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UNBELEIVABLE
thank you for your kind words
Father V
The fact that you've backed that up with 2 more in the top 10, must give you a great chance of a fantasy top 10finish this week.
I'll be disappointed for you if you don't make it.
You put Sterne at 20/1 at the back of mind for a dabble, unfortunately that's where the bet stayed and I didn't have a penny on him.
I just couldnt beleive the price which is why I did him. He had been so close in recent other tournies , so was on good form and in his home country I just couldnt see past him.
Mind you my golf tips are usually useless.
Father V
Back to the form books for me.
JIMMY WALKER stands out as a fantastic bet in both the outright and first round leader markets at 40/1 given his recent form here and current form on the whole have backed £10 e/w in both
others im running my eye over in the first round market are PAT PEREZ who shot 6 under on day 2 last year which would be enough to win this market most of the time if on day 1, BRYCE MOLDER who shot a 67 and 66 on days 1 and 2 last year before a final day 5 over 76, and im quite keen on REITEF GOOSEN to have a good showing following a timely return to form at Pebble over the weekend and thinking of having a little tickle on him in both markets, 66/1 1st rnd and a tempting 80/1 outright
horses for courses
After some spectacular flops in the last 2 weeks, I'm suffering from a crisis of confidence and split between my interpretation of form, loyalty to a couple of players and being swayed by the odds.
At prices between 66/1 - 90/1 over the last 2 weeks I've been on Tommy Fleetwood and Lorenzo Galgi, both have played well just missing out on top 5 finishes. I don't like the 25/1 on offer this week even if it is a weakened field, I may still have a saver on them both, but at the moment I've let them be, this sort of logic may well be my achilles heel when it come to golf betting.
Anyway in search of better value I've taken the plunge on these:
Africa Open
Lee Slattery 75/1, consistent scoring with the odd very low round, so far this season, I feel he is improving each week and think he will fancy his own chances in this field, so confidence will be high and form is improving.
Tom Lewis 80/1, after losing his way, his game appears to be getting back in shape, two excellent scores in rounds 2 and 3 last week, if he can get it together for the the 4 rounds this week, he should go close.
Oliver Bekker 100/1, already a winner on the sunshine tour this year and was 14th in this event in 2011, a speculative selection, but not without some merit.
Northern Trust Open
Ryan Moore 40/1, a player I have been watching closely this season, almost backed him last time out at 66/1 in the Phoenix Open, but left him alone as his course form was poor, he promptly finished 4th! This week he's got the course form to match the current form and at 40/1 looks good value to me.
Charles Howell III 50/1, superb start to the season, possibly playing his best golf ever, certainly for a few years. He has a win and a runners up position in this event, I reckon 50/1 is value bet of the week, which if my recent hunches are anything to go by means he'll finish around 150th, but no I am staying optimistic!
Graham DeLaet 250/1, I just can't ignore DeLaet at these odds, two missed, cuts a tied 65th, but also a tied 9th this season and to me there is plenty to suggest the bookies have a blind spot for DeLaets talent and potential.
Northern Trust:- Haas ew 33/1..... Watson ew 25/1
Plus 4 x ew doubles
Gl everyone
Mahan 35/1 £10ew
Wetwood 33/1 £10ew
Africa Open
Trever Fisher 33/1 £10ew
Moore 55/1 £10ew
4 x £5ew doubles
My two this week are Trevor fisher 33-1 , ok he blew up on his last round last week but only because of pressure put on by Sterne, hopefully this week he will be so far ahead he will keep it together. Also he has finished in laces at course before.
Jimmy Walker 33-1 , ok lots going for him but has done well recently and finished in top four here last two years.
ive also stuck in BRYCE MOLDER 1st rnd 66/1 £5 e/w
and PAT PEREZ 100/1 1st rnd £5 e/w
and like flash said without getting completely carried away, as is so easily done on the golf, ive left it at that!!
cue the goose to shoot a first day 64 seein hes the only one ive left out. sods law..........
other big price notables who i got close to backing but never did in 1st rnd leader market are JB HOLMES and GEORGE MCNEILL - both have gone low over here in recent years on certain days and if all falls right tomorrow then you never know