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I know Adam Scott is on fire and Jason Day is a top top player and the event is in their back yard, but I've become all patriotic this week and am backing England for the win (or 2nd, 3rd or 4th).
Royal Melbourne is a links type course and Englands Chris Wood and Danny Willett are two very accomplished links players, who should still be relatively fresh and playing with very little pressure this week.
England 33/1 ew first 4
Chris Wood 66/1 ew first 4
Danny Willett 80/1 ew first 4
I've decided to go for a life changing £1 Lucky 15 and a £1 ew accumulator on the 4 golfing events around the world this week.
Life changing would be great, but I'll be quite happy with one winner and a profit.
Alfred Dunhill - George Coetzee, 22/1
Australian Open (without Scott, Day, Mcllroy) - Matt Jones, 20/1
Casio Open - Hideki Matsuyama - 8/1
Indonesian Open - Anirba Lahri - 28/1
Good Luck Flash, it would be nice if at least one of our bets is still at the possible life changing stage come the weekend.
I decided to switch my line rental and broadband to get a better deal.
Good news you don't need an engineer to switch, said my welcome letter.
Friday 9.00am my phone line went dead and the broadband went with it.
My new provider assured me, my phone and broadband would be activated by midnight at the very latest.
Three days later an Openreach engineer finally arrives at my home and sorts out the problem, which was in a junction box or something similar situated a few hundred yards for my home.
Actually if I'm honest I quite enjoyed three days of no internet, for me or the family.
I remember reading another thread a while back where I think it was Vagret that pointed out punters who back Lucky15's and similar are the bookies favourite type of customer as these bets rarely come up.
I believe the serious or professional punter would be mostly backing singles on their strong fancy's.
Take my life changing bet last week:
4 selections - £1 Lucky 15 + £1ew accumulator = £17 invested
One winner at 8/1 = £17 returns
One winner in 4 picks in the golf is pretty good I reckon, but I didn't make a profit
Now if I'd have had £4win on each pick and a £1win accumulator for the same £17 invested.
My one winner at 8/1 would have given me £36 returns, for a £19 proift on the week.
So right there you can see why the Lucky15 wouldn't appeal or make sense to the serious punter.
Two of my other picks finished 3rd and 6th at 20/1 and 28/1 respectively, if either had won, my Lucky 15 would have been the best bet by far.
I was content with £19 less returns this week as I was pretty close to at least a three figure return, so it felt like the Lucky 15 was worth the 'risk'.
I might be stating the obvious but I guess it's down to what ticks your own boxes.
Last week I didn't have a strong fancy for any single player, so I was never going to 'lump on' anybody, the speculative aspect of the Lucky 15 gave me a bit of a buzz, which is great because I bet for entertainment.
For future weeks I think if I have a particular strong fancy in one event I'm going to be focusing on the single, though when both tours are back in full swing, I'm likely to be backing singles and doubles.
If I look at my results this year, my best wins have been as a result of place doubles and that's even when I've backed single winners at prices as big as 80/1 and 100/1.
I'm quite sure your biggest win and Splashies biggest wins this year, came from your Matt Kuchar winning double.
So to me I think it makes sense, to focus on singles and doubles most weeks and weight your bets according to your own hunches and interpretations of the markets.
For me the Lucky 15 and patents should be thrown in every now and then, but not the right type of bet to be having week in week out.
Good Luck with whatever you do and always remember to try and cover yourself against those 'if only' outcomes.
£1 Lucky 15
Charl Schwartzel - 6/1
Kiradech Aphibarnrat - 10/1
Marcus Fraser - 18/1
Graeme Mcdowell - 12/1
Anirban Lahri - 50/1
Peter Uilhein - 50/1
ew singles and double
Just seen Peter Uilhein has drifted to 66/1 before he's hit a ball, so not to be beaten by the bookies, I have just added:
Peter Uilhein - 66/1
Hunter Mahan - 25/1
ew singles and double
Good Luck All!!!
See my advice has been repeated. Nothing wrong in doubles , trebles and accumalators. Just dont do as the same stake as your singles.
At the moment I'm just backing 'local boy' Simon Yates in the Thailand Championship.
Given his undoubted talent I've always been fascinated by this guy's attitude to the professional golf world.
You won't find too much information about him out there on t'internet, which probably suits him just fine.
Most recent news and perfect example of his character, was earlier this year, after taking a couple of years off to do his houses up, he declared it was time to go back to work and earn some money, where first tournament back he tied 4th in Thailand alongside reigning champ Chris Wood and finishing well ahead of the likes of Padraig Harrington.
He's 13th on all the All time Asian money list and has competed against and beaten some of the games best despite a somewhat unorthodox attitude to pro golf.
I'm not suggesting he can just turn up and beat the likes of Stenson, Schwartzel and Rose, but if he's even close to his A game, he could well threaten top 10, then again he could jack it in after the first day!
Anyway I'm on Simon Yates at 40/1 for a top 10 finish and ew at 250/1 without the 4 favorites.
Good Luck All
Decided to start my 2014 golf betting off today.
Small field and probably a bit of a gamble and depend a lot on who's "in the mood" for this one. So went with:
Spieth @ 22/1
Woodland @ 28/1
Johnson @ 14/1 (£5 free bet on this one)
Only £1 ew on the first two as it's first bet of the season.
Gonna try and keep track on my profit and loss for the golf this year too which I'll try to update on here with each event. That can be my new years resolution lol
Wife would have preferred I quit smoking but hey ho
So opening balance:
-£4 (£4 in play + £5 free bet).