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Channing's Bet of the Week...
I promised you I'd post a few bets to help get everyone a few quid to play with. Today I really fancy one race and I'm having two bets...
Today's big race at Newbury, the Hennessy at 3pm, is a proper horse race. A 3m2f chase over pretty tough fences and a bit of a slog on fairly soft ground. You need a decent class horse that jumps well, goes left handed and has a bit of stamina to get home on this ground. Luckily for us this is a fantastic race for each-way bets with arguably only six horses who really have the class to win and with 19-runners meaning we'll still get four places on each-way bets even if a couple of non-runners crop up. On top of all of that we have a favourite which is definitely an exciting horse who is potentially incredibly well-handicapped, but who is a massive doubt at this trip and who is really young and inexperienced.
Today's big race at Newbury, the Hennessy at 3pm, is a proper horse race. A 3m2f chase over pretty tough fences and a bit of a slog on fairly soft ground. You need a decent class horse that jumps well, goes left handed and has a bit of stamina to get home on this ground. Luckily for us this is a fantastic race for each-way bets with arguably only six horses who really have the class to win and with 19-runners meaning we'll still get four places on each-way bets even if a couple of non-runners crop up. On top of all of that we have a favourite which is definitely an exciting horse who is potentially incredibly well-handicapped, but who is a massive doubt at this trip and who is really young and inexperienced.
I could easily bet any of the next few in the betting each-way and if you like Many Clouds, The Druid's Nephew, Fingal Bay, Smad Place or Rocky Creek I wouldn't put you off and I'd say you probably have a good bet. I'm going to narrow it down to two here though and have a decent go at winning a few quid.
Fingal Bay has won here, likes soft ground, has the speed of a hurdler and is from a stable in great form but I'm not so sure over this long trip and he isn't so experienced over fences. I'll leave this.
Many Clouds loves the ground and looks like he'll stay all day. He seems priced about right and I'm not a massive fan of this stable so I think I'll pass.
Smad Place is from a great stable, he ran a brilliant race at Cheltenham last year, he loves the soft ground and he has won round here over close to this trip. I do like Alan King a lot and I'm sure he has got the horse here in peak fitness and ready to win but at 7/1 I'd really like to have seen the horse in the last six weeks.
Neil Mullholland is a really good trainer and the market seems to be slow to catch on to this. I am betting a lot of his horses this year. The Druid's Nephew needs a left-handed track, he stays longer than this 3m2f and he relishes a slog. My main worry would be his slightly dodgy jumping but if he gets round I just can't see him not contesting the finish.
Rocky Creek has long been thought of as a Grand National horse by Paul Nicholls. He was 2nd in this race last year, we know he stays, we know he likes the ground, he jumps well and he has grown up a little bit since last year. Just looks so solid for a yard in flying form.
I'm having 12 Points each-way at 10/1 The Druid's Nephew 1/4 1234.
I'm having 16 Points each-way at 10/1 Rocky Creek 1/4 1234.
These two are pretty strong bets for me and I would have happily bet them at 9/1 and 8/1.
Good luck to all. I think SkyBet are doing 12345 which is brilliant and you can take a slightly lower price to get that.
Good luck to all. I think SkyBet are doing 12345 which is brilliant and you can take a slightly lower price to get that.
Comments
If these do as well as the free tip you gave last week (won at 12/1), I might just have to marry you Neil.
At the age of 29 I started working in spread betting as an odds-compiler. I did this for about 9 years but while I was doing it I also became a racecourse bookmaker.
About 12 years ago I started working with two guys who were both and are still both the two most talented gamblers I have ever met. We used to operate a large syndicate and we had a massive influence on the UK horse market. It went very well, which was lucky as the racecourse bookmaking did not.
Things became harder in terms of getting enough on and we stopped working together so much in around 2004. They had so much money they may have lost the hunger, but I never tire of the battle. I went on my own and sat on a computer without moving for two years.
Poker has interrupted from time to time since 2006 but I bet on a few horses every day, I have got back into it in a way more organised and bigger way in the last three years and I still love it.
The ROI on horse tips that I've made public on Betting Emporium is 23.6%. Generally that would be a little higher than for all the bets I do, but not much.
These are two I really like.
wow, pro poker player, pro tipster, and Borussia Dortmund manager too
Thanks for the tips mr c..
Here's a link to the Oddschecker page. I am allowed to post this, because "Oddschecker" is part of the SB&G family of companies. In fact, Ch 861 share an office with Oddschecker. They employ about 20 pimply beardy chaps, & one extremely pretty young lady there. I really must stop staring at her.
http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/newbury/15:00/winner
Good luck everyone.
what was the result?
Don't know anything about this four legged malarkey
still trying to get my head around the four card thing.
I was busy in the Vic playing the GUKPT and had to rush to the betting shop on the break to see the Hennessey. I looked forward to that race so much and put so much work into it. Hope nobody else lost as much as I did.
(it's not a risk-free enterprise).
Will try and get a winner for us all next week.
(Why are these top tipsters all called neil)
Why not post on betting chat thread as well. Lots of horse fans on there who would like your help
Father V
Just thought it would be good to post it on betting. Your link will go down the list and be missed unless the thread over there is updated constantly.
Us betting boys will just have to remember to look on Poker Chat or use your link every Saturday. Trouble is when he gives winners other days of week.
I think the winner is the first horse past the post.
All the best
Rainman397.
P.S Would consider it a great honour if a player of your stature could spare the time to participate in thr £2.20 @2.20 DEEPSTACK.