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Lee Westwood - 50/1, bet placed after encouraging US Masters, where all aspects of his game looked back in shape. Of course next time out he won on the European Tour, though he's been a little quiet since. That said Lee know's how to play the majors, he's gone close before and like MP33 says, surely he has to win a major 1 day.
Billy Horschel - 125/1, bet placed last week before St Judes Classic. For most of the season Horschel has looked good without really threatening leaderboards. He had his best finish last week with a tied 6th. I don't know what his scrambling stats were for last week, but from what I saw, he seemed to get up and down more often than not when he missed a green, which is an ability that is likely to be key at Pinehurst no. 2. He was 6th at the US Open last year and has the ideal game to do well in US Opens. I just hope do well, translates to top 5 finish.
Luke Donald is one of my main bets this week, so lets hope Donald breaks our Duck
The deeper I dig into the research, the more obvious a pick he becomes, former US Open winner, great key stats for this week, grew up playing at Pinehurst no. 2, refers to it like a second home, add to that his strong finish last week and he really is an obvious pick at decent odds.
I went big on him a few weeks ago and I know Flash also fancied him strongly at one stage, only to pull out when he realized he wasn't playing
Two things have been holding me back, I missed the early 66/1 and even 50/1 so I have been sulking a bit and secondly he just looks too good to be true and when things are too good to be true they usually are.
It's like the player himself realizes before he tee's it up, that everything is set up perfectly for him to win and then he bottles it on the first day.
Or am I getting confused with the form of my own picks in recent weeks?
Yep I've got add Webb to the portfolio, pushed out to a best priced 45/1 at the moment, I'll hang on for a while in case I can get 50/1.
Henrik Stenson - 28/1, One of the very best players in the world of golf over the last 12 months, after winning so much and setting so many records last year, his ambitions this year are to win a Major and get to no. 1 in the rankings, he can achieve both with a win this week.
Coming up short by one shot at the Nordea Masters last time out will have hurt and should have been a timely reminder that he needs to being firing on all cylinders for 72 holes. When he's in the zone, his long iron play and second shot making is superb and that's what's needed this week.
Luke Donald - 40/1, His short game and putting are right up there with the best, he's playing very well. Last year he partnered close friend Justin Rose on the final day, so he saw first hand what it takes to win a US Open. That experience is good money in the bank and this year he's 12 months further down the line with his new swing changes. Come on Luuuuuke!!!
Webb Simpson - 45/1, Ticks soooo many of the right boxes this week, course knowledge, excels in the key stats, former US Open Winner, best result of the season came last week, he has to be the value bet this week. Will the pocket Aces of the tournament still be in good shape after the flop and turn?
Graham DeLaet - 100/1, When so many people are saying this is a second shot golf course, why not pick the player that hit greens with his second shot, more than any other player? His scrambling skills aren't too shabby either and of course he is one of the longest hitters on tour. His first impressions of the course where, 'auto top 5 courses I've ever played', which can't be a bad sign, though he was quick to add 'Going to be a tough test though'. He's really sucked in majors so far and this is his first US Open, if he doesn't play himself out of the tournament on Day 1, this is a course where Graham Delaet could really be competitive.
Brendan Todd - 100/1, Playing in his first major, so the odds are well stacked against him, even at 100/1 the bookies are hardly being generous, but the bookies normally know something. Todd got his first win on tour last month and followed it up with two top 10's. Bang in form and would appear to have a game that will ensure he is competitive this week.
Brooks Koepka - 250/1, We all know about his 3 wins on the Challenge Tour last year, followed by some impressive displays on the European Tour, he has now switched to the PGA Tour. He qualified via the European qualifier. He's been on my radar recently as a player who is ticking many of the key stats very well and certainly at 250/1 looks overpriced.
Danny Willett - 400/1, Glassback Willett, first question is if he makes the cut, will his back hold up for two more rounds?
Playing in his first US Open, he's a long shot. Maybe not this week, but I do think he's a potential major winner and world top 10. If the course remains firm this week, it should play to Willetts strengths. Maybe it's too soon, maybe he's not fully fit, but I like him and he's my wildcard for the week (or first day or 2).
Donald 50-1 !!! Will win a major one day.
Rose 28-1 Back to back winner a possibility ? we shall see
Snedeker 100-1. Get that putter hot.
hole in one - 15/8 £200
Webb Simpson - 40/1 - Pocket Aces of the US Open 2014
Luke Donald - 50/1 - Short game for the win! Go luuuuke!
Bill Haas - 80/1 - FRL Leader at this US Masters, I like concidences and it wouldn't be that strange a coincidence if he did the same here.
Graham DeLaet - 80/1 - If he's going to make the best of his own attribuites this week, he's got to get off to a flyer, if he can do that and keep things simple today, he will be near the top of the leaderboard after day 1.
Paul Casey - 100/1 - He's shot low rounds of the day several times recently.
Ryan Palmer - 125/1 - I agree with JD, Palmer always looks a good bet for FRL, if the forecast of afternoon thuderstorms is right, a late tee time today, could translate to an early start time in good conditions tomorrow morning.
Brooks Koepka - 150/1 - Looks good value at these odds.
Danny Willett - 200/1 - The more I read that the course is links like, the more I like Willett's chances and the bigger the value looks.
Good Luck Everyone!!!
Placed (matched)
At least he in frame now, come on Rickie
If so well done.
A flawless 4 days golf from Martin Kaymer, may have dampened the excitement a little, but you had to be impressesed with everything about Martin Kaymer during the week.
A few footnotes to some of my other bets:
Unsurprisingly, Martin Kaymer recorder the most birdies of the week with 16.
Second highest number of birdies for the week, was recrded by my 400/1 shot, Danny Willett with 15, just one less than Martin Kaymer. On his US Open this stat just strengthens my belief that big things lie ahead for Danny Willett.
Only 3 players, recorded 3 out of 4 rounds under par, winner Martin Kaymer, 4th Keegan Bradley and my 100/1 shot Brendan Todd who finished 16th.
Oh and as for Webb Simpson.....Pocket Aces don't always win.
Anyway, I can't grumble at a return from Stenson and I'm delighted with Koepka's finish especially as it took a birdie on the 72nd hole to tie 4th.
I may take a few weeks off, but I'll be following this thread, so good luck to everyone next week and beyond.
certainly was Darty place poacher me!!!
Then read your picks and said to myself FFS Flash why did you have to post those picks with the reference to my predictable softspots!
Your post ate away at me at bit, so I did indeed back messers Baldwin and Willett along with my star fantasy player for the week.
My boys did the business last week at 66/1 and 150/1 thanks (I think) mainly to me not posting my picks on this jinx ridden board!
just seen the leaderboard from Germany.......Very Best of Luck Flash!!!!