You need to be logged in to your Sky Poker account above to post discussions and comments.
You might need to refresh your page afterwards.
You need to be logged in to your Sky Poker account above to post discussions and comments.
You might need to refresh your page afterwards.
Comments
"Unfortunately, I have to eliminate five international players because I do not have enough statistical information on their playing performance in the past four months. Last year, I eliminated five international players that I had insufficient data on as well. Only one of them made a minor run at winning — Thomas Bjorn, who finished T8.
The four players include:
His next fab quote:-
Moving on with the list, I eliminated players who I think are too short to play well at Augusta National. They include:
Of those 22 players, here are my top-10 picks to win the Masters:
Still couldn't commit to just one of the leading fancies, instead backed my own strongly fancied rags in the without Rory, Spieth, Bubba and Day market.
Russell Henley - 75/1 ew first 5
Branden Grace - 80/1 ew first 5
Added
Brandt Snedeker - 55/1 ew first 6
Gary Woodland - 125/1 ew first 5
and some bloke called Tiger Woods at 45/1 ew first 5
and since I'm sadly unlikely to get to see the last 3 days play, today is my cup final and FRL bets are on:
All ew first 5
Tiger Woods - 35/1
Brandt Snedeker - 40/1
JB Homes - 50/1
Gary Woodland - 66/1
Bill Haas - 70/1
Branden Grace - 125/1
Russell Henley - 130/1
Volvo China - Looks like a mixed course but with quite a few long par 4's, so considering there is no course history I've gone with the bombers with a big hitting outsider...
that ended up with a 125/1 winner and a 50/1 third for you, so I'd say you are right to go with the bombers theory
Tried to keep it simple this week and gone with first impressions as opposed to 30 player short list that gets whittled down after a few hours research analysis:
Thomas Pieters - 66/1, On recognizing last years Volvo China Open was held on this course, I remembered Flash's theory of this being a bombers course and how he came up with a 125/1 winner in Alexander Levy.
Based on that I could have backed Levy this time round or big hitting Bubba, I dithered over Quiros and Colsaerts but instead have gone for big hitting Thomas Pieters, who has looked close to a first win for a few months now and should definitely be suited to this course.
Tommy Fleetwood - 28/1, second to Levy at this course last year and came up on my radar as looking to be approaching top form again.
Emiliano Grillo - 28/1, played extremely well tee to green last year (first for driving distance, 2nd for GIR), but putted very poorly (56th of 57 players whose putting stats were recorded over the weekend).
His putting stats are massively improved this year and of course he lost in a playoff on the PGA Tour last month.
Grillo gets my full support as my main bet this week.
Taken the advice of a certain winning punter here and again gone with my first impressions and not over analyzed it:
Russell Henley - 40/1, gave me a nice return at 125/1 2 weeks ago, had his best Masters last week, 6th here 2 years ago.
I see Flash is also on and I believe that certain winning punter is also on Henley this week, so what could go wrong!
Kevin Streelman - 66/1, noted he had a very good Masters and has at least one decent top 10 on this course. Current form and course form boxes satisfactorily ticked.
Johnson Wagner - 150/1, loved his attitude 2 weeks ago when just losing out to JB Holmes in a play off. No idea if he has any course form, but if he can carry forward some of the momentum from two weeks ago, he's proved he won't buckle under pressure if he gets near the leaderboard.