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Get in the Hole! 2017 Season!

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  • edited April 2016
    Zurich Classic of New Orleans

    We have plenty of form to go on here for the 70th staging of this event. The field is of moderate standard but with three "Top Ten" players in the field, it will take some winning but there are some decent prices about.

    The field is led by Jason Day, Justin Rose & Rickie Fowler, all at relatively short prices. Day is 5/1 so I really cannot get involved. Cannot get excited about Fowler at 12/1 when he hasn't hit a ball since he fell apart at the Masters. Rose has his merits. The course suits him, he has a good record here and he appears to be coming into form but 17/2 doesn't quite do it for me.

    Once you eliminate the top three then picking decent priced possibilities becomes much easier. The course seems to suit players who are good at GIR, Scrambling & Putting and while Putting can be hit & miss, to find decent candidates for GIR & Scrambling is reasonably straightforward.

    Daniel Berger 25/1

    Berger is the name that jumps off the page when you look at the combination of suitability & form. A fifth in Houston & tenth at the Masters this month show that he is in top form. He was tied sixth here a year ago so loves the course & is in better form now. Seems the obvious candidate, on paper at least.

    Patton Kizzire 60/1

    Another player who should be ideally suited to this course. !4th last time out and looks ripe to be close again in an event that often produces a maiden winner.

    Jamie Lovemark 50/1

    A bit hit & miss but don't want to miss out when he hits. Results this year have been 7th - 6th - 31st - MC - 20th - MC - 37th - 6th - 18th - MC. Just needs to push on and turn those top twenty finishes into a win and on a course that suits his scrambling, this could be the week.

    Cameron Tringale 50/1

    Likes this event, finishing second last year, 17th in 2014, 7th in 2012 & 18th in 2011. Clearly suited to the course & could be his break through week.

    Good Luck!
  • edited May 2016
    Trophee Hassan II

    Before we start this week's preview, let's reflect on last week where Jamie Lovemark was just a stroke from victory in New Orleans, losing in a Playoff giving us a 50/1 full place.

    The European Tour moves to Morocco this week and we have probably the weakest field of the year so far so a great opportunity for a maiden winner or someone to stamp their class against the rest. The event moves to the Royal Golf Club Dar Es Salam where we have limited course form. What we do know is that the couse is likely to favour GIR players with little advantage for long driving.

    The field is led by Alexander Levy & Alejandro Canizares. I like Canazares but cannot get too excited by 16/1 on a player who blows hot & cold. In fact, it is hard to pick a strategy here because the players that I like to back at 50/1+ are half their usual price this week so going for a mix of prices. Here is a portfolio that should net us a place or two & might catch us the winner. There are arguments for Burmester, Dunne, Pepperell, and a few others but this is our team for this week.

    Gregory Bourdy 22/1

    A player I have dabbled with recently who could blow this field apart or could do nothing. I would prefer a bigger price but 22/1 will look massive if he holds a five shot lead after 54 holes. He has decent form and if he steps it up a notch........

    Andrew Johnston 25/1

    Won the Spanish Open three weeks ago and after a couple of weeks rest, he is back. If he is anywhere near that form then he is the most likely winner here.

    Dylan Frittelli 40/1

    Frittelli caught my eye with his second place at the Australian PGA in December and has been in decent form since with top twenty finishes in South African Open, Tshwane Open, Kenya Open & Egyptian Challenge. Could be his breakthrough week.

    Mike Lorenzo Vera 66/1

    Has gone close a few times recently interspersed with several missed cuts. If he is on this week then he could burst clear & stay there. His 6th place at the Spanish Open was quality. Just needs to repeat that against a weaker field.

    Christiaan Bezuidenhuit 75/1

    Regular followers will know I am a fan of the young South African who has already bagged us a second place at 250/1. This course is perfect for him and at 75/1, he is a snip.

    Ross McGowan 110/1

    Finished 12th in SA Open & 10th in Joburg Open. On a similar course here & against a weaker field, could just make the jump up.

    Good Luck!
  • edited May 2016
    In Response to Re: Get in the Hole! 2016 Season! (Zurich Classic & Volvo China Open):
    Trophee Hassan II Before we start this week's preview, let's reflect on last week where Jamie Lovemark was just a stroke from victory in New Orleans, losing in a Playoff giving us a 50/1 full place.
    Posted by Ice_Tiger
    I thought a more interesting point to reflect on was that for said Zurich Classic, out of 156 players, you and I managed to duplicate three of our 4 picks.

    I thought at the time there can only be one outcome, that our one pick that was different would be our 'star player' for the week and that proved to be the case with Jamie Lovemark giving you a return and me with Chris Kirk.

    It will be interesting to see if we arrive at similar conclusions for the Wells Fargo.

    Good Luck.
  • edited May 2016
    In Response to Re: Get in the Hole! 2016 Season! (Zurich Classic & Volvo China Open):
    In Response to Re: Get in the Hole! 2016 Season! (Zurich Classic & Volvo China Open) : I thought a more interesting point to reflect on was that for said Zurich Classic, out of 156 players, you and I managed to duplicate three of our 4 picks. I thought at the time there can only be one outcome, that our one pick that was different would be our 'star player' for the week and that proved to be the case with Jamie Lovemark giving you a return and me with Chris Kirk. It will be interesting to see if we arrive at similar conclusions for the Wells Fargo. Good Luck.
    Posted by TheDart
    I had put my bets on the day before I posted it on here so wasn't influenced other than they are all players that I have backed before & I think you have backed before.

    Will put up Wells Fargo tomorrow morning.
  • edited May 2016
    In Response to Re: Get in the Hole! 2016 Season! (Zurich Classic & Volvo China Open):
    In Response to Re: Get in the Hole! 2016 Season! (Zurich Classic & Volvo China Open) : I had put my bets on the day before I posted it on here so wasn't influenced other than they are all players that I have backed before & I think you have backed before. Will put up Wells Fargo tomorrow morning.
    Posted by Ice_Tiger
    Yes, I didn't consider that my post influenced you.

    I imagine you are like me, you like to do your own research and make your own mind up go with your own picks and then maybe consider other opinions later.

    My bets for the week are on, no time to post now, but will try and post later tonight.
  • edited May 2016

    Trophee Hassan

    Well I've gone in completely the opposite direction to Ice this week:

    Dean Burmester - 28/1, After 10 holes last week, he was leading the field by two shots, he finished day one well placed, but caught the worst of the weather on day 2 and didn't handle conditions well.

    In a weaker field this week and again on a course where few have recent course knowledge, we'll set him up for the win.

    Benjamin Hebret - 28/1, starting to put together some consistently good performances and I like the fact that he was a multiple winner on the Challenge Tour, ticking that 'knows how to win' box.

    Gregory Havret - 33/1, been playing very well on all types of course this season. Big fish in small pond this week.

    Matteo Manassero - 125/1, I've been keeping one eye on Manassero for a while now, if he does get back to his former level, he is more than likely going to pull off a win at a big price. Decent glimpses of form in China, makes his worth an ew tipple at three figure prices in this field.

    Matthew Baldwin - 350/1 6 places, Playing on a medical exemption, form has been very disappointing as he struggles to get back to where he was pre injury / illness.

    Reports this is one of the best courses he's seen and said 'can we play here every week'. For starters lets see if he can play 4 rounds this week, if he makes the cut, he could have a good weekend.





  • edited May 2016
    Wells Fargo

    Short Summary, if I'm on the same page as Ice Tiger again, he will explain why we are backing:

    JB Holmes - 25/1
    Kevin Chappell - 40/1
    Beyeong-Hun An - 50/1
    Patton Kizzire - 80/1
    Patrick Rodgers - 85/1

    All 6 places with the exception of Kizzire who is 5 places, (he won't finish 6th will he ;-)

    Good Luck all
  • edited May 2016
    Wells Fargo

    This event is being staged at the Quail Hollow Golf Club, Charlotte, North Carolina. The leading contenders are McIlroy, Fowler, Scott, Matsuyama, Stenson & Rose. While McIlroy has a great record on the course, I cannot feel confident enough of him to go with 4/1. In fact, there are enough doubts about most of the favourites that I am going for none of the above and am looking for a decent price to beat the favourites.

    This isn't an easy course to asess. It has traditionally favoured GIR & Scrambling. However, the last couple of years (after course adjustments), it has favoured driving distance so brings the bombers well into play.

    JB Holmes 28/1

    Winner here two years ago so suited by the course since the recent adjustments. His most recent finishes have been 6th - 6th - 11th - 11th - 59th - 4th - 13th so he is in pretty good form. The combination makes him great value here.

    Daniel Berger 40/1

    Suffered with the weather last week when well placed. Worth another chance.

    Justin Thomas 50/1

    It could just be a bombers week so Justin fits the bill. He looks to be coming into form as well.

    Jim Herman 300/1

    Two months ago, there was little to warrant any support then out of the blue, he won the Shell Houston Open. Six weeks later, he is back as a 300/1 shot. Then you look back a year & notice that he was 13th here. Maybe lightening will strike twice.

    There are a few others who might be worthy of a punt - Lovemark 60/1, DeChambeau 66/1, Finau 70/1, Donald 80/1, Kokrak 70/1, Schniederjans 150/1 & Wyatt 200/1.

    Good Luck!
  • edited May 2016
    Mauritius Open

    Another tricky week on the European Tour with a new course and a mixture of players from Europe, The Sunshine Tour and The Asian Tour.

    The wind is expected to blow and the course is said to have a links type feel to it in places.

    Plenty of angles to be find, such as Nicolas Colsaerts having a home on the island and being attached to the course, as is I believe Hennie Otto.

    Max Orrin has won two lower class events around here, so will be popular.

    Obvious winners at the head of the field, include last years event winner George Coetzee, Scott Hend who is playing well and plenty of players who have already won on Tour this year.

    I'm keeping it fairly simple for me:

    Dean Burmester - 20/1, uninspiring price for a player looking for his first win on tour, but he's been my main pick the last two weeks and a tied 14th place last week offered enough encouraging signs that he should be competitive this week at double the odds of the market leaders.

    Hennie Otto - 50/1, Had been struggling for a while making only 2 cuts from 9 starts, but last time out at the China Open he opened with a 63, before finishing a much improved 21st.

    If he can build on his result in China, on a course he knows well, the 50/1 will look very generous.

    Adrian Otaegui - 160/1, here's my dark horse for the week, young player with bags of talent, grew up playing golf on a seaside course in Spain so should be able to handle any windy conditions this week. Mentored by Jose Maria Olazabal, shown flashing of brillainace on tour such as shooting a 62 a couple of years ago.

    Joint winner of the tour school in 2015, but has since had a fairly low key start to the season.

    Came up on the radar last week in tough windy conditions in Morocco to finish 22nd, his best result this season by a long way.

    I like players who show signs of 'finding something' and I'm as quietly confident as you can be about a 160/1 shot going very well.


    With just the three picks this week, I'm also backing all three in the FRL market.

  • edited May 2016
    The Players Championship


    Widely regarded as the 5th major, no introductions necessary.

    Jordan Spieth - 10/1, something I never ever do is back a player ante post at such short odds in a golf tournament.

    Admittedly playing his first event since The Masters, this could go either way for Jordan Spieth.

    The memories of the bad swings could linger for months even years, but I'm very much in the camp that Jordan Spieth is a special talent with an exceptionally strong winning mentality.

    He'll be out to prove a point to himself never mind everyone that follows the game and on that point I think he will have done plenty of homework in preparation for this event.

    Branden Grace - 40/1, playing very well, winning his first event on the PGA Tour last month. Of course he was already a multiple winner on the European Tour and multiple is the key word as Grace tends to have really hot streaks where he looks like he can win every week.

    I'd decided he could be a value bet for a major this year, but at 40/1 why not start with the 5th major. Played here twice before making the cut without contending, an in form Grace might do considerably better this week.

    Chris Kirk - 90/1, at the Zurich Classic I was really hoping they would get 4 rounds in as to me Chris Kirk looked like the winner moving through the field at great knots, unfortunately they only managed 3 rounds, Kirk and his backers (well me)had to settle for a strong finishing tied 4th.

    So Chris Kirk went into the notebook for next time out and here we are.

    Confidence is further boosted when you consider last year Kirk was leading the Players after 3 rounds, he eventually finished 13th, as he did in 2014, but thats enough to show he can play the course well.

    Course form and current form, 6 places at 90/1 equals lovely jubbly :)

    Danny Willett - 45/1, I can't ignore the Masters Champion, not sure what to expect from Englands number one golfer this week, but it just wouldnt be right to watch the golf without 10p ew on Danny Willett :)


    Good Luck All
  • edited May 2016
    Mauritius Open

    Tricky to pick a winner here with possibly the weakest field ever on the European Tour. Coetzee, Hend, Stone & Van Zyl lead the betting markets in an open contest. There are open fairways which suggests that the course favours big hitters with little penalty for a lack of accuracy.

    Scott Hend 12/1

    The price is a bit short but I see Hend as the most likely winner if he plays to his potential. He has won for us at 45/1 in Thailand and placed at 50/1 in Shenzhen. Course is perfect for him. Could be close.

    JeungHunWang 20/1

    Impressive winner in Morrocco last week and could repeat it this week against an even weaker field.

    Haydn Porteous 28/1

    Won the Jo'burg Open in January and should be suited by this course. Good enough for a top five finish.

    Max Orrin 40/1

    Very mixed views on Orrin's chances here. He is the course specialist with three wins and a fifth on this course in the last two years. Some might say that he hasn't beaten much but he beat Colsaerts & Otto three times and the field isn't much stronger here and 40/1 is a fair price.

    Chris Hanson 80/1

    I was impresssed with him last week in Morrocco where a fifth place didn't really do him justice. He has a 6th & 12th placed finishes on this course so could be close this week at a decent price.

    Good Luck!
  • edited May 2016
    The Players Championship

    Top quality field headed by Speith, McIlroy, Day, Fowler, Matuyama, Garcia, Rose, Scott, Dustin Johnson, Watson & Stenson. 

    None of the above really catch my eye for the prices although we could all be made to look silly if Speith or Day coasts home by six shots. This course suits players who are accurate off the tee & are good on GIR in my opinion so I am looking for all rounders who are capable of four good rounds.

    Branden Grace 40/1

    Won at the Heritage last month and 9th at the Texas Open show that he is in decent form and this course should be to his liking. Rate his chances as better than players half his price.

    Danny Willett 50/1

    Suggestions that he might be undercooked have given us a decent price. Willett doesn't play to make up the numbers. He has only played six tournaments this year but has won two of them and has a third place. I expect him to be a serious contender this week.

    Charley Hoffman 70/1

    Won the Texas Open last month and with three consecutive Top 15 finishes is in good nick at the moment. Good value at this price.

    Kevin Kisner 100/1

    Runner up here last year so loves the course. A better player now with a win at the RSM Classic, a second at the HSBC and ninth at the Tournament of Champions. If he is on his A Game then he will be close.

    Bill Haas 100/1

    Fifth here a year ago and in a decent run of form with 9th, 8th, 2nd & 9th already this year. could be right there on Sunday.

    Good Luck!
  • edited May 2016
    In Response to Re: Get in the Hole! 2016 Season! (The Players & Mauritius Open):
    Mauritius Open Tricky to pick a winner here with possibly the weakest field ever on the European Tour. Coetzee, Hend, Stone & Van Zyl lead the betting markets in an open contest. There are open fairways which suggests that the course favours big hitters with little penalty for a lack of accuracy. Scott Hend 12/1 The price is a bit short but I see Hend as the most likely winner if he plays to his potential. He has won for us at 45/1 in Thailand and placed at 50/1 in Shenzhen. Course is perfect for him. Could be close. JeungHunWang 20/1 Impressive winner in Morrocco last week and could repeat it this week against an even weaker field. Haydn Porteous 28/1 Won the Jo'burg Open in January and should be suited by this course. Good enough for a top five finish. Max Orrin 40/1 Very mixed views on Orrin's chances here. He is the course specialist with three wins and a fifth on this course in the last two years. Some might say that he hasn't beaten much but he beat Colsaerts & Otto three times and the field isn't much stronger here and 40/1 is a fair price. Chris Hanson 80/1 I was impresssed with him last week in Morrocco where a fifth place didn't really do him justice. He has a 6th & 12th placed finishes on this course so could be close this week at a decent price. Good Luck!
    Posted by Ice_Tiger
    Nice 20/1 winner with JeungHunWang winning with a birdie on the 72nd hole.
  • edited May 2016
    In Response to Re: Get in the Hole! 2016 Season! (The Players & Mauritius Open):
    In Response to Re: Get in the Hole! 2016 Season! (The Players & Mauritius Open) : Nice 20/1 winner with JeungHunWang winning with a birdie on the 72nd hole.
    Posted by Ice_Tiger

    Yes well done ice

    He timed it perfectly, I don't think he was ever in the lead until his last putt on the 72nd hole dropped.

  • edited May 2016
    Short on time this week but here are my Irish Open Bets.

    Rafaiel Cabrera Bello 35/1
    Thorbjorn Olesen 55/1
    Andrew Johnston 80/1

    Good Luck!
  • edited May 2016
    Good Luck Ice

    Ditto on lack of time

    I've gone with a theory that we are looking for a US open type player this week

    GMac - 25/1 without Rory
    Joost Luiten - 28/1 without Rory
    Martin Kaymer - 50/1
    Peter Hanson - 55/1
    Lucas Bjerregaard -90/1

    And long shot
    Adrian Otaegui - 300/1


  • edited May 2016
    Irish Open

    The Irish Open is back at the K Club & while we have some course form, it is a bit dated. Rory McIlroy is the 4/1 Favourite with other names including Willett, Lowry, Knox, Luiten, McDowell & Westwood.

    I can find reasons for not backing any of the above - McIlroy just isn't a worthy 4/1 favourite, Willett seems under cooked, Lowry is poor value at 18/1, Knox doesn't justify 28/1, Luiten has form but is probably too short, McDowell & Westwood need to step up to win. All which leaves me looking for longer shots.

    My gut feeling is that the course will favour GIR players but not 100% on this so being flexible.

    Rafael Cabrera Bello 35/1

    I think length could be a great advantage here & RCB has been pretty consistent this season. He had a bad week last week at Sawgrass but before that had seven Top 20 finishes out of eight, four of them Top Five finishes. He is much improved around the green & he will be winning soon.

    Thorbjorn Olesen 55/1

    Olesen is a bit inconsistent but if he can put four decent rounds together then he should go close at a decent price. He often performs well in poor conditions and the forecast is that there may be wind & rain.

    Andrew Johnston 80/1

    Won the Spanish Open last month where he topped the stats for GIR & Driving Accuracy, qualities that will see him right up there. Far better form than most of the favourites here and great value.

    I quite like Luiten 33/1, Wiesberger 40/1, Rock 100/1, Lorenzo-Vera 300/1, 

    Good Luck!
  • edited May 2016
    Byron Nelson

    Plenty of course form here on a course which favours the bombers, particularly those who can hit the ball in windy conditions.

    Speith is the favourite at 8/1, followed by Dustin Johnson, Kuchar & Garcia. Hard to go with Speith at that price although he will surely get back to his best sooner rather than later. Dustin is well suited by this course but I cannot go with 8/1 about a player with one win in three years. Kuchar & Garcia are players that I avoid so we can look at better priced players to take on the favourites.

    Charley Hoffman 28/1

    Won the Texas Open last month which shows a liking for playing in this area and also that he is in form. He was second here last year so clearly likes the course. Looks great value at the price.

    Marc Leishman 33/1

    A big hitter who should be suited by this course where he has two top three finishes. If he can put four decent rounds together, he could go close.

    Danny Lee 60/1

    Lee has home course advantage as he is based at this course. Looked to be finding his form with a tied 9th finish at the Wells Fargo earlier this month so everything could just fall in line for him at a decent price.

    Going for Scott Piercy at 50/1 for FRL. He has shot a first round 66 three times here.

    Good LucK!
  • edited May 2016
    Byron Nelson

    Short and sweet again.

    For the Byron Nelson I've gone with players I think could win ;-)

    Matt Kuchar - 20/1
    Mark Leishman - 33/1
    Ryan Palmer - 45/1
    Jonas Bllixt - 80/1


    Good Luck everyone and anyone



  • edited May 2016
    Really impressed with Willett in his opening round so have lomped on him at 5/2.

    Will I regret this?
  • edited May 2016
    WHAT WAS HIS PRICE FROM THE START ANYONE?!
  • edited May 2016
    In Response to Re: Get in the Hole! 2016 Season! (Byron Nelson & Irish Open):
    WHAT WAS HIS PRICE FROM THE START ANYONE?!
    Posted by mrdavies
    Generally 18/1 outright 
    Though some people may have taken the 14/1 without Rory ;-)
  • edited May 2016
    In Response to Re: Get in the Hole! 2016 Season! (Byron Nelson & Irish Open):
    Really impressed with Willett in his opening round so have lomped on him at 5/2. Will I regret this?
    Posted by Ice_Tiger

    I lumped on at the same price, looking far more consistant than Rory, so fingers crossed
  • edited May 2016
    Willett not as impresssive in Round Two so I laid off for my original stake at 2.58 so am freerolling the profit already made. Still think he is the most likely winner but less confident.
  • edited May 2016
    In an attempt to inject a differnt angle to this golf betting lark and hopefully bring a little added interest to these pages.

    I've decided to set myself a challenge, but my all means, lurkers and Ice Tiger, please feel free to  follow or join in.

    Based on my soft spot for backing a players at big odds.

    The objective is to back 5 players in an event at no lower than 80/1.

    I will still have my main picks for an event, but I am going to focus a little more on the 'rags' in the field, as I believe that most weeks in a field of 156 players, there can be up to 140 players who have the ability to win.

    I will keep a running tally on both tours, staking £1ew on five 80/1 shots or bigger.

    So £10 invested in each invent, means we are looking for a minimum of an 80/1 place return every two weeks, which is actually far from easy.

    I'll keep it going until I hit a £100 loss on each tour, or should I say IF I hit a £100 loss.

    Of course I'm hoping to actually make a bit of money, but first objectives are a bit of fun and a run for my money.


    European Tour Long Shot Challenge

    Week 1 - BMW PGA Championship


    I genuinely belive this is one of those tournaments where literlaly 140 of the 156 players could win.

    At least we get a small helping hand from the bookies this win, with 6 places paid.

    Peter Hanson - 80/1 - First off, we have Peter Hanson. After a long spell out injured, he has put together a very decent run of tournaments since September last year, highlight being a 6th place finish in the China Open at the beginning of May.

    He messed that up last week with a first missed cut in 2016, but he was in the wrong side of the draw, so I'm not going to worry about to much about that.

    He has some steady if not spectacular form around here, but after starting 2015 with 3 missed cuts he came to this event and finished 27th, which shows he can play well around here even when he's not on top of his game.


    Pablo Larrazabal - 125/1 - you'd be hard pushed to find a 125/1 shot with more confidence than Pablo Larzabal.

    Consistency and possibly too much agression can be his downfall, but he's proved when he has everything under control he can win on some of the toughest courses on tour.

    Played here 7 times, with 3 missed cuts and 2 top 12's, so come Friday evening we should know where we stand.


    Thomas Aiken - 100/1 - Playing the majority of his golf on the PGA Tour this year, where his best finish has been a tied 15th.

    He actually leads the PGA Tour on Driving and is ranked 8th for GIR, giving him a combined ranking of 4th for ball striking, which is very impressive.

    On the other hand a ranking of 200th for putting average is diabolical and if there was any doubt, tells Thomas and everybody else what is holding him back.

    He's always been a tee to green player and a streaky putter, which when working has helped him to three wins on tour.

    Finished 7th here in 2014, so back on his 'home' tour and familiar greens where he has putted well before, Thomas Aiken could just find his comfort zone once again.


    Sebastien Gros - 125/1, debut appearance at this event, but as An proved last year, it's not impossible to win first time around here.

    Rookie season on tour and looks to be finding his feet, tied 10th last week despite a quadrule bogey. Potentially has the game tee to green that should suit Wentworth.


    Felipe Aguilar - 150/1, finished 11th here last year, also has a 13th and 16th place finish, so when on his game he obviously enjoys Wentworth.

    So thats three top 16 finished, he's played the event on 5 other occassions and missed the cut every time, so when not on his game, like most players he won't survive.

    Finshed second at the beginning of May and has some good results in big events, not a bad profile for a 150/1 shot.


    Investment - 5 x £1.00 ew 6 places = £10.00



  • edited May 2016
    PGA Championships

    Not much time but my tips for this week are:

    Shane Lowry 16/1
    Russell Knox 18/1
    Rafa Cabrera Bello 25/1
    Peter Hanson 80/1

    More detail tomorrow.

    Also maybe go for Molinari for a Top Five or Top Ten finish.
  • edited May 2016
    PGA Championship

    A relatively weak field for this prestigeous event with Willett the only Top Twenty player here. Cannot go with him after last week but going for a couple of players that have gone close recently.

    Shane Lowry 16/1

    Been a fan of Lowry for a while but he has lost form for a while but there have been recent signs that he is back to his best and he does tend to do well when the summer hits. Three top six finishes here in the past five seasons.

    Russell Knox 18/1

    Knox has been up there for some time & seems to be hitting form now & is targeting a Ryder Cup place. He was 2nd last week at the Irish Open & was only pipped by a rampant McIlroy. Should be close.

    Rafael Cabrera Bello 25/1

    Much more consistent now with recent finishes of 2nd - 2nd - 36th - 11th - 3rd - 17th - 16th - 8th. Feel a win is very close & it could be this week.

    Peter Hanson 80/1

    Starting to hit forn, leading up to a 6th in China four weeks ago. Ignore last week - half the field were ruled out by the draw. Should be ideally suited by the course here.

    Francesco Molinari has an excellent record here but doubt he will win it so am going for the 2/1 for a top Ten finish.

    Good Luck!
  • edited May 2016
    BMW PGA

    My picks at the serious end of the market are:

    Martin Kaymer - 25/1, low round of the week last Sunday to finish tied 5th, brought a payback for a place at 50/1, he won the 'bad side' of the draw and would have surely pushed Rory all the way if he had played in the same favorable conditions.

    Starting to play very well and some decent form here, without ever really challenging for the win. This could be his week.

    Rafa Cabrera Bello - 33/1, I like to watch Rafa, but I dont like backing him as he has proved many times he is not a man too be trusted when the going gets tough.

    That said, what doesnt kill you, makes you stronger and Rafa has shown signs this year that he is manning up a bit, but even after playing so well all year, he still hasn't been able to win.

    This course will play to his strengths and he has proven he can shoot low around here, so one more last chacne for Rafa and I.

    Thorbjorn Olesen - 55/1, current form and stats say he comes here ready to go close. Past course form says he has no chance, in 7 attempts he's only made the cut once and has never broken 70.

    For sure Olesen went into the event out of sorts, for some of those missed cuts, but if he doesn't make the cut this week, he will go on the 'never back him at Wentworth' list.

    Chris Wood - 66/1, the opposite profile to Olesen in that his course form is pretty good, but he arrived at the event saying he hadn't played well enough to compete last week and had plenty to work on.

    Fine lines between A and B game for these golfers, if the homework on the range went well, he will look very good value.


  • edited May 2016
    Dean and Deluca

    Four players for me that I've backed recently and have the right credentials to win here:

    Kevin Chappell - 28/1, knocking on the door most weeks, must go close.

    Chris Kik - 33/1, defending champion and playing well again.

    Colt Knost - 40/1, Texan who ist possibly playing the best golf of his life on tour, certainly looks to have found a high level of consistency and confidence.

    Ryan Palmer - 45/1, another Texan who can be frustratingly hit and miss in these events, he's due a win in Texas, last chance this week.



  • edited May 2016
    PGA Tour Long Shot Challenge

    Week 1 - Dean and Deluca

    Patton Kizzire - 80/1, having a very good rookie season on tour, plays well most weeks and has gone close to the win a couple of times, another good showing is expected.

    Roberto Castro - 100/1, lost a play off earlier this month, playing well and profile should match this course.

    Jonas Blixt - 100/1, shown some promising signs that his game is coming together, if he gets into contention he is strong enough to win.

    Sean O'Hair - 125/1, four time winner on tour, last win was in 2011, lost his way for a couple of years, but is defintely back and close to getting into contention for that long awaited 5th win.  He can handle the wind, this course and conditions will suit.

    Steve Marino - 150/1, yet to win on tour, but the last 2-3 years he was either strugglig with injuries or out altogether.
    Lost in a play off a couple of months ago and lost a playoff here back in 2009.

    A solid wind player, who's chances this week are better than your average 150/1 shot.


    Investment - 5 x £1.00 ew 5 places = £10.00

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