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Rory Mcilory (win)
Justin Rose (ew)
Dust-bin Johnson (ew)
Danny Willett (ew)
Westwood, Cabrera & Webb Simpson (FRL) (ew)
Good luck all.
Patrick Reed- 40/1, right game for Augusta and confidence clearly buoyed after finally getting a few putts to drop last Sunday.
Bill Haas - 100/1, Lost a play off last month and has very solid form here and at least capable of making top 8.
Rafa Cabrera- Bello - 100/1, debutants are readily dismissed at Augusta and for sure course form is a premium, but in recent times, first timers have gone close, Spieth, Day and Lieshman all going very close.
Rafa is playing the golf of his life this year and is finding new levels of consistency. He described his closing round last Sunday as his best round of the year. If he does settle quickly a top 8 finish is more than possible.
I will be backing a few of my picks for FRL, with main FRL bet being DJ at 20/1.
Good Luck everyone.
Also, experience is key here. First time players rarely do well. The last first time winner was Fully Zoeller in 1979. While defending the title is tough, going back and winning again does happen a lot as the cream often reaches the top here.
Like you say, its already been a great tournament, lets hope today is just as good.
who was on super Danny altogether?!!
Not only was I a fan of Danny Willett via the bookies I was also a big sporting fan of the dedicated Englishman who promised big things.
I think it was because I'd put so much commitment into following Danny Willett over the last couple of years that when he went and won the big one and I was with him all the way, even topping up in running, there was a subsequent realization those punting highs may never be repeated and as his price for future majors was halved, a feeling on my part, of what next.
All of that plus the fact I was travelling with my day job meant I had very little time to follow the golf, so I took a break of sorts, though if I'm honest I did manage a couple of casual wagers last week.
So what to do now.
Well not much time to study this week and in China there is no course form for us to analyze.
But its China where I will cautiously suggest a new forum fan club.
A player I have tipped a couple of times already and that's South African Dean Burmester.
One of the traits that first drew me to Danny Willett was his confidence; almost from the outset he had bags of confidence, talked a good game and managed to back it up on the course.
Burmester has won plenty on the Sunshine Tour and talks as if he expects to do similar on the bigger stages such as the European Tour.
He seen players he regualrly beats like Brandon Stone and Hayden Porteous win on the European Tour so why shouldnt he be confident.
When I've seen him play he does seem to posses that extra little bit of self belief and expectancy to hit a good shot, that many golfers don't always show.
He doesn't have his European Tour card, but gets in this week thanks to his top 100 world ranking.
He's going to be at a disadvantage most weeks he plays an event, as he will be playing courses for the first time, thats no problem this week as its a new course for everyone.
What I have read about the course is that its a seriously long course, one of Dean Burmesters strengths just happens to be his ability hit it off the tee further than virtually every other player.
So Dean Burmester 40/1 ew outright and going out in the second group of the day, 50/1 FRL.
Good Luck All.
Since my post on who I thought was relatively 'unknown' Dean Burmester I see he is one of the headline tips on Sporting Life and one of three players highlighted by the European Tours official fantasy site.
The bookies have also wised up and are pushing his price OUT, now available at 45-/1 and 50/1.
Added a couple of others to the portfolio:
Thorbjorn Olesen - 25/1, good result in China last week, sounding very confident and clearly playing well.
Peter Uihlein - 40/1, long course, wide fairways, will suit an aggressive strategy, if fit and focused Uihlein should go close this week.
Sebastien Gros - 125/1, two time winner on the Challenge Tour last year, decent results on the main tour this season, including a 19th place finish in China last week. He hits it a mile, so this course should suit. Looks overpriced.
Zurich Open
Unlike the China Open, there is plenty of course form here for us to analyze or ignore.
I say ignore, as I am skipping past obvious candidates at the head of the market.
Daniel Berger - 25/1, sixth on his debut here last year and seemingly coming into form.
Chris Kirk - 40/1, good all round game and makes more putts than most, looks ready for a big win.
Cameron Tringale - 50/1, very solid form here, including runner up last year and four top twenty finishes in the last 5 years.
Patton Kizzire - 50/1, I felt he might have won an event by now, last years money leader on the Web.com Tour has got himself into position a few times, last time out he was one off the lead with 9 holes to play, but fell away badly to finish 14th.
Good enough to get into position to have another crack at getting that maiden win on tour.