You need to be logged in to your Sky Poker account above to post discussions and comments.
You might need to refresh your page afterwards.
You need to be logged in to your Sky Poker account above to post discussions and comments.
You might need to refresh your page afterwards.
Comments
436
As Neil posted above, between us I think we took care of virtually every possible scenario except one and that was the feel good win for Oliver Wilson.
As my main pre tournament bet, 100/1 shot Chris Wood dropped from the lead down to 6th, thanks to a belated 2 shot penalty on the first, as my final fling of the dice in 18/1 shot Richie Ramsay went 2 shots clear with 3 to play, only to go bogey, bogey, par, as I chuckled a little as Rory putted his third shot into the road hole bunker on 17, the one outcome I couldn't begrudge was watching Oliver Wilson bounce back into fulltime European Tour golf with the win.
I didn't see a single shot of the Ryder Cup, more importantly I missed the announcement of new arrival Anna Splashies, so belated but sincere congratulations to the Splashies family!!!
No doubt really, it could only be Joesman1.
Though I would say back in 2010, I thought virtually everyone on the site was a good player
Opposite strategy to Flash for me, I'm indulging myself with a few bets and setting myself up for a bit of armchair excitement on Thursday.
Portugal Masters, if you look at the results history of this tournament it's easy to establish the profile for the type of player you should be backing this week, someone who plays well in the wind and is comfortable on open links type courses.
Previous winners Lynn, Lowry, Lewis, Green, Westwood, Quiros and Webster all fit the profile as do the top 15 or so players in the betting, so I think we have a wide open event in Portugal this week.
Frys.com Open, first event of the 2014/15 season, with a right mixture of regular tour players and newbies, some who have had a break, some who have been keeping pretty busy. It feels like picking the winner here is like throwing darts in the dark and the best strategy may well be leave it alone, but I'm set up for a Thursday of armchair viewing, so I've at least got to have a stab in the dark.
I've paired my picks this week, for singles and a double:
Couple Number 1
Chris Wood - 50/1, after calling a 2 shot penalty on himself on the first at St Andrews on Sunday and still finishing tied 9th, I expected a bit of a punters love in for Chris Wood this week, particularly as his fitness and form is on the up. He hasn't played this event very much, but he did finish tied 10th on his debut. I was hoping to grab 33/1 from the early prices, I'm very Surprised he's still available at 50/1 or even 40/1.
Brooks Koepka - 28/1, looked like winning this event on his debut last year, before eventually finishing 3rd. Now has his card for the PGATour and has been playing very well over the last few months.
Couple Number 2
Nicolas Colsaerts - 40/1, last year David Lynn came back to Europe in the Autumn after playing most of the season on the PGA Tour and in doing so won this event. Nicolas Colsaerts has followed a similar path to Lynn this year and to boost the confidence, he was tied 4th last time out at the Wales Open and was tied 15th last season. I was very surprised to see him priced as big as 40/1.
Graham DeLaet - 25/1, my excuse here is that I liked the idea of a double with 2 bombers, so its the Belgium Bomber and the Bearded Bomber for me.
Couple Number 3
Matthew Baldwin - 150/1, sometimes when players pull off a shock win, they will tell you during the winners interview, that they have been playing well for weeks, things just hadn't quite clicked into place, that they knew they were ready for a big week and so on, when you hear this you are left thinking I wish I'd known that!
Well Matthew Baldwin has missed his last 3 cuts and is seemingly struggling, but this is what he said when he was staring at a missed cut in Scotland last week...
'As daft as it sounds currently sat at 4 over my golf game is so close to being the best it's ever been.'
'Game, focus and concentration and a great week is just around the corner. Need to have the patience to wait for that week.'
Matthew Baldwin has the player profile that fits this course, he was tied 15th last year and has shot under par in each of his last 7 rounds here.
Could this be the week for Matthew Baldwin? At 150/1 ew first 5 it would be a darn good week to do it.
Bo Van Pelt - 66/1, he had some good to exceptional rounds towards the end of last season. His game, form and confidence is heading in the right direction and you'd expect him to be raring to go this week.
Couple Number 4
Andy Sullivan - 100/1, playing very well at the moment, his best results have been at events where you'd expect conditions to be similar to this week. Decent performances here in the last 2 years despite coming into the event in fairly ordinary form. Good ew value at 100/1
Justin Thomas - 80/1, Purely based on the fact that he appeared to be the best performer on the Web.com Tour last season and that 80/1 looks good value for a player that could well settle in on tour very quickly.
Placed (matched)
I better not bore you with the details, the main event finished at 3:00am so there was 7 hours of details!
I was leading the mini for a long time and actually hanging on in there in the main, such is life in poker, fortunes turned and I obviously kicked on in the main and ran out of steam in the mini.
Got to love poker on nights like that
Edit: Having your name in 'lights' on the golf forum title, is almost, (almost) worth more than the money.