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Key Hand 10: When he limps, shove pre or shove the flop.
Looks like you got to carried away with the shortie & was playing not to lose, instead of trying to win.
Is your confidence low at the moment JJ ??
Ty for the reply. Believe i wasn't saying i was right. I was only asking if the process was correct and that a chart i had from the kill everyone book had stated. Your explanation and the posts from Gary earlier are fine. I understand them and ty for the explanations.
Just had a look at your hh for that T. Key hand 7, even with icm and new t odds of pot odd/bubble factor AQs was still a good enough hand to play. You said you were aiming for third and thought BB would have to call so why not shove. Doesn't it provide fold equity v the big stack who would leave it to you to knock out bb, i'd have thought then and even if bb folds then he's on life support. Shove for me but i'm a 'BOOKBOT' i've just found out after getting half way through my latest one!!!!
I must admit, i'm surprised mishmash calls AI for 20+BB's with 85s in sb. I don't understand that one myself andif it correct then its back to the drawing board for me.
Also you 10bb ai from sb w/ k30 and called with 78s. Are these normal/standard?(i've not looked at the nash charts) No wonder i keep blinding myself down!
Good read m8...
No updates from me yet for Wednesday or Friday, I'll merge them!
2 small losing sessions, not much happened on Wednesday at all, I think I lost about 20 quid playing roller and BH sats, really no talking points at all.
Friday I decided to play a cash session. Instead of waiting for 8pm I started around 5ish and played for a couple of hours.
I found it really difficult to multi table during that session. I loaded 6x 30nl as always, I've been doing this for years when playing cash, never really had any problems. Are we getting less time to make decisions?
I feel really rushed all the time.
Maybe it's because I'm not used to thinking in 'cash mode' and therefore my thought process is slower, when previously they'd have been instinctive.
I think I'm going to drop to 4 to begin sessions in future.
Previously have played 9 on sky comfortably, but always considered 6 to be the 'optimum' number of tables for me. Will see how 4 goes next time.
Lots of new players @ 30nl. Some good, some bad, some older ones have improved loads, some older ones are still exactly the same. It's much harder work than it used to be. Obviously playing 5pm - 8pm instead of 11pm - 4am isn't going to help that.
The session itself started bad, I felt abit unlucky to be 2 buyins down early, was getting in awkward spots with 'big on big' confrontations going against me.
JJ < KK v super agro guy.
QQ < AA when I 3b and he flatted OOP. Owned me.
Felt I was playing well though, v some tough players who were mixing it up against me. Having an agro dynamic with every single reg on every single table probably doesn't help my multi-tabling issues.
Would be rude not share this hand, always like to get as much advertising equity as I possibly can out of donk plays
All that for £4.95. sigh.
Spose I should show myself getting owned for balance.
Not sure what villain could have had here. I suq!
Maybe his nothing was better than my nothing. And he knew it. nh.
I broke almost dead even @ cash, making 90pence! ha. Felt good to get out even.
-----------------
Anyway today is the last day of the cash promo I believe? It will be interesting to see if these new players stick around, or if they were just here for the promotion.
I'm going to leave them to it today, I imagine alot of them will be putting in a huge Sunday cash grind to scrap for last minute points to get up the cash promo table.
It would be nice to see some kind of promo based on win rate. Obviously with a minimum no. of hands required to qualify.
I'm not sure if people would like this, especially if the results are made public? Will give away who the best players are, but everyone knows who they are anyway, so I dunno?
Could it work? hmmmmm.
Loads of sport today, gonna chill out with a crate of beer and donk about in MTTs. Sundays r terrible for me traditionally, pressure off today would be nice to change that.
Not guna hold my breath tho.
GL Murray in this tie break (and the rest of the match), England closing out the consolation win in India, and all diary readers on your Sunday grind!
Weds loss £20
Fri loss £30 (mtts/sngs)
Profit +95
Points 1309
Unusual time for an update, but I've been offline most of the day and will be busy before the session tomorrow so here goes.
Eventful Sunday to say the least!
It started with an MTT win! wiiiiiiiiii.
Sounds alot better than it actually was, it was just a small 180 runner 2 euro turbo rebuy on stars.fr, which I took down for around 150 euros.
I was running deep in a couple of other comps on the real PS site, cashed in a rebuy but it was only small, having blown a massive stack, had like 150xbb 2 hours in @ 300/600, ran KK into AA pre, and that kinda tilted me abit. Didn't play terrible but things just went against me.
Anyway, on to sky. sighhhh.
This pretty much sums up how things have gone for me on Sky this month.
There were obviously lots of Super Sats running for the super roller. They were £6, 1 in 20 jobs, with 2 seats gtd.
Ofc being the day of the tournament itself, there was lots of interest, and the guarentees were smashed, meaning no overlay.
But very top heavy structures got my attention and I entered 2 of them within 15 minutes of eachother, starting around 6-30ish.
I've reg'd the super roller in advance, hoping to take the £110 value of the seat, rather than the seat itself.
An hour in, and I'm running very well, sitting near the top of the leaderboard in both.
It's 7-30, and I'm 1st/9 left in one, and 3rd/11 in the other, with 3 seats gtd in both (60 runners).
Suddenly I start panicking, as I realise the start of the roller is 8pm, and not 9pm, like the usual rollers are.
Oh sh!t! I hope they end in time. I check the lobby, to see how fast the levels go up, and I'm still quite confident they will.
Gets to about 7-45, and we're on the bubble in game 1, and FT of game 2.
I'm short in game 1, sitting 4th of 3, with 3 seats. This 1 is gtd to finish in time, I'd love to take this down and lock up at least £110, then try and push in the 2nd game which I pretty much have locked up.
Unfortunately, it didn't work out, and I was the bubble boy.
I'm 1st/5 remaining in the 2nd sat, with a huge chip advantage!
There's 15 minutes left to the start of the roller, we should easily get this done in time.
5 minutes later, we're still 5 handed, with the 3 seats up for grabs. I'm starting to worry now, the blinds are big, the stacks are short, I'm pushing very wide but everyone keeps folding and taking chips off eachother to stay afloat.
***Horrific moment of realisation***
OMG there's a 5 minute break in 4 minutes, I have 4 minutes to get this over with or I'm going to be late registered into the roller!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
PUSH NEXT HAND ANY 2.
DOUBLE SUM1 UP.
PUSH NEXT HAND WITH JUNK.
FOLDS
PUSH NEXT HAND DOUBLE SUM1 UP.
I'm now not even comfortable myself, but keep pushing, I have no choice, I cannot play the roller!!!!
FOLDS
MORE FOLDS
STOP FIN FOLDING.
2 minutes to go, it's not going to happen is it?
Shorty gets it in, called, I can fold and hope, he busts, then the last hand b4 the break, shove any 2 myself.
shorty doubles.
omg.
I give up. There is no way this can possibly end before 7-55.
Best case scenario, I manage to get through this now tight bubble and get automatically entered into the roller.
Worst case scenario, I bubble again.
I really don't think the best case scenario is much better than the worst case here. They're just 2 disasterous scenarios.
I spose the advantage is 100 poker points. yippeeeee.
I'm absolutely gutted.
20 minutes ago, I was in great shape, looking at 2x returns of £110 for 2x £6 investments.
I've ended up with a bubble, and a seat I didn't want, that I have no intentions of using.
On to the roller.....
I played properly for about 6 minutes, won 1 hand with AK, folded quite alot.
Then decided there was no way I could do this and play through 6+ hours of nit folding etc.
Thought I'd try a my own unique mtt strategy, of shoving all in every hand, trying to maybe get my stack up from 10k to 40/50k just by plain gambling.
Then sit out, log off/close the table for a few hours, then come back and hope I am still in contention for a min-cash around the bubble.
Unfortunately it didn't work out.
Nice start for 1 lucky runner. lol
And just incase people think I'm making excuses etc and I just played the hand bad....
Was pretty tilted by the whole sattellite disaster after that, so didn't play anymore.
Lesson learnt.
I spose the old schoolers who believe sats should be used only by people who want to play the actual tournament will be laughing reading this saying it serves me right.
I have to agree with them, my own fault for entering the sats when I wasn't even aware of the start time of the actual event!
Live and learn, sums up a frustrating January for me!
It's 'Turbo Tuesday' tomorrow, the first time I will have a chance to join in, so looking forward to that. Hopefully I can continue to beat the super sats and get myself in some big turbo comps!
can't do the math but it is worth it - is there an mtt that compares
been trying reg then sat route and de reg myself
lols at the MTT starting before the sat ends
wally
Points 1318
nice going on *.fr keep it up
hey dohh if you like good odds for football now could be the time to bet on newcastle to win because i watch the game today and they had an excellent first half. the second half they started off poor but what they didn't show today was dropping their heads when they go behind as they have done most games this season.
hope you have better luck this month but please don't pass the bad luck to me.
Thanx Craig, great result for your lot at the weekend. Chelsea are massively underachieving. If they can keep that squad together I fancy them to challenge for the title next year though.
-----------------
Saturday review.
Well the football bet was a massive fail, pretty much like my poker day!
Warning *moany Hand History post ahead*
It got to about 3pm and having donked about abit in mtts, I decided to start playing 30nl on sky.
Very early for me, but the tables looked great. There was only 4 running, so I thought I'd just sit, play tight against the recreational players, and hopefully print some money. Loads of unknowns, few noted big fish, and a couple of semi-regs to start with.
I ended up playing for a good 4 hours overall, although I was only 2 tabling for the last bit.
I've got a list of hand histoties in chronological order. I'm going to post them up, so will be seeing them back for the first time since Saturday, as you do.
I remember thinking I ran bad so they're probably all bad beats n coolers etc. Here goes, gl making it to the end.
Hand 1
Should have stopped here lol.
Hand 2
It's a cooler whatever happens, not sure what's going with his flat pre, maybe he wanted to 'see a safe flop'
Nice get there though, and 1.5 buy ins down within 10 minutes.
Ha, o yea, 2nd nuts v nuts otf.
Cheerz dealer.
Aces going well!
Meh, this is rather tilting.
It's a flip, all in pre flop, so nothing out of the ordinary equity wise.
But with the way the hand plays out, I have the 1 single hand I can possibly have that doesn't have AJ crushed.
JJ/QQ/KK/AA/AK/AQ are all a significant favourite over AJ.
A loose 99 and TT are prob the absolute best case scenarios for the villain.
Ofc I have the bottom of my range, he some how miracles a flip situation, and after that the result is inevitable.
Hands 5 & 6
QQ < AA v shorties twice in 5 minutes.
Hand 7
Ahhhhh hello pocket Queens again.
nh
Hand 8
A few more farmiliar names at the tables now, I'm getting tilted, and down a load.
Think I start playing badly.
Ah yeh, we're HU at this point.
Doesn't stop people flopping the nuts though
Hand 9
Regs getting there through the backdoor :P
Loose call down maybe.
Sigh sigh sigh, miss 1 time?
HU again verses a nit.
Looks like a cooler, probably isn't.
Exactly 30 seconds after the previous hand......
£60 swing the wrong way
lol @ this hand.
Probably the first talking point in 11 hands. Nice hand selection DOHHHHHHHH.
Is this always QT?
I doubt I'm ever winning, and we're deep, I don't fancy calling him down and being shown the stone nuts again.
Maybe a bad fold idk.
Thoughts?
12th and final hand.
Probably apt that it's against Geezer who has been tormenting me all afternoon.
Think I just gave up and closed off after this 1.
PlayerActionCardsAmountPotBalanceACEGOONER Small blind £0.15 £0.15 £56.89 Beniu Big blind £0.30 £0.45 £24.00 Your hole cards K Q DOHHHHHHH Raise £0.90 £1.35 £85.00 Gandalf300 Call £0.90 £2.25 £15.86 geezer1986 Call £0.90 £3.15 £79.32 ACEGOONER Fold Beniu Fold Flop Q 8 J DOHHHHHHH Bet £2.36 £5.51 £82.64 Gandalf300 Fold geezer1986 Call £2.36 £7.87 £76.96 Turn K DOHHHHHHH Bet £5.70 £13.57 £76.94 geezer1986 Raise £11.40 £24.97 £65.56 DOHHHHHHH Call £5.70 £30.67 £71.24 River 9 DOHHHHHHH Check geezer1986 Bet £15.34 £46.01 £50.22 DOHHHHHHH Call £15.34 £61.35 £55.90 geezer1986 Show 10 A DOHHHHHHH Muck K Q geezer1986 Win Straight to the Ace £59.55 £109.77
Maybe I can/should fold the river.
Shouldn't have Tx with his line though, didn't think he could have AT.
Nice of the dealer to pull his absolute gin card out on the turn though.
Why wouldn't he make the nuts again?
ouejfviejfipvjierfmjvpiefrvj
Should fold the river for sure.
I'm not really in the mood for folding at this stage though
So that was a disaster, - £120. sigh.
Went on to play the top of the pots freeroll.
It went pretty much to plan, I outlasted the massive fish of the field, and then found the going tougher against the 4 more competent players.
Got it in earlyish with 5 reamining, I 3b AK over a cut off open, got 4b and ofc put it in.
Very standard tournament scenario, QQ of GaryQQQ holding against the AK
He went on to take it down, (my chips always win
End result is a -£105 start to the month.
-------------------
I tilt opened the .fr lobby, and entered 2x 50 euro HU hyper sngs.
Pretty brutal 100euro suckout in game 1.
Flop the nuts again? why not!
http://www.boomplayer.com/poker-hands/Boom/1967124_6293019B62
#standard lol.
Run better today plz.
Hope you all had better starts to the month, good luck all playing today!
The portents are always there early but we all think" it'll turn, I'll get it back and then some...."
It seldom does....
UL Fella, head up, onwards and upwards
ul
Know how you feel though, you end thinking they alwasy gonna have +1 and stop v/b rivers and start c/f
And don't get me started with shorties waiting for AA/KK, they need a slap )
hurts.......
Paul
With her 4bet sizing in that hand I'd be thinking "sighhhhhhhhhhh here we go again, lets see your aces luv"
It's weird like you have the nut hand there, AK, everyone knows that's the nuts, but something kak like pocket 6s plays so much better v her hand.
Always seem to have AK when they have the small pair, and TT when they have the KJo or whatever.
Varience at work again I spose.
Have you started the ball rolling with .fr yet? Hoggers is half way through the verification process. It's not that much work really you just have to wait for the letter to be delivered to your house to verify your home address. Only takes 10 mins to sort it. More success on there t'other day, will write it up now.
Oh & stop winding Chillie up!
By stop, I mean carry on.
looool
Btw was looking on the 'specials' tab on willhill today, there's a market for what day the Royal Baby is going to be born on, the odds are as follows...
Monday - 6/1
Tuesday - 6/1
Wednesday - 6/1
Thursday - 6/1
Friday - 6/1
Saturday - 6/1
Sunday - 6/1
What do you think? Is there any value to be had in any of those? I'm sure you can find an edge with your extensive betting experience
In Response to Re: "Sit & DOHHHHHHH Diary": Never really thought about how the fish % effects varience!
I'm sure that makes me a fish myself
Was watching abit of 50nl the other day when I saw the phenom 'kidwiz' sat with like 600xbb on every table. Saw him set over set you for ~120xbb.
Where do you stand? Is he a genius, a lucky donk, or somewhere inbetween?
He certainly seems good for the games! lol. 83% vpip ftw.