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Northern Trust
Pat Perez 50/1 £2ew
Perez has been threatening to do something recently but not quite getting there. 2nd, 11th and 7th in last 3 starts. His record here isn't great with a best result of T13 in 5 attempts. Having said that he has recorded a 65 and a 66 round this course and a couple of 68's. Going by previous scores four 68's should put you in good shape to be right up there. With perez's improved consistency recently and his ability to go low here I think 50/1 is a great price.
Bill Haas 29/1 £2ew
Hard to not fancy someone who has finished 3rd, 1st and 12th here in his last three years. Isnt playing badly but certainly isnt in top form so potential that this one could fizzle out quick.
Justin Rose 26/1 £2 ew
Went for a 3rd pick this week because don't like euro tour this week. Rose is mr consistent here. Best round of 67 and worst round of 73 with an average of 70 for his twelve rounds. He was in really good form at end of last year with 6 top 10's in last 6 starts. 26/1 good value for 5th best player in the world?!
Euro
as said don't really fancy this event and field this week but went with:
Tjart Van Der Walt 40/1 £1ew - T5 and T2 in last two years.
Michael Hoey 40/1 £1ew - No idea just want him to win and I foolishly believe he could win
No idea why post is appearing so spaced out lol
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Season Profit/Loss
Profit £54.98
Wins: 2
Places: 11
Settled bets: 47
Season Profit/Loss
Profit £43.58
Wins: 2
Places: 10
Settled bets: 28
Last 4 tournaments, read T7, T6, T2, T2.
Last season he headed or was right up there for a lot of the important stats, including ball striking, driving and GIR, his weakest stat and performance was probably putting, though that improved throughout the season.
This season he again heads the tour for ball striking, but is also now an impressive 5th for strokes gained putting.
I hear what you are saying with the maiden tag, but I don't think there's much of a case to say he's bottled many chances to win, for me it's more of a case of a player who continues to improve and is bringing a high level of consistency to his game.
Though I will say the bookies are now spoiling the fun, but believe 20/1 - 25/1 is about right for a players of DeLaets ability and current form.
red hot form you are on
Added Badderly so that will stop him !!!
Season Profit/Loss
Profit £73.08
Wins: 3
Places: 10
Settled bets: 51
With 10 picks in the Europoean fantary comp, Baldwin was my only selection not to make the cut, which is rather annoying since he was my main bet this week
and it looks like Graham DeLaet is saving his best form the world matchplay next week.
The other bets I placed but didn't have the chance to post (very limited internet connection) were:
Gregory Bourdy - 8/1
Keegan Bradley - 30/1
ew singles and double
Emiliano Grillo - 25/1
Thorbjorn Olesen - 60/1
ew singles and double
So mixed results with those so far.
You've got to be thick skinned and broad shouldered to stick at it with this golf betting lark.
I couldn't watch any of the coverage today.
He started the day with a 2 shot lead, I managed to get online to check the leaderboard early on and at that stage it showed Grillo to be +5 after one hole, which appeared to be one of those silly mistakes they make where they enter the wrong score on the leaderboard updates, so I half convinced myself he had probably scored a bogey 5 on the first hole not a quinterbloody 9!
However it would appear he did indeed score a 9 on the first, this was after dropping only one shot over the first 54 holes.
A double bogey on the first today and he'd have won the event, a triple bogey and he'd have made a play off, funny old game this golf betting.
Season Profit/Loss
Profit £63.08
Wins: 3
Places: 10
Settled bets: 57
Graham DeLaet - 50/1, his game and temperament is made for this format as he showed in the Presidents Cup.
Charl Schwartzel - 33/1, I remember I did spend some time analsying this tournament one year, and convinced myself Schwartzel would be the man, if I remember correctly he went out on the 19th or 20th hole in the first or second round. I'm hoping the old research will pay off this time, particularly as he finished 5th last week.
Peter Hanson - 100/1, he had a couple of decent finishes on the Desert Swing and then declared he was playing terribly!
He's since took a few weeks off, so I'm going on the hunch that he will have sorted his problems out and with some decent form here, if he get's through the first round v Dustin Johnson, he will suddenly look very good value.
Pablo Larrazabal - 200/1, obviously a recent winner and I imagine he is the type of player that will not fear anyone in matchplay, speculative but generously priced at 200/1