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Yeah I will fight it to the death if they win LOL!!!
Good luck everyone. just had a wild one on bronson burgoon cos he's got a cool name!! and he's 100/1
Mickelson ended up second but should have won here. A level par round saw him miss out on a Playoff by a shot. He needed two birdies on the final two holes to tie Vaughn Taylor's clubhouse score. He duly hit a birdie two on the 17th with an 18 foot putt and was ideally placed to get a birdie four on the 18th when his eight foot putt rimmed out, leaving him second.
Our Guys:
Jimmy Walker 18/1 -9 Tied 11th
Phil Mickelson 22/1 -16 Second
Aaron Baddeley 200/1 -1 Tied 51st
Bill Haas - 33/1, was top of my short list this week, tied 8th last week and strong course form which includes a win here.
I was keen to take the early 33's as I thought he might have been a popular pick, looking at odds checker it seems he is friendless, can't say that worries me and the optimism is high.
JB Holmes - 33/1, At the half way stage last week I was more than quietly confident that JB was going to finish top 6 at the very least.
An average third round stalled the charge though he still finished the week in a tie for 11th.
Been knocking on the door for a few weeks now and at a course where he's played well before should be knocking on the door again.
Harris English 60/1, back on Harris English, he did us proud at 100/1 last time out, playing very well and at another course where he has decent form, still looks good value.
Flummoxed by the betting for Malaysia, I'd normally be saying Danny Willett can beat anyone and is over priced, now he's favourite i don't know where to turn.
I will have a saver bet on Danny, but at 10/1ish I can't go overboard at those odds so alternatives are:
Scott Hend - 66/1, Like Haas I backed Scott Hend early at 66/1, thinking he would be a popular pick but again seems to be virtually friendless.
He has a win in Asia, which I take as a big tick, he had a few highlights on the Desert swing, which showed his game looks to be in good shape.
Matthew Fitzpatrick - 25/1, had an average desert swing, outshone by the more recognized golfers that seem to always play there.
Now on a course that should suit his tee to green accuracy and must take some confidence from being one of the winning players in the EurASia Cup held in Malaysia last month.
David Lipsky - 200/1, when I saw these odds I thought it was a mistake, granted his form hadn't been great recently but in this type of field he's no also ran, a winner in Asia and former Asian Order of Merit winner, at 200/1 I think he worth a speculative ew tipple.
ISPS Perth
Alexander Levy - 66/1, main pick this week, I like players on upward trends and after three missed cuts, Levy seems to be finding his feet, with improving results in his last 2 events.
He played here in 2013 before he was a 'proper' player and missed the cut by one shot. That experience obviously hasn't put him off and at least he has a bit of course knowledge in the memory banks.
Opened with a 65 in Malaysia last week and goes out in the first group in the morning (or tonight), so a perfect slot to get off to another flier, means I'm also on at 66/1 for FRL.
Lucas Bjerrergaard - 33.1, reading the above posts its clear Lucas B is the sky poker forum player of the week, lets hope he doesn't let us down.
Ticks so many boxes, in a weakfish field, he clearly has many things in his favor this week.
Mikko Illonen - 33/1, an up and down week last week, which was somewhat diluted with a disappointing final round.
That said he looks like a player coming into form, conditions suggest they will be to Illonens strengths and in this field if Illonen can peak this week, he will take some stopping.
Miguel Tabuena - 55/1, its not very often I take the trouble to post picks in running, but there is so much I like about
Tabuena that's what I did last week and for me personally Tabuena gave me a decent profit.
There can be a tendency for young players on the up, to suddenly throw in an off week, but that random fact / opinion aside, there is no logic in me not backing Tabuena this week.
Plenty of good showings from Europeans in recent years here, possibly down to the conditions and partly down to the fact that so many Europeans are based at and around this course / location.
Shane Lowry - 60/1 (first 6), those good results from Europeans include a win for two Irishmen, Rory and Padraig and I'm hoping Shane Lowry will make it an Irish hat trick.
Course and potential wind will favor Shane Lowry and looks decent value over some of the players at the front of the market.
Patrick Reed - 22/1, one player at the front of the market I did jump on was Reed at 22/1.
Sean O' Hair - 150/1, I'd say 100/1 was about fair, 150/1 is very generous, O'Hair can play well in Florida and did show glimpses of form on the West coast, so worth a speculative ew punt in my book.
Jason Dufner - 80/1 (first 6) he was 90/1 earlier in the week and I didn't commit as I felt the price might indicate an injury or illness for Dufner that I was unaware of.
Seems Dufner is fighting fit, (fitter than he's ever been) and the 90/1 has been taken, so Sky is now being punished for me missing out on the best odds and an increased stakes bet at the lesser price of 80/1 but at 6 places instead of 5 is placed.
This should be a Dufner type of week!
The one big event this week, so I treated myself to a bit of extra time to study relevant stats for the players on the PGA Tour.
It's difficult to argue against the case that this is now more than ever a bombers course, though there is also a premium on being able to hit fairways and greens, as there is PLENTY of water out there, so maybe somebody like Graeme Mcdowell at 66/1 shouldn't be completely ignored.
DJ, Bubba, Rory, Day, Spieth and Fowler all have the strengths and credentials to win this and are rightly at the head of the betting.
Then there is Adam Scott, I have to say if there was a rule that said last weeks winner gets to pick the venue for the next week, I'm sure Doral would have been high on Adam Scotts list, he is clearly the man in form and is right up there on all the key stats that are necessary to compete around here.
Problem for me is that Adam and I have never got on, he wins when I don't back him and more often than not, he misses cuts when I do back him. He can't miss the cut this week, but it's not easy to come up with back to back wins and at odds of 12/1, Adam I will remain apart.
Danny Willett - 80/1, Ok I admit to having Willettitis, but that's not a bad thing, in fact its proved to be a very profitable symptom that is treatable with winning bets.
Danny Willett has all the attributes to suit Doral, he is one of the best drivers of the ball on the European Tour, he is bang in form, recently winning in Dubai, could well have won last time in Malaysia if he hadn't have been fighting the flu.
Willett made his debut at Doral last year, five over par after the first two days, he found his feet over the weekend to get back to level par and finish tied 12th.
Normal service is resumed, at 80/1 Danny Willett is way over priced and even 66/1 6 places is decent value.
Justin Rose - 25/1 6 places, I like the fact that whilst virtually every other player has already been filling their playing schedule, Rose has been lightly raced.
If he was a racehorse you'd say he was being trained and held back for the big races.
He won on this track before the changes, but he is sneaky long and his US Open win proved, he is one of the best tee to green.
Justin Rose 25/1 6 places, is the dark horse of the race in my book.
JB Holmes - 25/1 6 places, runner up last year and been playing very well this year, with a number of top 10 results.
A perfect fit for current form and course form and at twice the price of the market leaders.
Brooks Koepka - 40/1 6 places, if you don't have a nervous disposition and like a player who will 'go for it' Brooks Koepka could be your man around here.
Tied 17th on his debut last year and that was with 7 shots dropped on just 3 holes. If he can learn from that first year and move more towards controlled aggression, he could well be a factor this week.
Chris Wood - 250/1 5 places, 200/1 6 places, Always on the look out for at least one 3 figure priced player a week and this week Chris Wood gets the vote.
He has proven in the past that when on his game he is up to the task of competing with anyone, anywhere.
Admittedly breaking into the top 6 this week is a tall order, so 18/1 top 10 and 6/1 top 20 maybe the better options.
Good Luck All
For the record, I said it may not pay to dismiss Gmac just because he's not a bomber off the tee, I've now added Graeme Mcdowell to my portfolio.