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I just had a quick look at this and as Flash pointed out, I don't think there's too much out there to help.
Tom Lewis - 40/1, I read that the course is supposedly firm and fast and the wind can blow, then with a quick scan through the odds, the name Tom Lewis jumped out as a player with recent form who might find the conditions to his liking. I then came across an interview with Tom Lewis who says he played the course as an amateur 'and I love the course it suits me'. In this event I am not going to find a better reason to back someone.
Andy Sullivan - 33/1, forecasts are for a blustery Thursday, with Lewis having an afternoon tee time, I wanted to back someone with a morning tee time, in case conditions favor one half of the draw. So Andy Sullivan is first out on Thursday morning and was 2nd last time out, so bang in form.
Johan Edfors - 200/1, He lost his tour card last season, I can't find any evidence that he has played anywhere competitively this year, so if he is hungry enough, this will be one of a few limited chances for Edfors to get his career back on track. If he's been a good boy and been practicing hard and taken his wake up call positively, he just might be competitive this week.
He reckoned you should have just shoved pre flop, as you folded on the turn when you were ahead, but you had no way of knowing you were ahead.
Anyway I don't think it would have made much difference as a pre flop shove there would have probably just took the blinds as I don't think you'd have got any callers.
You'd have still shoved a few hands later with KQ suited into pocket Kings and gone out.
Still a great effort, it's not easy to win a Turbo Main Event ;-)
If I remember rightly there were a couple of players well ahead, with the rest of us battling it out with short stacks, I was actually down to just over one big blind (after I lost an all in), shoved next hand with 95, was up against K5 and the flop came 95X, that's when all my experience finally paid off. :-)
I think I was just keeping an eye on my stack compared to the field and you'd to be right to say 12 BB's would be massive on the last two tables in this structure.
Neil Channing's general view about everyone's play at that stage, was that you should be shoving with a wide range and I can see the point he was making.
I don't think I followed that strategy to its exactness, though I've never been textbook!
So I'm on Ryo Ishikkawa - 125/1 outright and 80/1 first round leader.
Also in the FRL
Graham Delaet - 40/1
Chris Stroud - 66/1
Brendan Steele - 80/1
Good Luck me, its time to Fear The Beard!
But before i forget. Gone for Luke Donald to win the Masters 50-1 ! Will win a major one day.
GL ALL
On the PGA tour, after Graham DeLaet, I've probably tipped Matt Jones more than any other player.
So I always keep an eye on him and after a barren spell (for me), I'm delighted to report that when he got off to a birdie start in round 1, I managed to have the sense / luck to back Matt Jones Thursday evening in running at 80/1.
Respect for your self control.
There's only one word I can use to describe my strategy for a Major and that's portfolio!
I'm playing this week.
Mcdowell 66/1 £2.50 ew (freebet)
Fowler 66/1 £1.25 ew
Els 150/1 ew. £1.25 ew
Favourite tournament of the year by some distance so looking forward to this one especially as I think it's so open. I normally have a real strong feeling for someone in the majors but I don't really fancy anyone this year.
Jason Day perhaps but I'm not backing him at 14/1 or whatever. With that in mind went with former winners and battlers!!
Outrights
1) Charl Schwartzel 33/1 £2.50 ew (£5 free bet)
Former winner, good form and a major performer
2) Zach Johnson 35/1 £1 ew
Was in superb form at the end of last year and early part of this year but then fell away a bit over last two months (when I kept backing him lol) bu8t hoping the T6 in texas is a sign he's getting back to his best and will hit top form this week. Former winner but poor record apart from that at Augusta.
3) Graeme McDowell 66/1 £1 ew
odds are just too big to ignore in a field where it's anyone's in my opinion.
FRL's
1) Matt Kuchar 28/1 £1 ew
He owes me after the 17th yesterday. Another I nearly backed outright but couldn't handle another choke by him.
2) Bubba Watson 33/1 £1 ew
Nearly put him in my outrights but after his 83 or whatever in his last outing decided an FRL bet was safer. Leftie which is always good for round Augusta.
3) Jim Furyk 60/1 £2.5 ew
This is my only bet I feel strongly about - 8 top 10's in last 14 starts, T6 in last start, he always seems to turn up for the majors (to then throw it away in the final round lol) and has all the experience to know how to tackle Augusta). 60/1 is a lovely price too
GL all
one more to add:
It wouldn't be the masters without a punt on the fat little Argie lol!!!
£1 ew Angel Cabrera @ 55/1!!
Secondly, I've normally got to the week of The Masters, with the majority of my bets in place as I will have had 3 or 4 strong picks, this has not been the cast this year.
I backed one player ante post a few weeks ago:
Nick Watney - 150/1, good course form and a player who I thought might be coming back into form, but he mucked that up be withdrawing from his last tournament as his wife was about to give birth and he hasn't played for the last 3 weeks!
Still maybe the break and the fresh feeling of fatherhood will give Nick Watney a new perspective and good vibes for this week.
Then last week I backed Dustin Johnson at 20/1, I'm not even going to try and work out what state he is in after one disastrous round and a withdrawal at Houston, one thing I do know is that the 20/1 turned out to be poor value.
So, the first serious bets of The Masters 2014.......
Hunter Mahan - 50/1, classy player who I feel is ready for his first Major, I was originally thinking US Open or PGA, but his Masters form is much better than I had realized. He is also showing up very well on the putting stats in 2014. I also like the fact that he is slightly under the radar and his results suggest he could be peaking at just the right time.
I've also backed him ew at 33/1 without Scott, Mcllroy and Mickleson. Hunter is my main man this week.
Sergio Garcia - 25/1, I think you can find reasonable doubt about so many of the field this year, whereas the opposite can be said about Sergio right now. All the doubts hanging over Sergio in recent years, really aren't there right now. He is now one of the best putters on tour, he is a recent winner, his current form is as good as anybody's, he's has played well around here before and perhaps more important than anything else, Sergio appears to be happy off the course.
Thorbjorn Olesen - 125/1, quite often when I look at a previous years finishing positions, I will go through the leaderboard and take out a players worse round and 'update' his score by replacing his worst round with a par and see what effect that would have on the leaderboard.
Last year, if Olesen started with a par 72 instead of a 78, he'd have won The Masters by one.
One things clear, if Olesen can pick up where he left off last year, he won't be three figures for very long.
More to follow, between now and Thursday morning.
6 top 10's at Augusta for Cabrera and he has a 1st, 2nd and 7th in 3 of the last 5 Masters.
Me thinks your are not showing enough respect to El Pato!
I was dreading the stakes, but go on a fiver says Cabrera will finish ahead of Donald in the Masters 2014.
Olesen 125-1
Kuchar 20-1
K J Choi 125-1
and do him most majors now
R. Fowler 60-1