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David Howell comes across as a really good guy, I thought his post round interview yesterday was superb, as obviously was his round.
I haven't got a penny on him, but he's one of those few players I would actually be pleased to see win even if it did mean my bets went down the pan!
Have a good game, hope it stay's dry on the course for you.
The bookies were the big winners this week.
What price Woods, Mickleson and Furyk all missing the cut at in the Greenbrier and then we had the melt down of in running odds on favourite Simpson, I think the first five all started at odds of 100/1 or more.
Similar story in France really, big pre tournament favourites Westwood and Kaymer finished well down the field and when most people had given up on Marcel Siem he goes and wins for the first time in 8 years!
Personally I managed to back Graham DeLaet at 7/1 to finish top 20 and Jacquelin in running at 40/1 to limit the damage.
A great effort from Splashies, with the typical roller coaster of emotions you get with a bet on the golf
Already begun the studying for the Scotish Open and John Deere, good luck all!
Scottish Open
It was tough to settle on my two picks this week, there are so many who i wanted to back. First up, is 2010 Open Champion Louis Oosthuizen. I wanted to back him here last year but instead he went over to the John Deere because he has a love of tractors! But I'm glad he's playing this year.
Secondly, Ive gone for Branden Grace, I ear marked him a few months back as someone who'd I'd back this time of the year. Already got him 100/1 for the Open, so hopefully he'll have a good week here too.
John Deere
Brendan de Jonge is having a very consistent season with 6 top 25's and has only missed the cut 3 times this year from 21 events. He also had a decent run here last year too.
Finally it's Kyle Stanley. Runner-up here last year but has had an awful few months. I'm hoping his 2nd place here last year will give him the confidence to start playing well again.
Padraig Harrington is due a win and conditions will suit, defending champion and world number one Luke Donald must be there or there abouts, but I have to pass over them looking for better each way value.
Simon Dyson 60/1 e.w.
What's not to like about Simon Dyson at these odds!
I'm not bothered about his missed cust in France last week as he's missed the cut there for the last 4 years.
Coming back from injury, the more significant result was his 10th place finish in Ireland 2 weeks ago, his best result in 2012.
Consider Simon Dyson has won the Dunhill Links (and a 5th), won the KLM Open 3 times played on a links type course usually in generally windy conditions, for a player returning to full fitness and coming into form, 60/1 ew looks overly priced.
Rafa Cabrera-Bello 60/1 e.w.
May not yet have the links pedigree of some of the other players in the field, but the signs are very promising.
Some of his best results have come in tough conditions, such as the Qatar Masters and the Ballantines Championship, more recently he finished a creditable 30th in the 2011 Dunhill Links Championships and the 2nd two weeks ago in Ireland would suggest Cabrera-Bello is a man in form with a game well suited to Links golf.
John Deere
As with the Scotish Open, the men at the top of the betting market would appear hard to oppose, but again the stingy odds on offer, mean there is better ew value to be found further down the field.
Tim Clark 35/1 e.w.
Had a tough 12 months following injury / surgery, but tied 4th last time out would suggest Clark is on his way back.
Hitting green's in regulation has been Clark's strength, this season he is ranked a lowly 144th on the PGA Tour, but this includes events that Clark played in when he tried to come back to soon from injury. Take the GIR stats for Clark from his last 3 regular events on the tour and he would be ranked 3rd for GIR in 2012, which would strongly suggest Clark's A game is very close.
He also boasts good course form with a 2nd and 7th, so at odds 5 times the price of Stricker 35/1 look's healthy e.w. value!
Ryan Moore 50/1 e.w.
There's lots of players with good course form in this event, but the bookies have done their best to kill the value, so I've gone for Ryan Moore who hasn't played the John Deere as much as others, but has a game and stats that suggest he should score well here.
He's on a run of 9 consecutive cuts made and with a 61 has scored the low round on tour in 2012, bit of a dark horse looking for his first tour win but 50/1 is too tempting to resist.
Good Luck all!!!
I've gone with those who have morning tee times as weather permitting they tend to do better.
Scottish Open
Henrik Stenson - 40/1 - Each week he is looking more like the classy Henrik of old, with perhaps a little less pressure in the early rounds, his scoring has tended to be better, so I'm hoping for another fast start from the cool Swede!
Simon Dyson - 50/1 - One of my tips for outright, I like his grouping with Jaidee and Warren, both playing well but not the big names that will attract too much attention, so a chance to put a good score together under the radar.
John Deere
Pat Perez - 50/1 - Ranked 5th on the PGA Tour for first round scoring, playing consistently well at the moment, safely making cuts, a nice early draw gives Perez another opportunity to get off to a flyer.
Seung Yul Noh - 35/1 - Appears to have found his comfort zone on his debut season on the PGA Tour, often gets off to a good start, if he finds the course to his liking, has a good chance of climbing that leaderboard early on.
this week.....
Scottish Open OUTRIGHT
Mikael Lundberg 200/1 £5e/w
John Deere Classic
Johnny Vegas 80/1 1st round leader £5 e/w Outright 80/1 £ 5e/w
both guys above in £5 e/w pie in the sky life changing outright e/w double. sure why not dream eh?
Bit late for the Scottish open but these are my long shots for the John Deere.
1st Round Leaders.
John Daly £ 1.00 e/w @ 100/1
Brian Davis £ 1.00 e/w @ 66/1
Overall
Ben Crane £ 2.00 e/w @ 50/1
Chez Reavie £ 2.00 e/w @ 66/1
Kyle Stanley £ 2.00 e/w @ 50/1
Mark Wilson £ 1.00 e/w @ 80/1
Good Luck Everyone.
stuck 25ew on him.
Hope you have gone for Peter Lawrie not Paul Lawrie.
Not bad idea - I,ve noticed this on previous events with Hansen and some other popular names
I,m saving my money for the biggie nxt week in Lytham - Going on the Saturday but cant beleive how much the prices have gone up . I missed the last one but been to a few and seem to remember a cpl of years ago being £35 - now £65 for tournament days
Just doing my bets now but sure i,ve already backed someone - I remember posting on here but i fancy Harrington, Westwood and Mickleson (just for the fact he can pull pull birdie runs off on any course as shown today)
EDIT _ Already backed Harrington for a tenner at 20,s
WAs tempted to wait for T off times and see the weather forecast but will risk th eearly prices and maybe have a cpl more bets the once the T off times and weather forecast have been announced
[QUOTE Simon Dyson 60/1 e.w . What's not to like about Simon Dyson at these odds! I'm not bothered about his missed cust in France last week as he's missed the cut there for the last 4 years. Coming back from injury, the more significant result was his 10th place finish in Ireland 2 weeks ago, his best result in 2012. Consider Simon Dyson has won the Dunhill Links (and a 5th), won the KLM Open 3 times played on a links type course usually in generally windy conditions, for a player returning to full fitness and coming into form, 60/1 ew looks overly priced.
Just noticed this stand out price at Skybet for the Open nxt week ( Got my biggest win in Golf at last years by putting £2 on D Clarke at 150/1 and then when he got a birdie managed to get another £2 on before the prices changed ) but Dyson has to be worth a look at 125,s - He,s only 120/1 on the exchanges
EDIT : Just watching the Scottish Open - Last bet before nxt week
Posted by MP33
Yes, I saw Dyson 125/1, as is my other tip this week, Rafa Cabrera-Bello, so I've taken the price on both for next weeks Open.
In order of preference, in positions they will finish (drum roll please...........)
10. Anders Hansen
9. Thomas Bjorn
8. Pablo Larrazabal
7 Bo Van Pelt
6 Martin Laird
5 Harris English
4 Rafa Cabrera - Bello
3 Ernie Els
2 Phil Mickleson
1 PADRAIG PADRAIG PADRAIG!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
I have also done Francesco Molinari 29/1
and Justin Rose 31/1
Plus sky bet are offering 10/1 for the outright winner to come from Mickleson,Molinari and Rose(3 chances to win@10/1)