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I've returned, in a small way, to NLH DYM's.
I've played exclusively PLO & PLO8 for some years now, so I'm struggling with many things, including hand ranges, but mostly betting sizes. In Pot Limit games bet sizes are very easy, if in doubt POT. In NLH, it's so very different, & the temptation to shove is often too much to resist.
I'm also lacking confidence in playing down the streets in NLH, unlike Omaha variants where I pretty much know exactly where I am.
So, this hand came up, & I'd be interested in what YOU would do, & also what you would do if you were me in this spot. (The latter is a very different thing, as I'm very rusty at NLH).
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It's a £2.25 DYM. The table, not to be rude, looks reasonably soft.
Even with my lack of recent NLH game time, I do actually expect to be able to do OK in this - let's say I'd "win" it 66% of the time, just by sticking to solid DYM principles.
We are in Level 1, just started, & I am in the BB.
UTG makes it 100 to go. (10/20, but I already know this guy raises almost every hand pre).
The WHOLE TABLE then call.
So it gets to me in the BB, & there is 520 in the middle. (Starting stack is 2,000).
We have A-K suited.
What should I do now, & why?
I think the biggest problem in the hand is actually your whole cards. They look very pretty and can hit really well. But on the other hand it is only ace high.
To me the best way of looking at this hand is to ignore your holding totally. We have a 5x raise utg and then 4 callers. This says to me we have a lot of luck plays going on here. Marginal holdings and hands than can flop well. The sort that lead to extremely funky two pair combos that cant be seen.
With this in mind i dont think we can feasibly hit the board hard enough to be certain of being ahead on the flop so would require gambling. Not a good situation to be in. So for me that rules out calling.
So that only leaves shoving or folding.Any other 3-bet size really wouldnt work here.
This being a dym and the only concern in all hands is chip preservation. The most likely course of action here in my opinion is a fold.
When there is this much action at this stage early knockouts will happen. Could even end up with one of those lovely situations of cashing without playing a hand. I would even consider just folding every single hand on level 1 from this point and wait and see. You would still have a very playable stack and could easily be in the end game situation
Thanks for the replies. It's quite interesting, I think.
I'll let the thread sweat for another day or so, then do the "reveal" as to what happened.
This is just a redic easy jam.
The current pot represents a +25% increase of our stack. The opener can have one of the 6 combos that dominate us but from the experience you have seen, they have a huge amount more. I very much doubt anyone else has one of these as in level 1 they would in general be more inclined to isolate the opener, unless there has been a ton of squeezing going on.
We'd prefer to just win the pot uncontested, of course we would. We win then 100% of the time. But we're not the ones making a mistake here if we jam. Say one of the callers has 77, and they decide to go flipping. By them calling off, they are the ones making the mistake saying 'I hope I'm flipping' in a DYM.
We fold out everyone most of the time for a 25% stack gain, we make an oppo make a mistake some of the time and in those spots we are either even money or decently ahead (I've seen K9o call in these spots more than once) and very rarely we are dominated but can always get there.
Just jam, keep it simple, it's never a mistake as the play has been described.
These answers are fascinating, & some are very different.
Would appreciate a few more replies before the rveal.
What is most important, of course, is not the result, win or lose, but what is the correct or optimal play here?
Over a 22,000 game sample of PLO8 games I'm around 58%, but over a 200 game sample of NLH games in the last few weeks I'm only around 50%. But this DID look a very very soft table.
There was nobody of your calibre on the table. Generally, there are 1 or 2 players who I try to avoid banging heads with, but there were none on this occasion.
So we have several very highly rated & profitable players saying "it is a shove, no question about it".
And several equally esteemed players (+ Hendrick) suggesting either call, or raise.
It seems we all approach this great game of poker so differently. Which is great.