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My internets out at home because they damaged my phone line when they relayed the road and my mobile internet is non existent so this will be a bit of a long update!
Anyway on Saturday after Coetzee whimpered to a about a 10 way share of fifth and a massive return of £2.03 I remembered I hadn't done my free bet qualifying acca. So picked 4 teams and went to check how it got it on at 5pm sat. 3 out of the 4 came in and the 4th had postponed so £18 return. Wasn't sure if it still qualified for the free bet club and email customer support they replied on Saturday to say it doesn't and so went on to pick another £5 acca. After I'd picked the teams I decided to check out the pga odds for my runners and noticed a certain Mr Stallings sitting 3 off the lead at 33/1. So decided on putting a massive 78p ew on him(rounded my account down lol).
My 2nd acca got off to a good start with Lyon winning easy. Ac Milan next, they were 1 nil down until the 86minute and then scored two late goals to keep the acca alive. Bordeaux and athletico won easy leaving Monaco vs Marseille the last match for £86 quid. Backed the draw and away win at £25 quid to book a win. Monaco won for £56 profit. Boom.
Then on the golf Day, leishman and Stallings all looked candidates to win at different points but stallings won for a £33.74 return, Day placed for a £14.80 and leishman birdied the last to claim a place return of £8.80.
Was hoping for the Day win which would have returned about £80 then Leishman who would of returned about £50 but a wins a win and with the football accas doing well won about £130 on sat and sun. Made for an entertaining weekend despite not being able to play poker! My 46" 3d tv is getting closer......
Season Profit/Loss
Profit £109.31 (doesn't include football acca's just golf)
Wins: 2
Places: 10
Settled bets: 28
Was a case of starting off as promising to be a great week, to feeling like a bad week (small returns on Coetzee and Fichardt) and ending up with a profit thanks to Graham Delaets' tied 2nd at 55/1, so all in all not bad.
I finished off last week or started this week, by finally finding a player I felt offers some value in the R2D market and have backed, Thorbjorn Olesen at 125/1 ew first 4.
I have also added to my investment on Graham DeLaet for the PGA Tour money list and backed him again at 125/1.
DeLaet's only played 4 events so far and sits 17th on the money list, he's playing 3 of the next 4 weeks, last 3 events read 7th, 6th and 2nd and will be playing all the big events this year, surely he won't be 125/1 for much longer?
Oh and well done JD on your busy and profitable week!
In future I shall have to consider the other 155 players in a USA tour event
Oleson 25/1 - Flash drew my attention to him this week.
Donaldson 40/1 - Really was struggling for my second pick. Thought about Fleetwood and canizares but decided to go with a more consistent performer. Thought that was best idea with a consistent player because oleson can be very hit or miss and definitely one who can miss cuts very easily too and didn't want to be left with no runners for the weekend! considered Mr consistenet luiten but his record here is terrible.
Phoenix - odds aren't up yet on skybet but my shortlist is Bradley, Every, Haas, Horschel, Moore, Palmer, Poulter, Simpson and Watson. Ryan Moore I imagine will be one of them and probably 1st round leader too all depends on the odds though.
Thorbjorn Olesen - 30/1, as per my earlier post, Olesen gets my support for the season from here on in and I'm hoping he starts with a win this week.
The form suggests he must go close, tied 3rd last week, 3rd here last year, also has 2 top 10's in Abu Dhabi, so is clearly comfortable to conditions at the Desert Swing. Hardly surprising that he has now based in himself in Dubai and it is reported that he has been putting in some serious practice sessions out in Dubai.
Romain Wattel - 66/1, not at the level of Olesen, but Wattel also has some decent recent form and above average results here and in the region, I don't expect he will be 66/1 for long, so I've waded in early, to secure the value.
I will probably add to the portfolio, but for me Olesen and Wattel are the two stand out value picks in the early markets.
Good Luck All!
I might back Olesen without the big 3 myself.
Like pocket aces you've got the best starting hand but like pocket aces no guarantee they will win
Good Luck!
Ryan Palmer - 33/1, 5th last year and also has a tied 2nd here, Palmer was 2nd last time out, so ticks some good form boxes.
Charley Hoffman - 45/1, has a 2nd place here and also in good form with a very good final round in the Farmers, good ew value.
JB Holmes - 100/1, has two wins on tour, both at this venue, including a 7 shot victory. JB has taken his time to come back from illness, a tied 23rd at the Farmers last week was very promising and if coming into some form, he obviously loves this course, so could give a decent run for the money at a tidy 100/1.
Ryan Moore 28/1 £2ew Good form and good course form
Ryan Palmer 33/1 £2ew Good form and good course form
Marc Leishman 45/1 £1ew
Excellent recent form and played well last week. Didn't watch it on tv but from watching the pga app looked like his putter let him down but this weeks course's winning scores tend to be a lot higher so birdies should be easier to come by. No course form.
Also used my free bet for a double.
Rory Mcilroy 3/1 and Phil Mickelson 14/1 £2.5 ew (free bet)
Hard to see mcilroy not being up there come Sunday. I'd be very surprised if he isn't in the last two pairings.
Likewise mickleson if he plays to anywhere near his potential he'll be up there too. Think he has a some of ongoing back injury though so may regret this one.
Still waiting for the first round leader market odds to go up and i'll probably have a dabble in those too.
Season Profit/Loss
Profit £91.31
Wins: 2
Places: 10
Settled bets: 28
"If it was any other tournament, I’d skip it," Mickelson said in a news release, “but I’m defending, it’s my second home town and I love the event. I’ll have a light practice session and if it goes well I may try to play.”
Doesn't sound too good. Even if he does play doesn't sound like he'll be 100%.
[QUOTE I finished off last week or started this week, by finally finding a player I felt offers some value in the R2D market and have backed, Thorbjorn Olesen at 125/1 ew first 4.
Just checked the prices for R2D and the firm where I backed Olesen at 125/1 yesterday, now has him at 50/1, wow!
Luiten 33/1 £1ew
Fleetwood 50/1 £1ew
Phoenix FRL
Bradley 33/1 £1 ew
Haas 35/1 £1ew
Was going to go with Palmer but odds are too short. He is about 10th favourite overall but 3rd fav for frl which I found strange.
Season Profit/Loss
Profit £83.31
Wins: 2
Places: 10
Settled bets: 28
Value of bets this week: £26 + £5free bet
Weekly Profit/Loss: -£26
I'm on!
Good Luck!
I was watching Gillette soccer Tuesday or whatever they call it when it's not a Saturday.
I though at the time when they got it to 2-2, it was a great come back, I wish I'd seen your bet earlier I'd have appreciated the comeback even more.
It's a bit of karma back for your acca that went down, when Zach Johnson chipped in on the last and then did Tiger in the play off