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I wouldn't totally put you off Joes and I wish you luck. I do think the horses at the lower end of the weights do much better round here particularly on the softer ground.
Of the higher weights I have respect for Mendip Express which is improving and which has a great trainer. I can also see the case for Green Flag and Chance de Roy but I'm ruling out the former who has never been round here on experience/may want softer/trainer and the latter on weight.
I like a few down the bottom. I respect Highland Lodge but I think it's tough for a front runner and I could make a case for Master Neo off a lovely low weight at a big price.
I'm going to have a main bet and a slightly smaller bet from the ones down the bottom.
Benbens loves a flat track like this, he's lightly raced, his jumping is not brilliant but he will stay this trip and I do think he was a little unlucky when 2nd last time as he got into a duel and was mugged by the winner.
Saint Are has a trainer in great form, it has winning form here and it is a horse that has come right down in the ratings. Ran Ok on his comeback considering he didn't like the course and his run in the National of 2013 proved that this trip is as far as he'd like. Could be really well in here.
I'm having 8 Points each-way Benbens and 12 Points each-way Saint Are.
Skybet have 12345 places and if you do plan to bet £25 or less you get your money back as a free bet if you come 2nd/3rd/4th/5th This is a decent offer if you are betting that amount and you can take a slightly lower price than you would otherwise.
Benbens Unseated rider.
Saint Are 3rd @ 14/1.
Keep them coming please, Mr C.
I am not much into horses, but see a lot of my Scoop6 Syndicate colleagues are posting here, & enjoying!
I pick normally One BIG Football bet, [my speciality], a week, to Hammer & to give me a propa sweat!!
Been Krushing lately, and it would be ignorant of me not to pass on a Banker I think Bookies have missed, to the Community, hope you don't mind.... I wont ever do again if this goes down..
BUT Sunday, Post Roy-Keane rejuvenated Aston Villa are a BANKER home win, v Leicester, currently 2.38 on Sky.
Have hammered it, with additional 2-0 & 3-0, at roughly 10-1 & 22-1 approx.!
....just saying like, GL with Horses Neil, All.
The Hitman
Tbf Terry, the horse jumped the 1st perfectly well.... The jockey basically jumped off him
We have been getting so close and with Neils tips and Tikay's money we must win it.
PS my Weekly bankers been rite 7 weeks in a row!!
Fulham are never a banker, unless to lose!! lol
PPS be great for Neil, Tikay to join Father Vaigrets super 6 syndicate!!
Gamblers talk points, so more 'points' as to show how hot they feel about bet, less 'points' cooler they feel!!!
IE. one mans 'point' may be £1, another's may be £100, you see??
Keeper Schmeical saved 3 certs too!! Both Teams playing way above league pos. at moment.
tho I feel Benteke will start to impose on prem defences from here, rate him!!
Banker in Again!!
GL Brrrrrrrr & Leicester!!
Tough game being a bookie.
I'm lumping on the Skybet special, City Chelsea and Southampton. The latter is a risk away at improving Burnley but it's basically 3/1 for the Saints to win as can't see the other 2 faltering.
FWIW, I already have my humble pie response ready should Leicester wallop us 5-3 like they did the Salford rags!
I really love this race by the way...
The Ladbroke at 3.30 at Ascot today is obviously ridiculously competitive. It does however, have 18-runners right now and providing 16 start the race we'll get 1/4 odds 1234 with all bookies...a rare Christmas present and a big edge to punters. Skybet make it even better by going 12345. They should be punished.
As with all these big field races you'd expect a decent pace so to narrow it down I'm going to focus on horses that look like staying further than the 2m trip as this could be hard work for any with stamina doubts especially if they get more rain. I like to go for stables in form and up and coming stables, form at Ascot would help but there aren't too many with that so my other main factor will be to concentrate on unexposed improvers...it's hard to run a dozen handicaps and have a enough up your sleeve to win one like this. As in all races ability to handle the ground is also high on my list, although at the moment I'm guessing it'll be nearer to soft than heavy.
I certainly respect Harry Fry the trainer of favourite Activial, but the horse was 12/1 a week ago, it isn't massively experienced and while that is great from a handicap point of view I might prefer it to be a year older.
My two start with Hello George a five year old trained by Phillip Hobbs who is in great form. Stays more than 2m and likes soft ground, this one jumps well and last time it was possibly not helped by running in a race where they took out half the hurdles due to the low sun. Decent price and definitely could be very well handicapped.
My favourite trainer right now is Dan Skelton. Like Harry Fry he is another former Nicholls assistant and they are both going to be the top two yards in the country very soon you'd have to think. He trains Shelford here, a horse that is lightly raced over hurdles, five years old, easily stays 2m4f and likes soft ground. With him staying all day it seems very hard to see this horse finishing out of the frame. The trainer worries a little bit about his jumping, he is a big rather than slick jumper, but surely he'll have worked on that. Just looks like a massively solid bet to me.
I'm having 8 points each-way Hello George at 14/1 1/4 1234 5 Great place terms with Skybet
I'm having 14 Points each-way Shelford at 6/1 1/4 1234 5 Great place terms with SkyBet.
I'm on now and very happy with Shelford particularly but I would have liked rain. I think Activial is in the same boat as us. Clondaw Warrior and Pine Creek would be two that want drying ground but I'm going to just stick with what I've done.
5 places means anything you bet is a decent bet each-way.