weight. Very good horse and a fantastic price at 9-2. Not fully fit according to trainer and slammed Triumph hurdle runner up. Keep following.
ii- Magistral - 7-1 - 1.50 Doncaster - Lighly raced Gosden horse who finished second to Haaf a Sixpence in a good Newmarket race last weekend. Very impressive winner in Levitate and this horse didnt enjoy at all. blinkers didnt work.
i- Cocktail Queen - 8-1 -3.00 Doncaster - This horse ran a terrific race for me at 25-1 the other week against Cubanita after being off the course since May. Looked like the winner a furlong out but then lack of race fitness took its toll. Should strip fitter this time and ground and trip will be ideal. Thought she would win but done no favours twice in last furlong or so. 2nd. Pity it would have been a nice treble.
Other horses -
Grandads Horse 5-1 -2.30 Sandown Finished like a train for 3rd but Venetia williams doing brilliantly with saturday horses at mo.
2.25 Doncaster -Highland Colori 5-1 ran well just ran out of it in 2nd and old favourite Mass Rally at 12-1never happy
3.35 Doncaster - Highland Castle 16-1 all over the place and nowhere
4.05 Doncaster - Raging Bear 16-1 nowhere
£27.50 up to £1 single stakes.
iiii- 3.15 wetherby Lifetime 5-1 - Lots of these ran against each other at the course recently in the race won by Hartside. I hope those horses are in the mix again and Lifetime is the won I want. Never put into the race last time it then sprinted home under tender handling into 3rd place. I reckon it will be ridden closer to the pace this time and I am hopeful it will reverse form with the others. Well ,I was right , he was the best horse that ran last time but beaten by two others into 3rd.
iii- 3.10 Lingfield -Take Cover 11-1- Ok this is an old favourite but it has won on an all weather surface before and was drawn on the wrong side of the course in a recent race. Hopeful it will win this time. Ran really well 2nd and fighting back on line but Valbchek just held on.
ii- 4.05 Cheltenham -Bull & Bush 14-1- This really is a value bet . second in a bumper last year to a horse that is still unbeaten. Alan king has had this race as a target for a long time and at the price couldnt resist putting this in the ratings. Outpaced coming down hill and then ran on again for 7th or 8th. Never going to win.
i- 2.30 Cheltenham- Johns Spirit 8-1. This would have a higher rating if I didnt fear Finians Rainbow might come back to form. Won nicely last time over course and distance and Sew on Target who came third in that race ran well for 2nd yesterday. JS has same jockey as last time and hope it wins again. What a bet at 8-1 although getting tired up the hill and McLernon does brilliantly again. Finians has gone pulled up.
Other horses I fancy are in the same race meaning I wouldn't include in my ratings.
1.50 cheltenham- Monbeg Dude 8-1 who had a recent pipe opener over hurdles and finished well. Should go on from there but also fancy Spring Heeled 7-1. Hopeful of both until I saw Alvarado coming up the outside. Then he disappeared and Monbeg was being cheered home. Cavalry appeared and only 4th as alvarado sprinted up hill.
3.00 cheltenham - Silver Eagle 6-1 who was 2nd to Thomas Crapper last time who won again yesterday . also fancy Recession Proof 16-1 if John Quinn has got it fit again after missing last season. Silver Eagle struggled, Recession Proof blew up three furlongs out, would have brought him on. Back next time especially if over slightly shorter.
3.35 Chelt Creepy 7-1 Couldn't beleive 7-1 was available on this horse 10 minutes before off. Won well.
iiii- 12.45 Haydock Far West 5-4 - Hate picking such low priced horses but this looks nailed on only losing by a length to Melodic Rendevous last time. 5-4 could be a giveaway price. oh dear
iii- 3.35 Haydock -Mac Aeda 6-1 - Last two times run well over what could be too short trip nowadays. Back to over 3m, a distance he has won at and last time over this distance he beat Johns Spirit. That form off this weight is exceptional as Johns Spirit has won twice this year including last weeks Paddy Power.
Going well when he tipped up, although Sydney Padgettt very very impressive.
ii- 2.25 Haydock -Lie Forrit 9-1- Changed stables after two years in doldrums and won last time out back over hurdles. Back to same mark as when winning two high quality hurdle races in 2009. His chasing experience should also help over these tougher obstacles. Ran really well to finish 3rd behind old favourite Gevrey Chambertain who matched stablemates Dynaste and brother Grand Crus .
i- 3.00 Haydock -Roi De Mee 16-1 - This is a big long shot in a high quality race but he stuffed a lot of good irish horses last time out and might be underestimated. Have a feeling top two in market might be undecooked and Tidal Bay might be biggest danger. Well I was right Conti and rest undercooked but Cue Card destroyed my horse and then the others one by one. Well done Cue Card
1.15 Haydock Chac Du cadran 8-1 pulled up
1.50 Clondaw Kaempfer 4-1 who has gone well fresh before and beat The Liquadator in bumper. trained on the course and looks like he has been jumping higher obstacles. could go chasing soon
Ok next time out was the Greatwood when a horse fell in front of him so he had no chance.
However today nothing was going to beat him, nice 10-1 as well
Lord Windermere badly baulked when going well and then after last eased home. Not lost faith yet and will win big race soon. Invictus came their going really well and then lack of race fitness saw him go out like a light and jockey really eased him home. Will win next time.
Now to my ratings:-
iiii- 2.05 Newcastle -Melodic Rendezvous 5-2- is my fancy for the Champion Hurdle and I am hoping he can take this on his way. Ok the form of his last win has not worked out well on the face opf it but his trainer expected him to come on for that run and he will have a fitness advantage over My Tent or Yours. Most Henderson horses have needed a run this year and I am more worried about Cockney Sparrow,Ran ok not being beat too far into fifth but definitely not champion Hurdle form. If kept over hurdles he could win another nice race or two this season but likely to go over fences now.
iii-= 2.40 Newcastle-Hey Big Spender - 7-2 -looked all over the winner of his last race until he blew up and finished fourth. Will strip fitter this time and won this race before with a lot higher rating, Battled superbly to win and could be one to follow. 5-1 nice price.
ii- 1.50 Newbury -The Bear Trap -9-1 -Another who looked all over the winner last time only to blow up. again will strip fitter and if cheekpieces work , will win nicely at a good price. Looked like he was coming well two out but didnt see it through.
i- 3.35 Newbury - Anay Turge - 5-1 -Impressive last time out beating Sew on Target who had run Johns Spirit close. Hoping this horse is still ahead of the handicapper. Going well when falling six out.
Also fancy
1.20 Newbury -Handy Andy- going as well as the leaders till five out and then went out like a light. Drug tested after, not true running.
The Bear Trap is 11/1 on skybet, I'm not sure if that's a good or bad thing.
Good luck !
Bear Trap 8/1 now, hope it wins.
I don't care about the money but we need more of Miss Rebecca Curtis on the box!
iiii - 3.15 Aintree - Midnight Appeal 7-1 - This horse under Alan King's best jockey gave one of the best jumping performances this season when I had him at 25-1 at Bangor. If he loves these fences as much he will win. another horse going well until it hit the fences before bechers and then made mistake after mistake.
iii- 1.50 Sandown - Tarquin De Seuill -3-1- His win last time albeit over 2m4f made him look a horse on the upgrade and hopeful he can win over the shorter trip today. Terrible mistake and still did ok but 2miles on the short side for him.
ii -3.00 Sandown - Captain Conan 3-1 -robbed of Sprinter Sacre in this one Nicky Henderson should still win it with this progressive horse. 3rd , not progressive enough at this distance.
i- 2.05 Aintree - Bennys Mist 16-1 - Very nicely weighted and with a nice run under its belt recently I fancy this to give Venetia another big saturday winner. going well until mistakes and knocked the stuffing out of him. Struggled home.
Other fancies
Sandown
2.25 Radmores Revenge 12-1 completely outclassed. what a sit by Aspell on the winner.
3.35 Bradley 6-1 and Hunters Lodge 12-1 both ran on too late
Aintree
12.00 Splash of Ginge sp good start 3-1 winner
1.00 - Clondaw Kaemfer 3-1 -3rd at 7-2
2.40 Wayward Prince 6-1 mistake early and pulled up
Chepstow
12.55 Handsupfordetroit 7-1 NR
2.35 He's the Daddy 3rd at 8-1
iiii- Dell'Arca 3.35 Ascot- 8-1- won a very compettitive handicap last time and I am sure this horse still on the upgrade and can win again. Going nicely on inside when Scudamore decided to move it into middle. What happens Horse falls right in front and brought dow, Lovely!!!! Willow Saviour good winner though.
iii- Triolo d'alene -3.00 Ascot- 9-4- NR Won the Hennesey very well and Graghty thinks a lot of the horse. should win this under top weight. Doing a wynne cos I now fancy Houblon Des Obleaux as well so little saver on him. Houblon missed fence after fence until 6 from home and then jumped like a stag and battled brilliantly to win.
ii- She Ranks Me 2.40 Haydock -9-4 -Both a course and distance winner and freshened up with a recent run. disappointing but not in same class as Special Catch.
i- Reve De Sivola -2.25 ascot - 3-1 - stiff task but will love the ground and won this last year. He will put the others under pressure from the start. Another winner , well done Rev, always in control over horse that cant jump.
Happy xmas all , especially my followers, if i have any !!!
also fancy
2.05 Haydock-Night alliance 9-1 Thought it was going to be one of those days after Gus Macrea, late selection finished 2nd but a winner at last , travelled superbly all race and put it to bed jumping last. 12-1 a great price.
3.15 Hasydock - Tweedlkedrum 10-1 NR so switched to Cross Kenyon at 4-1, Sausalito sunrise made it 4 out of 4, Cross keyon didnt like being taken on. Not good enough.
also 12.45 at ascot -Dan Skelton and Pricewise seem to think Willows Saviour will go close in big race, if so Coup de grace at 10-1 in this race is good value. Oh to be born lucky. Looked like winner coming round the bend and then after the last nailed on for third at least. Ran into fourth on line and surprise surprise there was a non runner so only 15runners. !!!!!!!
Good luck tomorrow!
And a merry christmas to you!
thanks for you kind words and good luck to you to.
Have a great christmas and good 2014
Up to £27.50 up on the ratings.
Nice predictions!
Have a good un.
wynne thanks for the congratulations. Sorry but I think at fishers might continue to disaapoint you.